A Multimodal Dataset for Survival Prediction in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
Authors: Anh-Tien Nguyen, Mawuko Tettey, Jacqueline Michelle Metsch, Teresa Zimmer, Niklas Ullrich, Mario Duker, Sandra Rungeling, Kirsten Reuter-Jessen, +9 more
Organizations: Institute for Predictive Deep Learning for Medicine and Healthcare, Giessen University, Germany · Department of Medical Informatics, University Medical Center Göttingen, Germany · Institute of Pathology, University Medical Center Göttingen, Germany · Department of General, Visceral and Pediatric Surgery, University Medical Center Göttingen, Germany · Department of Gastroenterology, Gastrointestinal Oncology and Endocrinology, University Medical Center Göttingen, Germany
Survival research in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is limited by the scarcity of datasets linking whole-slide histology with clinical, molecular, and long-term outcome data. We present a retrospective single-centre cohort of 302 patients who underwent PDAC resection at University Medical Center Gottingen. The dataset comprises 446 H&E whole-slide images, clinicopathological variables, targeted sequencing data for 154 patients, and overall-survival outcomes. During follow-up, 253 patients died, and the median follow-up was 76 months. To establish initial reference values, we evaluated fourteen survival-prediction configurations using identical five-repetition Monte Carlo cross-validation partitions. Ridge Cox regression using numeric clinicopathological variables achieved a mean concordance of 0.649±0.042 and 0.652±0.046 after adding KRAS and TP53 mutation status. The image-only attention model achieved 0.603±0.030, while multimodal fusion achieved 0.619±0.025, the highest concordance among the neural models. These results establish promising initial benchmarks for future research using this pancreas-specific multimodal dataset, paving the way for external validation.
Figures & tables
Characteristic
Value
Missing, n (%)
Age at diagnosis, years - median [IQR]
68 [62-74]
0 (0.0)
Sex, male - n (%)
179 (59.3)
0 (0.0)
Histologic grade - n (%)
0 (0.0)
G1
7 (2.3)
G2
206 (68.2)
G3
89 (29.5)
Table 1 : Characteristics of the WSI analysis cohort ( n=302 patients).
Input representation
Backbone
Model
C-index
Clinical
Numeric
Cox
0.6489±0.0424
Clinical
Numeric
ISD
0.5992±0.0397
Clinical
CONCH
Cox
0.5623±0.0363
Clinical
CONCH
ISD
0.5935±0.0105
Clinical + Mutation
Numeric
Cox
0.6516±0.0457
Clinical + Mutation
Numeric
ISD
0.5893±0.0600
Table 2 : Test-set concordance (mean ± SD over five Monte Carlo repetitions). Clinical feature set: age, sex, grade, pT, pN, margin status, LNR. Mutation feature set: TP53, KRAS.
Appendix figures & tables1 asset
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Figure 1 : Availability of targeted sequencing data among 302 patients with whole-slide image features.
Accurate determination of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resectability relies on evaluating how the tumor interacts with major peripancreatic vessels on CT imaging, yet expert assessment often shows substantial variability. We introduce a fully automated multimodal deep learning framework that jointly analyzes 3D contrast enhanced CT and structured clinical information to classify patients into the three National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) resectability categories (upfront resectable, borderline resectable, locally advanced). The approach uses a Swin-UNETR backbone to obtain anatomy aware image representations through auxiliary segmentation of pancreas, tumor, and vascular structures. These features are fused with a compact clinical embedding derived from 17 routinely collected variables and processed by a lightweight classification head. Model training is guided by a dynamic multitask objective that adapts the balance between segmentation and classification based on current tumor Dice performance, promoting feature representations that remain both anatomically informed and discriminative.
Vincent Ochs, Christoph Kuemmerli, Florentin Bieder +12
University of Basel, Department of Biomedical Engineering, 4123 Allschwil, Switzerland · Clarunis, University Digestive Health Centre, Basel, Switzerland · Department of General Surgery, Kantonsspital Aarau, Tellstrasse, 5000, Aarau, Switzerland +3
Surgical resection remains the only potentially curative treatment for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), and eligibility depends on accurate assessment of vascular invasion (VI), i.e., tumor extension into adjacent critical vessels. Despite its importance for preoperative staging and surgical planning, computational VI assessment remains underexplored. Two major challenges are the lack of public datasets and the diagnostic ambiguity at the tumor-vessel interface, which leads to substantial inter-rater variability even among expert radiologists. To address these limitations, we introduce the CURVAS-PDACVI Dataset and Challenge, an open benchmark for uncertainty-aware AI in PDAC staging based on a densely annotated dataset with five independent expert annotations per scan. We also propose a multi-metric evaluation framework that extends beyond spatial overlap to include probabilistic calibration and VI assessment. Evaluation of six state-of-the-art methods shows that strong global volumetric overlap does not necessarily translate into reliable performance at clinically critical tumor-vessel interfaces. In particular, methods optimized for binary segmentation perform competitively on average overlap metrics, but often degrade in high-complexity cases with low expert consensus, either collapsing in volume or overextending at uncertain boundaries. In contrast, methods that model inter-rater disagreement produce better calibrated probabilistic maps and show greater robustness in these ambiguous cases. The benchmark highlights the limitations of volumetric accuracy as a proxy for localized surgical utility, motivating uncertainty-aware probabilistic models for preoperative decision-making.
M. Riera-Marín, O. K. Sikha, J. Rodríguez-Comas +23
BCN Medtech, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain · Universitätsklinikum Erlangen, Department of Radiology of the Uniklinikum Erlangen (UKER), Erlangen, Germany · University Hospital Erlangen, Imaging Science Institute, Erlangen, Germany +10
Breast cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, and timely accurate diagnosis is critical to improving survival outcomes. While convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have demonstrated strong performance on histopathology image classification, and machine learning models on structured electronic health records (EHR) have shown utility for clinical risk stratification, most existing work treats these modalities in isolation. This paper presents a systematic multimodal framework that integrates patch-level histopathology features from the BreCaHAD dataset with structured clinical data from MIMIC-IV. We train and evaluate unimodal image models (a simple CNN baseline and ResNet-18 with transfer learning), unimodal tabular models (XGBoost and a multilayer perceptron), and an intermediate-fusion model that concatenates latent representations from both modalities. ResNet-18 achieves near-perfect accuracy (1.000) and AUC (1.000) on three-class patch-level classification, while XGBoost achieves 98% accuracy on the EHR prediction task. The intermediate fusion model yields a macro-average AUC of 0.997, outperforming all unimodal baselines and delivering the largest improvements on the diagnostically critical but class-imbalanced mitosis category (AUC 0.994). Grad-CAM and SHAP interpretability analyses validate that model decisions align with established pathological and clinical criteria. Our results demonstrate that multimodal integration delivers meaningful improvements in both predictive performance and clinical transparency.
Aditya Shribhagwan Khandelwal, Mohammad Samar Ansari, Asra Aslam
University of Sheffield, UK · University of Chester, UK