CARB: A Characterization-Guided Framework for CNN Inference Cost Prediction and Deployment Screening

Newer lightweight convolutional neural networks are often presented as improving predictive performance and deployment efficiency, but such claims require controlled evaluation. This study compares nine lightweight CNN model packages across CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and Tiny ImageNet under a shared downstream protocol. We report top-1 accuracy, macro F1, top-5 accuracy, parameter count, FP32 storage, GMACs, batch-size-1 latency on an NVIDIA L4 and AMD Ryzen 5 5500U CPU, peak PyTorch CUDA allocated tensor memory, and point estimate Pareto frontiers. EfficientNetV2-S achieves the highest observed top-1 accuracy on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 at 97.57% and 86.98%, while RepViT-M1.0 leads Tiny ImageNet at 79.87%. EfficientNet-B0 remains within 0.22, 0.85, and 1.79 percentage points of the best result on the three datasets while using approximately 79% fewer parameters and 86% fewer GMACs than EfficientNetV2-S. It also appears on every evaluated accuracy and resource Pareto frontier, making it the most consistently competitive intermediate-budget option. MobileNetV3-Small has the lowest GMAC count, is the fastest model under both CPU thread settings, and records higher observed accuracy than MobileNetV4-Conv-S on all three datasets. Under random initialization, it leads MobileNetV4-Conv-S by 2.55, 1.76, and 0.99 points, with paired test-set intervals excluding zero for the fixed trained models. EfficientNet-B0 remains 3.29, 10.10, and 17.54 points below its pretrained counterpart after 100 epochs of scratch training, despite requiring about five times the recorded training time. SqueezeNet1.1 has the fewest parameters and lowest peak CUDA allocation, but substantially weaker accuracy. Latency rankings differ sharply between the L4 and CPU environments, showing that GMACs alone do not predict measured inference performance. Overall, newer designs provide selective rather than universal gains

Large Language Model (LLM) inference workloads are a rapidly growing contributor to data center energy consumption. Optimizing these deployments requires matching specific LLMs to the most efficient GPUs, but operators currently lack the tools to do so without exhaustively profiling each combination. While some predictive models exist, they still require profiling data and struggle to generalize to hardware unseen during training. To address this, we introduce \textit{WattGPU}, featuring two predictive models for mean GPU power draw and Inter-Token Latency (ITL). Our approach leverages only publicly available LLM metadata and GPU specifications, eliminating the need for hardware access or profiling while enabling generalization to unseen NVIDIA server-grade GPUs and LLMs. We evaluate our models using rigorous leave-one-GPU-out and leave-one-LLM-out cross-validation on a dataset of 42 open-source LLMs (0.1B--27B parameters) and 8 GPUs under both offline and server scenarios. The mean power draw model achieves a median absolute percentage error of $\leq3.4\%$ for offline and $\leq13.5\%$ for server scenarios on unseen GPUs, while the latency model achieves $\leq8.5\%$ in server mode, both maintaining strong GPU ranking correlations for server scenarios (Kendall $τ\geq0.76$). Compared to standard physically grounded baselines -- Load-Scaled Thermal Design Power (TDP) for power draw and roofline for latency -- our models reduce median absolute percentage error by approximately 4$\times$ on unseen LLM-GPU combinations for server scenarios or approximately 2$\times$ for completely unseen GPUs. WattGPU's data and code are publicly available at https://github.com/maufadel/wattgpu.

Deploying large language models to heterogeneous hardware is often constrained by memory, not compute. We introduce MCAP (Monte Carlo Activation Profiling), a load-time per-layer importance estimator that enables dynamic precision and memory placement decisions on the target device. MCAP produces a lightweight per-layer signal that drives both precision dispatch (W4A8 vs. W4A16) and residency tier (GPU, RAM, SSD), allowing a single set of weights to operate across diverse memory budgets. Our system, NVE, achieves 1.5-1.8x higher decode throughput than llama-cpp Q4_0 on NVIDIA T4 and enables models to run in memory regimes previously infeasible without modifying weights.