Do Satellites See Commuters? A Critical Benchmark of Vision Foundation Models

Geospatial foundation models pretrained on satellite imagery promise broad generalization across remote sensing tasks and regions, but their geographic transferability has not been systematically tested, especially in agriculture applications. This paper presents a controlled benchmark that evaluates three models, Prithvi, SpectralGPT, and SatMAE, on multi-temporal crop segmentation and change detection across four U.S. states, Iowa, North Carolina, California, and Minnesota. By assigning each train, validation, and test split to a separate region, we measure how well each model transfers to land it has not seen. All three degrade sharply under regional distribution shift, predicting only the most common crops while missing rare ones. We further find that fitting these models to a shared input format affects each one differently, which complicates direct architectural comparison. These results expose key limitations of current geospatial foundation models for agriculture and point to region aware evaluation as a necessary standard.

Semantic search of Earth observation archives remains challenging. Visual foundation models such as CLAY produce rich embeddings of satellite imagery but lack the natural-language grounding needed for intuitive query, and full contrastive training of a remote-sensing CLIP-style model requires paired data and compute that are unavailable at global scale. To allow natural language querying at global scales, we present GeoQuery, a zero-shot retrieval system that sidesteps data and compute constraints through a two-stage semantic and visual search, leveraging a natural language embedding of a subset (proxy) of global data. Rather than training a joint encoder, we generate language descriptions for a 100k proxy subset of global Sentinel-2 tiles and optimise the description-generation prompt so that distances in the resulting text-embedding space correlate with distances in the frozen CLAY visual-embedding space. Queries are resolved in two stages, with a text-similarity search over the proxy subset followed by a visual nearest-neighbour search over worldwide CLAY embeddings On 76 disaster-location queries covering UK floods, US wildfires, and US droughts, GeoQuery achieves 31.6% accuracy within 50,km, with the strongest performance on floods (50% within 50,km) where terrain features are well captured by RGB embeddings. Deployed within a crisis response system called \ECHO{}, GeoQuery identified vulnerable areas during Brisbane's 2025 Cyclone Alfred, with downstream flood simulations reproducing historical patterns. Prompt-aligned proxies offer a practical bridge between EO foundation models and operational retrieval when full contrastive training is out of reach.

Geospatial foundation models have emerged as state-of-the-art methods for downstream Earth observation tasks. However, existing pretraining methodologies process imagery through a single-concept lens, failing to capture the highly compositional nature of complex satellite scenes. We propose a composition-aware pretraining framework that explicitly encodes fractional land-cover mixtures. Each satellite image cell is mapped to a histogram representing its fractional land-cover distribution, which we term the "composition target". These targets serve as the primary prediction objective and are distilled into the backbone using Earth Mover's Distance. Experimental evaluation shows that composition-aware pretraining yields substantial gains on region-level understanding tasks requiring semantic similarity judgment, including zero-shot image retrieval and scene classification, while remaining competitive on tasks requiring fine-grained spatial precision, such as segmentation and object detection. With a 36.8M-parameter backbone, our framework outperforms SatMAE and Prithvi-EO-2.0, which contain 303M and 600M parameters, respectively, in most retrieval and scene classification settings. On the fine-grained ForestNet-12 dataset, a rigorous testbed for compositional discrimination, our method boosts baseline mAP@10 from 0.279 to 0.434, a 55.6% relative improvement, providing direct evidence for the effectiveness of explicit composition modeling. The code implementation can be found at https://github.com/05kashyap/GFM_Composition_Pretraining