Establishing the Minimal Clinically Important Difference (MCID) for Smartphone-Derived Gait Measures in Multiple Sclerosis

Real-world digital Parkinson's disease assessment faces challenges such as heterogeneous modalities, cross-device bias, and incomplete labeling. Existing methods often focus on average predictive performance, lacking the reliability mechanisms needed for retrospective reliability-aware assessment - namely, determining when the model is reliable, when to reject an assessment, when to retest, and from which symptom dimensions the predictions are based. This paper proposes SGC-RML, which maps speech, gait, wearable motion, mobility tasks, and clinical variables to a shared 8-dimensional symptom node space (7 clinical symptom nodes and 1 reliability_state auxiliary node), unifying motor and non-motor representations through a symptom atlas. By jointly introducing uncertainty estimation, conformal calibration, and selective decision routing, the model can not only predict symptoms and severity but also reject assessments or suggest retests when evidence is insufficient. We validate this framework on five real-world PD datasets, covering classification, regression, event detection, and longitudinal severity prediction. Experiments show that SGC-RML achieves an MAE of 4.579 / R^2 of 0.772 on PPMI, an AUC of 0.953 on mPower, and an AUC of 0.825 on PADS. Under leak-free temporal anchoring, as few as 5 subject-specific anchors transform UCI from an essentially non-predictive subject-independent setting (motor MAE 8.38, CCC 0.02) into a calibrated longitudinal assessment (motor MAE 3.24, CCC 0.756) with split-conformal coverage held at the 0.80 target. Under the Daphnet LOSO protocol, it achieves an F1 of 0.803 / AUC of 0.872. These results demonstrate that SGC-RML provides a unified paradigm for accurate, calibrated, auditable, and symptom-interpretable retrospective longitudinal assessment of PD under incomplete multimodal conditions.

Cerebral Palsy (CP) is a neurological disorder of movement and the most common cause of lifelong physical disability in childhood. Approximately 75% of children with CP are ambulatory, and accurate gait assessment is central to preserving walking function, which deteriorates by mid-adulthood in a quarter to half of adults with CP. The Rodda and Graham classification system quantifies sagittal-plane gait deviations using ankle and knee z-scores derived from 3D Instrumented Gait Analysis (3D-IGA), but 3D-IGA is expensive and limited to specialized centers, while observational assessment shows only moderate inter-rater agreement. We developed a markerless gait analysis pipeline that quantifies Rodda and Graham knee and ankle z-scores directly from single-view clinical gait videos. Across 1,058 bilateral limb samples from 529 trials of 152 children (88 male, 63 female; age 12.1 $\pm$ 4.0 years; 60 distinct primary diagnoses, cerebral palsy the most common at $n=54$), the sagittal-view model achieved $R^2 = 0.80 \pm 0.02$ and CCC $= 0.89 \pm 0.02$ for knee z-scores and $R^2 = 0.57 \pm 0.02$ and CCC $= 0.72 \pm 0.02$ for ankle z-scores against 3D-IGA. Binary screening for excess knee flexion achieves AUROC $= 0.88$, correctly identifying 83% of affected children, and applying Rodda and Graham rules yields $43 \pm 1$% 7-class accuracy with macro-AUROC $= 0.78 \pm 0.01$, ankle prediction error remaining the primary bottleneck. Beyond cross-sectional screening, continuous z-scores support longitudinal trajectory tracking across visits, providing a quantitative substrate for monitoring disease progression and treatment response unavailable from observational scales. These results demonstrate the feasibility of video-based z-score estimation, excess-flexion screening, and longitudinal trajectory tracking as a path toward scalable, objective gait assessment in low-resource clinical settings.

Longitudinal characterization of multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions remains constrained by the lack of frameworks capable of establishing consistent instance-level correspondences across time. Conventional segmentation approaches produce semantic lesion masks at each visit and therefore fail to capture the complex instance temporal patterns associated with lesion appearance, disappearance, splitting, or merging. This study presents a comparative evaluation of five strategies for automated tracking of spinal cord MS lesions in longitudinal MRI data from a multi-site cohort. The investigated strategies rely either on deformable registration or on a spinal anatomical reference system, and encompass overlap-based matching, coordinate-based Hungarian algorithm, gradient-boosted classification, and Siamese model classification. Tracking accuracy is quantified using instance-level true positives, false positives, and false negatives, allowing to assess the presence of one-to-many and many-to-one associations. Results show best performance for the registration-based overlap method. This study provides the first systematic analysis of lesion-instance correspondence in the spinal cord and outlines the strengths and limitations of registration-based and registration-free paradigms for longitudinal MS assessment. The code is available at http://github.com/ivadomed/longitudinal-sc-ms-lesion-tracking .