Active Inference for Adaptive Traffic Signal Control in Noisy Nonstationary IoT Environments

Urban traffic congestion remains a persistent challenge in car-dependent cities, imposing significant economic and societal costs. Traffic signal systems are increasingly deployed as networked cyber-physical components within smart-city infrastructures, where distributed sensing and edge intelligence enable adaptive traffic management. This paper investigates reinforcement learning (RL) as an edge-intelligent approach for adaptive traffic signal operation at a signalized urban intersection in Kuwait. A Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)-based controller is developed to dynamically allocate green-phase durations using locally observed traffic states, without relying on future demand information or centralized coordination. The controller is evaluated in a realistic simulation environment informed by real-world hourly traffic volume data from Kuwait, and is compared against both conventional fixed-time control and a vehicle-actuated controller representing the current state of practice, using average vehicle delay, queue length, and emissions as performance metrics. Under nominal conditions, the proposed controller reduces average vehicle delay by 46% relative to fixed-time control and 34% relative to actuated control, while also lowering per-vehicle CO2 emissions by approximately 23%. These performance gains persist under demand perturbations of +/-15%, generalize from weekday to weekend traffic patterns, and are corroborated by a reward function ablation; low variance across five random seeds confirms their statistical reliability. These findings demonstrate the practicality of learning-based edge traffic signal control as a building block for IoT-enabled smart-city transportation systems, and as a deployable precursor toward fully connected, Internet of Vehicles (IoV)-based urban mobility.

We present a traffic-signal control interface in which a shared graph neural network assigns scores to individual traffic movements. Each junction converts these scores into its own variable-sized set of legal signal phases using a deterministic incidence matrix. Directed corridor nodes provide traffic context, while movement nodes represent controlled input-to-output paths through junctions. Typed mean aggregation produces one scalar per movement; phase definitions and signal timing remain outside the learned network. This makes graph size and junction-specific action count independent of the learned parameter shapes. PPO experiments evaluate the interface on unseen synthetic grid geometries, altered signal coverage, and five heterogeneous city graphs. The policies retained performance across unseen geometries within the synthetic grid family, while changes in signal coverage exposed sensitivity to a signal-coverage distribution shift. A single trained city-policy instance executed across all five city graphs, with heterogeneous outcomes. These results provide feasibility evidence rather than a general estimate of transfer to arbitrary road networks.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in traffic signal control (TSC). However, its reliance on predefined states limits responsiveness to observable open-world events that are absent from training data. IoT-enabled intersections provide heterogeneous observations from roadside sensors and cameras, creating opportunities to improve RL adaptability to such events. To this end, we propose ReasonLight, a multimodal foundation model-enhanced RL framework for zero-shot TSC. ReasonLight integrates three sources of information: structured traffic measurements, multi-view camera observations, and candidate phase decisions from a pre-trained RL controller. Given an RL-proposed phase, ReasonLight extracts visual semantics from multi-view images and aligns them with compact sensor-derived scene descriptions. This alignment enables a semantic-guided refinement module to either preserve or adjust the proposed action according to traffic rules and event semantics. To ensure operational reliability, refined actions are constrained by the set of available phases. Any invalid decision is rejected, and the system falls back to the original RL action. We evaluate ReasonLight on two types of rare events not seen during RL training: emergency vehicle priority and temporary traffic regulation. Experimental results show that ReasonLight achieves zero-shot adaptation without retraining. It reduces emergency vehicle waiting time by up to 88.7% compared with the RL-only backbone while preserving comparable routine traffic performance.