Organizations: Accident Research Institute (ARI) Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET) Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh · Department of Civil Engineering Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET) Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh
This study presents the Neuro-Memory Fuzzy Inference System (NeMeFIS), a hierarchical machine learning architecture that asymmetrically models acceleration and deceleration in car following behavior by integrating five human memory types procedural, working, episodic, semantic, and declarative. By linking external variables to memory functions via metaheuristics and validating them through factor and p-value analyses, NeMeFIS uncovers latent cognitive influences across Arterial, Collector, and Rural Highway corridors for different types of vehicles. Results from 54 different trained models emphasize cognitive thresholds shaped by driver perception limits and cognitive load. The trained NeMeFIS models outperform traditional statistical and conventional machine learning models in replicating realistic driving behavior, including comparisons with Linear Regression, ANFIS, and LSTM architectures. Fuzzy rule analysis reveals that declarative memory demands the highest rule, especially during deceleration, indicating complex braking decisions. Procedural memory drives acceleration, while semantic and declarative memory guide deceleration. Risk perception also emerges as a key factor, particularly on urban roads. Validated on both heterogeneous and homogeneous datasets, NeMeFIS offers a robust framework for modeling driver cognition. The findings support psychotherapeutic applications and the development of adaptive, human-like decision systems in Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) to enhance traffic safety.
Gap-closing rate and visual looming swap discriminative dominance depending on deceleration intensity - a finding that reconciles a long-standing conflict in the car-following literature and challenges spacing-centered assumptions in traditional driver behavior models. This study presents a two-stage analytical framework that distinguishes between information availability (kinematic variables measurable in the environment) and information utilization (variables that demonstrably separate driver behavioral patterns), applied to 1,060,119 valid car-following observations from the NGSIM trajectory dataset (2,932 vehicles). Six kinematic features are extracted, and deceleration events are detected under two threshold conditions (-0.5 m/s^2 and -0.3 m/s^2). K-means clustering identifies behavioral modes, and one-way ANOVA with eta-squared effect sizes ranks each feature's discriminative power. Three key findings emerge: (1) threshold selection fundamentally shapes behavioral inference - the stricter threshold yields three interpretable modes while the permissive threshold collapses these to two; (2) hard braking prioritizes gap-closing rate (eta^2 = 0.715) while moderate braking emphasizes visual looming (eta^2 = 0.574); and (3) spacing headway is negligible (eta^2 <= 0.014) across both thresholds. These findings provide empirically grounded candidates for perceptual cue prioritization and have direct implications for ADAS warning system design and autonomous vehicle control.
Eni Solomon Laughter
COLLEGE OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING, CHANG'AN UNIVERSITY, XI'AN 710064, CHINA
End-to-end autonomous driving models plan future trajectories from raw sensor input. While earlier driving benchmarks often measured deviation from the human trajectory, current benchmarks such as NAVSIM and Bench2Drive evaluate models with richer simulation-based metrics intended to capture safe and compliant driving. A high benchmark score should reflect that a model can understand the scene in front of it and act accordingly. But how much of that score specifically comes from reacting to the dynamic part of that scene? To probe this, we remove a model's camera input and replace it with memories from prior drives at the same location. The retrieved memories can provide persistent scene information, including road layout and location-conditioned regularities, but not the current traffic state. Surprisingly, memory is nearly sufficient on NAVSIM, reaching or even exceeding the performance of leading end-to-end methods without actually observing the evaluated scene. Our results suggest that a high NAVSIM score does not require a planner to react to the current traffic scene and should be treated with caution. This effect is benchmark-dependent: driving from memory causes substantially larger performance drops on Bench2Drive and RealEngine. We provide our code at https://github.com/boschresearch/MemoryDrivoR .
Christian Löwens, Thorben Funke, Alexandru Paul Condurache
Bosch Research · University of Lübeck · Automated Driving, Bosch
Urban deceleration is one of the most empirically studied yet least taxonomically organized behaviors in car-following research. Recent perception-equipped autonomous-vehicle datasets enable trajectory-anchored mode discovery. We extract 1,219 sustained deceleration events from 234 urban driving logs of the Argoverse 2 Sensor dataset, encode each event in a 19-dimensional kinematic feature vector, discover behavioral modes via K-means clustering with bootstrap stability analysis, and quantify modulation by eleven scene-context variables. A HistGradientBoosting classifier predicts mode membership from the first 1.0 s of each event. Four stable modes emerge with a bootstrap Adjusted Rand Index of 0.897 across 50 resamples: anticipatory soft (62.8%), reactive closing (30.6%), brake-like jerk (4.8%), and an outlier category (1.8%). Only pair age shows a medium effect (epsilon^2 = 0.085); scene geometry and vulnerable-road-user proximity show negligible effects. The early-event classifier achieves macro-F1 = 0.758 at 1.0 s, with scene context contributing +0.059 F1 over kinematics alone. Modes are regime-invariant in medium-speed driving (ARI = 0.817) but regime-dependent at low speed (ARI = 0.166). A small set of stable kinematic modes structures urban deceleration; early-window jerk dominates predictive signal; and pair age is the primary contextual modulator.
Eni Solomon Laughter
School of Transportation Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China