Organizations: Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA · Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA · Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA · University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, 95616, USA
Working agricultural landscapes are often treated as background to wildfire disasters, even though they are managed fuel mosaics, productive assets, and parts of regional infrastructure systems. We examine vineyard wildfire resilience during the electrically initiated 2019 Kincade Fire in Sonoma County, California, using an open, event-anchored geospatial framework spanning 4,581 vineyard fields (8,813.2 ha), wildland vegetation, surveyed structures, roads, overhead smoke, and post-fire greenness. Sentinel-2, OpenET, gridMET, soils, terrain, NOAA smoke polygons, an ignition-date OpenStreetMap network, and three-dimensional data inventories were analyzed at native decision scales. Vineyard pixels showed substantially lower descriptive dNBR than wildland pixels inside the perimeter (means 0.130 and 0.337). This contrast did not identify a universal vineyard firebreak effect: a segment-clustered boundary model gave a small negative contrast at 100 m (tau = -0.0166) but changed across bandwidths, failed slope continuity, disappeared in a 100 m donut, and produced a wrong-signed placebo. A 250 m spatial GAM reversed the unconditional pattern: after conditioning on location, terrain, and water use, vineyard fraction was positively associated with dNBR, while residual Moran's I remained 0.519. Beyond spectral impact, all mapped vineyards intersected overhead smoke on at least one day (mean 7.78 potential smoke-days per field), 34.2% of road-network nodes were dead ends, and inside-perimeter vineyards showed a larger greenness deficit through 2021 (recovery ratios 0.815 inside and 0.854 outside). Lower immediate spectral impact therefore did not imply complete resilience. The study provides a reproducible urban-rural informatics template separating descriptive contrasts, conditional associations, exposure indicators, and recovery evidence for decisions in working landscapes.
Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products. AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF) provides analysis-ready geospatial embeddings that may reduce this dependence on heavy harmonisation and task-specific feature engineering, but their value for wildfire susceptibility mapping has not been systematically evaluated. Using Victoria, Australia (2017-2025), as a case study, we show that AEF embeddings can reconstruct commonly used variables in wildfire susceptibility analysis with high accuracy. In downstream susceptibility models trained on satellite-derived fire occurrence data, embedding-based susceptibility models achieve ROC-AUC values above 0.92 and consistently identify high wildfire susceptibility across eastern Victoria, particularly Gippsland and the north-eastern uplands, with additional localized hotspots in central and northwestern Victoria. A key feature of AEF embeddings is their strong near-region transferability within climatically similar regions. When embedding-based models trained in Victoria are applied to Canberra and Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, ROC-AUC improves by around 4% at Canberra and declines by around 2% at Western Sydney-Blue Mountains, compared with a mean decrease of approximately 25% for physical-variable models. These findings provide practical guidance for using AEF embeddings and lay a foundation for scalable wildfire susceptibility mapping workflows for downstream users such as government agencies and (re)insurers.
This paper introduces a multi-temporal tabular dataset derived from satellite images to map burned areas in the Chapada dos Veadeiros National Park, in Goiás, Brazil, covering the years 2020 to 2022. The dataset contains blue, green, red, and near-infrared bands, as well as the BAI, EVI, GEMI, NDVI, and NDWI spectral indices from the WFI sensor on the CBERS-4A, CBERS-4, and AMAZONIA-1 satellites, organized into a regular grid. We applied the Random Forest classifier to develop and validate models based on samples labeled as totally burned, partially burned, and non-burned. Two classification approaches were tested: one combining burned and non-burned areas into binary classes and another distinguishing between totally burned (TB), partially burned (PB), and non-burned (NB) classes. Seven validation approaches assessed different post-classification combinations, focusing on accuracy, precision, recall, and intersection over union (IoU) metrics. Results showed higher IoU when TB, PB, and NB were used as individual classes and TB was reclassified as burned area (BA) while PB and NB were grouped as non-burned. Comparing the annual results of this approach to the MCD64A1 product, the errors of omission for the BA class were 22% in 2020, 28% in 2021 and 59% in 2022, while the errors of commission were 46%, 43% and 46%, respectively. The study highlights the utility of the WFI sensor for burned area mapping without inter-satellite spectral calibration and suggests further exploration with other machine learning algorithms to evaluate the dataset potential and limitations.
Remote sensing is increasingly relied upon to deliver actionable science for forest and wildfire risk management across large landscapes. Wall-to-wall, annually updated maps are a persistent need for effective forest management. Many planning systems and data collections combine disparate data sources with different purposes, vintages, and prediction quality, which leads to confounding behavior in operational planning systems. We introduce the VibrantForests framework, developed and applied to map forest attributes and provide a coherent foundation for effective forest and wildfire planning. VibrantForests includes a satellite-based forest structure model trained on lidar-derived samples and applied across the contiguous United States to concurrently generate estimates of canopy cover, canopy height, aboveground live tree biomass, basal area, and quadratic mean diameter at 10-meter resolution. We demonstrate predictive capability spanning the full spectrum of forest conditions ranging from sparse-canopy/low-biomass to dense-canopy/high-biomass. Results show that our model extends the range at which saturation is commonly encountered in comparable passive-sensor models, and reduces regression-to-mean behavior that commonly produces overestimation of forest attributes in small/sparse conditions and underestimation in large/dense conditions. The VibrantForests framework addresses a key limitation in large-area forest and wildfire planning by delivering coherent wall-to-wall estimates of management-relevant attributes at annual cadence and 10m resolution.
Luke J. Zachmann, David D. Diaz, Vincent A. Landau +8