trajectory-judge: What Outcome-Only LLM Judges Miss on Agent Trajectories

LLM judges are widely used to evaluate agentic tool-calling systems, yet their reliability on structured, dependency-driven workflows remains largely unexamined. We present AgentJudgeBench, the first benchmark to systematically study LLM-as-a-judge reliability for agentic tool-calling over workflow DAGs, as distinct from the broader LLM-as-a-judge task of open-ended text or preference evaluation. The benchmark comprises 3,808 instances spanning six DAG topologies and three difficulty tiers, evaluated with five generators (3B-70B open-weight models and GPT-5.4) and six judges (20B to frontier scale) under paired with- and without-ground-truth conditions. Judge alignment degrades monotonically with task difficulty, 1.5x faster without ground truth, and on hard queries without ground truth all six judges converge to a narrow 77-82% band regardless of scale, revealing a structural ceiling driven primarily by task difficulty, though its height is partly prompt-dependent for weaker generators, that model capacity alone cannot overcome. Ground-truth exposure is not uniformly beneficial: it reduces alignment for GPT-5.4 (1.5 pp) and Gemini-2.5-Pro (3.9 pp), consistent with over-anchoring. Among mitigation strategies, chain-of-thought reasoning and judge temperature both have negligible effect, while structured evaluation rubrics improve alignment by up to 6.5 pp but do not generalize uniformly across judge-generator pairs. With ground truth, QwQ-32B best matches the programmatic reference, while a human validation study identifies GPT-OSS-120B as the most human-aligned judge; without it, frontier judges lead only marginally within the shared ceiling. These results expose fundamental limitations of current LLM judges and yield practical guidelines for reliable evaluation in agentic systems.

Before letting an agent operate over real context, can you prove it used the right evidence? GroundEval turns that question into a deterministic test of what the agent searched, fetched, cited, and was permitted to access. In one case study, two frontier LLM judges scored a plausible agent response 0.85 and higher. But the trace told a different story: the agent had never retrieved the artifact its answer depended on, yielding a GroundEval score of 0.000. We introduce GroundEval, a judge-free framework for evaluating agents against grounded, time-bounded, and access-controlled evidence. GroundEval uses a domain configuration to generate questions, lets the agent choose how to answer, and then scores both the final answer and the recorded trajectory that produced it. The benchmark targets three failures that LLM-as-judge evaluation struggles to detect: whether an agent checked before claiming absence, reasoned only from evidence available to the actor at the relevant time, and used the correct causal mechanism rather than a plausible one. These correspond to three tracks: Silence, Perspective, and Counterfactual. GroundEval exposes when plausible answers rest on invalid evidence paths, and produces structured per-question diagnostics that pair tool activity with the agent's turn-level narration, making each score inspectable rather than merely reported. Our case studies suggest this failure mode is common rather than exceptional, one that final-answer and judge-based evaluation cannot detect by construction.

Mobile agent benchmarks increasingly rely on LLM-based judges to evaluate task completion, yet the reliability of these judges on mobile agent trajectories remains largely unexamined. We introduce MobileJudgeBench, a benchmark for systematically evaluating LLM-as-judge methods on mobile agent trajectories. Our benchmark comprises 931 human-annotated trajectories spanning 6 mobile agent benchmarks, 4 agent models, and 68 apps. We evaluate 6 judge methods (five adapted from SPA-Bench, A3 with two modes, AndroidArena, and AgentRewardBench, plus a simple baseline we design) across multiple LLM backends. Our experiments reveal three key findings. First, a simple baseline judge with sampled screenshots is competitive with, and often exceeds, purpose-built methods, indicating that more elaborate judge pipelines do not consistently improve judge quality; among competitive methods, the LLM backbone is the primary driver. Second, benchmark quality metrics reliably predict real-world judge utility: they correlate with both agent ranking fidelity for evaluation and downstream performance when judges serve as reward signals for on-policy reinforcement learning. Third, failure analysis across two LLM backends uncovers qualitatively opposite failure profiles, one conservative and the other permissive, linked to the backbone's precision-recall characteristics.