Abstract
Deep learning models for multi-modal breast cancer diagnosis achieve high predictive accuracy but remain clinically unacceptable without actionable, counterfactual explanations. Attribution-based methods (LIME, SHAP) are categorically inapplicable to this purpose, as they generate no alternative instances and thus cannot be evaluated on counterfactual quality metrics. This investigation provides empirical evidence that FCA-Guided Counterfactual (FCA-CF) framework that uses a Formal Concept Analysis (FCA) concept lattice as a hard structural constraint on counterfactual search, operating over a multi-modal TCGA-BRCA dataset. We benchmark against four genuine counterfactual methods: Wachter-style CF, DiCE, FACE, and NICE, evaluated on 60 benign-predicted TCGA-BRCA instances. The FCA-CF framework achieves Validity = 1.0000 (100% of counterfactuals successfully flip the prediction), Sparsity = 2.37 features changed (best among all valid methods), and Proximity = 0.900 (normalised L2-based, matching NICE as joint best). The classifier achieves Accuracy = 0.980, F1 = 0.976, ROC-AUC = 0.9947. Ablation analysis confirms that the FCA lattice constraint is the primary sparsity driver (removing it increases sparsity by +40%, p < 0.001, Cohen's d = 0.78), while Phase C greedy refinement accounts for the largest individual contribution (+113% sparsity increase when disabled, p < 0.001, d = 5.01). FCA-guided counterfactual generation achieves a clinically important Pareto-dominant outcome; it is simultaneously the sparsest and among the most proximate of all valid methods, with perfect validity. The emergent sparsity property arising from lattice topology rather than numerical penalty terms constitutes a structurally novel contribution to the counterfactual explanation literature.
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May 29, 2026cs.LG
Multimodal models in oncology can produce accurate predictions, but accurate prediction does not reveal whether the model has learned biology that is shared across modalities, biology confined to one modality, or spurious correlations that reflect confounders rather than genuine biology. We introduce DECAT, a model-agnostic post-hoc evaluation framework that classifies multimodal representations into four diagnostic scenarios for a given task and modality, using five null-referenced metrics and a rule-based decision procedure. The framework operates on learned representations, requires no knowledge of which specific confounder is present, and returns indeterminate when the evidence is insufficient. We validate DECAT on synthetic data across four multimodal model classes (over 2,500 trained representations) and on real data from 8,979 TCGA patients, evaluating both multimodal embeddings and five pretrained pathology foundation models. Entangled models (e.g., CLIP) achieve near-perfect shared biology detection but falsely claim shared biology in the majority of cases where it is absent on real foundation model embeddings. This false claim rate increases with confound strength so that larger cohorts and stronger representations produce more confident but still incorrect diagnoses. Applied to both multimodal TCGA embeddings and five pathology foundation models without paired RNA, DECAT detects confounding invisible to AUROC without requiring the confounder labels, as confirmed by post-hoc stratification.
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Breast cancer remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality among women. Its clinical management requires multimodal reasoning across a clinical workflow that spans \textit{screening}, \textit{diagnosis} and \textit{treatment planning}, where each stage involves distinct imaging modalities, task objectives, and reasoning patterns. However, constrained by data scarcity and model versatility, existing medical MLLMs are typically evaluated on isolated modalities or narrow task families, limiting their ability to support workflow-level clinical reasoning. In this work, we first introduce \textbf{BreastStage}, a workflow-aligned breast imaging instruction corpus comprising 1.86M instruction-following pairs curated from 17 sub-datasets across 5 imaging modalities and 136 task templates. Its held-out split, \textbf{BreastStage-Bench}, provides a comprehensive benchmark for evaluating multimodal reasoning across the breast cancer care continuum. Building on this corpus, we propose \textbf{BreastGPT}, a unified MLLM equipped with a dual-branch visual encoder and concept-preserving token compression to bridge the scale gap between standard radiology and gigapixel pathology. On BreastStage-Bench, BreastGPT achieves 75.66% closed-ended accuracy and 89.92% open-ended score, outperforming both general-purpose and medical-specific MLLMs across clinical stages and task formats. These results suggest that workflow-aligned data and cross-scale visual modeling are critical for clinically grounded medical MLLMs. All data, code, and model checkpoints are released at https://yangyy-liu.github.io/BreastGPT.io.
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