Latent Clarity: Bridging World-Model Kinematics to Semantic Manifolds for Video Anomaly Anticipation

Vision-language models (VLMs) have recently emerged as a promising paradigm for video anomaly detection (VAD) due to their strong visual reasoning ability and natural language-based explainability. In this paper, we aim to address a key limitation of such pipelines, which perform segment-level inference independently owing to token constraints and reason without structured temporal context, allowing VLMs to interpret anomalies as deviations from evolving video dynamics rather than producing fragmented predictions and explanations. To specify, we propose a context-aware framework named LATERN, which reformulates VAD as a temporal evidence aggregation process. LATERN consists of two complementary modules: Context-Aware Anomaly Scoring (CEA) and Recursive Evidence Aggregation (REA). CEA introduces a novel image-grounded memory mechanism, which selectively chooses historical content via frame diversity and visual-textual alignment as expanded context to help generate reliable anomaly scores. Building upon these scores, REA performs recursive temporal aggregation to identify coherent anomaly intervals and produce event-level decisions and explanations grounded in visual-textual evidence. Extensive experiments on challenging benchmarks, including UCF-Crime and XD-Violence, show that LATERN enhances detection accuracy and explanation consistency for frozen VLMs during test time, while generating temporally coherent and semantically grounded event-level explanations.

Self-supervised video models are increasingly framed as world models, yet their evaluation remains largely confined to a single top-1 accuracy score on clean benchmarks. This leaves a major gap in comprehending their potential as world models. We present the first systematic study addressing this gap, analyzing four matched-capacity frontier video foundation models, V-JEPA 2.1, V-JEPA 2, VideoPrism, and VideoMAEv2, across five robustness axes relevant to their deployment as video world models: feature discriminability, corruption robustness, fine-grained discrimination, occlusion robustness, and sensitivity to temporal direction. Our evaluations establish that across all five axes, latent-prediction models form a distinct and consistent profile. They degrade more gracefully under pixel corruption, preserve usable class structure rather than mere geometric stability under occlusion, capture fine-grained physical contact cues without reconstructing pixels, and uniquely encode the arrow of time. These advantages can even survive task adaptation: a frozen V-JEPA 2 backbone with a lightweight attentive probe outperforms a fully fine-tuned VideoMAE and a supervised TimeSformer on corruption and occlusion robustness. Our extensive results offer concrete new evidence in favor of latent prediction for robust world modeling.

Video Anomaly Detection (VAD) aims to identify anomalous events and localize their temporal intervals. Existing approaches exhibit a "when-what" dissociation: traditional DNN-based methods localize when anomalies occur but lack semantic understanding, whereas LLM-based methods explain what happens but neglect precise temporal grounding. We attribute this to the absence of a unified reasoning paradigm. Inspired by how humans inspect surveillance videos - glancing globally to form temporal hypotheses, scrutinizing suspicious segments, and thinking iteratively to correct errors - we study this global-to-local paradigm from two perspectives. We first propose Glance then Scrutinize (GtS), a training-free framework using static and dynamic textual guidance for coarse-to-fine anomaly grounding and understanding, balancing accuracy and speed. To break the ceiling imposed by frozen external modules, we further propose a tool-augmented agentic VAD method, where a multimodal large language model learns to invoke a video cropping tool, inspect densely resampled frames, and self-correct mislocalized hypotheses, via cold-start supervised fine-tuning followed by reinforcement learning with a joint answer-grounding reward. For training and evaluation, we extend our prior VAGU benchmark into VAGU-T (Video Anomaly Grounding, Understanding, and Thinking), comprising 7,567 real-world videos over 21 anomaly categories with human-validated grounding, explanations, QA pairs, and chain-of-thought tool-calling traces. We further introduce JeAUG, a metric jointly evaluating semantic interpretability and temporal precision. Experiments show that GtS substantially surpasses training-free baselines, while the agentic model delivers both higher accuracy and faster inference.