Goal-oriented probabilistic forecasting for dynamic PRB allocation in 5G networks

Accurate forecasting of residual Physical Resource Blocks (PRBs) is critical for proactive network slice provisioning, energy-efficient operation, and spectrum-aware decision making in cellular systems, where residual PRBs serve as a practical proxy for short- and medium-term spectrum availability. Existing PRB prediction methods typically rely only on historical PRB values and are trained independently per carrier or sector, limiting their ability to capture cross-carrier dependencies and providing no measure of forecast uncertainty. Moreover, point forecasts alone are insufficient for robust spectrum-aware control under highly variable traffic conditions. This paper proposes PRB-RUPFormer, a recursive unified probabilistic Transformer for residual PRB forecasting. The proposed model jointly processes multivariate KPI time series using temporal, seasonal, and carrier-aware embeddings, preserving inter-metric temporal coupling during recursive rollout and stabilizing long-horizon forecasting. A single shared model is trained across all carriers and sectors of an eNB, enabling efficient learning of joint traffic dynamics with low computational overhead. Forecast uncertainty is captured through quantile-based prediction intervals, providing confidence-aware estimates of future PRB availability. Evaluations on six months of commercial LTE network data from multiple U.S. locations demonstrate median MAE below 0.05 and hit probabilities above 0.80 for both one-day and seven-day recursive forecasts. These probabilistic predictions directly support spectrum-aware RAN functions such as dynamic carrier activation, congestion avoidance, and proactive spectrum sharing, making the proposed framework well-suited for dynamic spectrum access scenarios.

The physical resource block (PRB) allocation in Radio Access Networks (RANs) traditionally relies on case-by-case manual problem construction or, more recently, learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) methods. However, the sixth-generation (6G) RAN environments confront unprecedented service diversity and exponential dynamics, featuring volatile fluctuations in active base stations (BSs), user scale, and stringent Quality-of-Service (QoS) requirements. Faced with such conditions, both manual models and standard AI algorithms remain fundamentally rigid, lacking the flexibility to adapt and self-evolve. To provide a one-size-fits-all solution, we propose treating the PRB allocation problem as an Optimization-as-a-Service (OaaS) provided by a large language model multi-agent (LLM-MA) system. This fundamentally reshapes RAN resource allocation by utilizing agents to dynamically construct optimization problems and automatically determine objectives tailored to real-time scenarios. Our closed-loop architecture, integrating scene understanding, objective generation, solver, and reflection agents, enables context-aware, self-correcting formulation. To eliminate the computational latency of iterative reflection, we introduce a one-shot reflection distillation mechanism, training a lightweight student model to directly predict refined objective parameters. We theoretically bound the performance gap of this one-shot policy. Experimental results demonstrate our framework achieves near-optimal resource allocation with ultra-low inference latency.

Key Performance Measurement (KPM) forecasting is essential for proactive network management of 5G and next-generation telecom networks. However, existing machine learning (ML) approaches face significant limitations in scalability and explainability, restricting their effectiveness in real-world deployments. We propose TelcoAgent, a foundation model-based framework that enables accurate, scalable, and explainable forecasting of multiple KPMs across diverse network cells without the need for site-specific training. Specifically, the framework comprises three key components: (i) an automated three-agent pipeline that constructs a 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) knowledge graph directly from specification documents, (ii) a scalable, time-series foundation model (TSFM)-based prediction pipeline to deliver accurate, zero-shot forecasting, and finally (iii) a reasoning and explanation pipeline that provides actionable, domain-grounded diagnostics. Evaluated using a 3-month, real-world, city-scale 5G KPM dataset from a U.S.-based network operator, TelcoAgent demonstrates high forecasting accuracy for all 7 considered KPMs per cell across 200 cells, while delivering explainable insights and actionable instructions to address network degradations.