HLSR: Hybrid Live Forecast Selective Dynamic Vehicle Rerouting for Real-Time Congestion Avoidance

Accurate network traffic prediction is a critical element for efficient resource allocation in dynamic urban cellular networks. However, prediction remains challenging because network demand is influenced by complex mobility patterns, congestion dynamics, and heterogeneous user behavior. This paper introduces the Parameter-Efficient Hybrid Transformer (PEHT), a network traffic prediction framework that integrates urban mobility and congestion information into a Transformer-based architecture. PEHT separates primary network communication features from secondary urban mobility features and incorporates Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) into the Transformer encoder to reduce the number of trainable parameters while maintaining high predictive accuracy. A multimodal fusion strategy then injects external mobility and congestion features into the decoder to improve traffic forecasting. Experiments on the Telecom Italia Milan dataset and multiple synthetic congestion scenarios show that PEHT outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in terms of RMSE, MAE, and $R^2$. The implementation is available in the GitHub repository.

Urban traffic congestion significantly increases fuel consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, and commuter delays, resulting in substantial economic losses and environmental harm in modern cities. Traditional traffic signal control strategies such as fixed-time scheduling, actuated control, and reinforcement learning (RL)-based methods, offer different degrees of adaptability; however, RL-based methods can require extensive retraining, careful reward design, and substantial simulation data when transferred across networks or demand regimes. To address these challenges, we propose HiLLTS, an LLM-guided traffic signal control framework that employs a hierarchical three-layer architecture consisting of a central coordination agent, a district layer and multiple cluster-level intersection agents. Experimental results demonstrate consistent improvements in both congestion and environmental performance. Compared with the strongest non-LLM baseline in each scenario, HiLLTS reduces average waiting time by 36.73% under the low-congestion scenario and 14.71% under the high-congestion scenario, while reducing average CO2 emissions by 7.87% and 8.57%, respectively. Larger gains are observed against weaker baselines: under low congestion, HiLLTS achieves reductions of up to 18.00% in emissions and 62.07% in waiting time relative to Fixed-Time control; under high congestion, reductions of up to 28.89% in emissions and 40.36% in waiting time are observed relative to Max Pressure. The ablation study further validates the contribution of LLM-guided coordination over rule-based control

Traffic congestion prediction is essential for congestion mitigation, but the COVID-19 pandemic and related control measures altered travel behavior and increased prediction complexity. This study predicts congestion in Alameda County, California, during pre-lockdown, lockdown, and post-lockdown periods. Weather, seasonality, and COVID-19 variables are incorporated, and Recursive Feature Elimination with Cross-Validation is used to select important features and reduce overfitting. Support vector regression, multiple linear regression, recurrent neural networks, and long short-term memory networks are trained and optimized. Because LSTM is more sensitive to hyperparameter settings, an adaptive parameter selection approach is used, while SVR and RNN are manually tuned. Performance is evaluated using Normalized Root Mean Square Error. Bidirectional LSTM consistently performs best across all periods because it captures temporal dependence in both directions. Integrated Gradients is used to interpret Bi-LSTM predictions, and SHapley Additive exPlanations is applied to SVR. New COVID-19 cases have a mainly negative effect on congestion during lockdown and post-lockdown, likely due to greater risk awareness, voluntary travel reduction, and compliance with mobility restrictions. In the post-pandemic period, higher hospitalization reduces travel and congestion, while higher fuel prices do not prevent a shift toward private vehicles and therefore increase congestion.