DriveMotion: A Large-Scale Multi-Source Benchmark for Driver Motion Sequence Modeling and Forecasting

Motion forecasting often requires trading interpretability for predictive accuracy. Standard anchor-based architectures rely on opaque latent queries that are highly prone to latent collapse, or naive trajectory sampling that limits multi-modal diversity. We propose an end-to-end differentiable framework that grounds predictions in a comprehensive "motion bank", a structured embedding space of physically realizable trajectories constructed via contrastive learning. Rather than regressing paths from a blank slate, our architecture dynamically retrieves explicit motion priors using a novel Anchor Retrieval Layer. This module adapts orthogonally initialized queries via a Dual-Level Gated Cross-Attention mechanism and executes discrete trajectory selection using a Straight-Through Gumbel-Softmax estimator to preserve continuous gradient flow. The retrieved semantically grounded anchors are then geometrically refined by a DETR-style decoder, optimized jointly with a Winner-Takes-All (WTA) kinematic Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), a latent diversity penalty, and a soft-min weighted endpoint loss. By strictly conditioning the decoding phase on diverse, interpretable motion primitives, our approach eliminates the "black box" of standard latent queries while achieving competitive multi-modal accuracy on the Argoverse 2 and Waymo Open Motion datasets. Code is available at: https://github.com/abviv/recall2predict

The growing availability of trajectory datasets has fueled major advances in data-driven motion prediction. Yet, models trained on one dataset often fail to generalize beyond their training domain as a result of differences in scene layouts, agent behaviors, and sensing conditions. A framework that learns latent representations of datasets and quantifies their similarity using distributional metrics is presented. This large-scale study covers 24 major datasets, including the most widely used motion-prediction benchmarks, and shows that the resulting transferability scores strongly correlate with cross-dataset model performance. The results provide practical guidance for dataset selection, pretraining, and large-scale foundation models for motion prediction, paving the way toward more generalizable and robust predictive systems.

Driving style captures stable, driver-specific patterns in how a vehicle is driven. In naturalistic data, however, this signal is hard to isolate because drivers are observed in different vehicles, on different roads, and under different conditions, so models may mistake vehicle- or situation-specific regularities for driver-specific style. We introduce DriveDNA, a large-scale naturalistic dataset and benchmark for personalized driving-style modeling, comprising 4,121 drives from 465 drivers across 115 vehicle models and totaling 975 hours of human-controlled driving at 10 Hz with forward video, collected from community drivers in everyday use. DriveDNA defines driving style as a consistent, driver-specific behavioral pattern in how a vehicle moves under similar conditions. The benchmark evaluates this signal through three core tasks: few-shot driver re-identification, personalized behavior prediction, and condition-matched comparison, and provides behavioral annotations plus 276,248 rule-generated maneuver events across six classes with large-scale human auditing. We evaluate baselines spanning classical descriptors, supervised and self-supervised time-series encoders, multimodal fusion, probabilistic prediction, and zero-shot foundation models under a fixed multi-seed protocol. Learned representations substantially outperform classical descriptors on unseen drivers (AUROC .935 vs. .707) and retain driver-specific information under matched driving conditions, while descriptor performance approaches chance. Video-only models achieve comparable re-identification accuracy but exhibit severe route leakage, showing that strong recognition may arise from contextual shortcuts rather than driving behavior. These findings show that reliable driving-style evaluation must assess both the behavioral value of learned representations and their robustness to vehicle, drive, and condition confounds.