Urban Deceleration Behavior Modes Under Scene Context: An Early-Kinematic Classifier from Argoverse 2 Multi-Agent Trajectories

Gap-closing rate and visual looming swap discriminative dominance depending on deceleration intensity - a finding that reconciles a long-standing conflict in the car-following literature and challenges spacing-centered assumptions in traditional driver behavior models. This study presents a two-stage analytical framework that distinguishes between information availability (kinematic variables measurable in the environment) and information utilization (variables that demonstrably separate driver behavioral patterns), applied to 1,060,119 valid car-following observations from the NGSIM trajectory dataset (2,932 vehicles). Six kinematic features are extracted, and deceleration events are detected under two threshold conditions (-0.5 m/s^2 and -0.3 m/s^2). K-means clustering identifies behavioral modes, and one-way ANOVA with eta-squared effect sizes ranks each feature's discriminative power. Three key findings emerge: (1) threshold selection fundamentally shapes behavioral inference - the stricter threshold yields three interpretable modes while the permissive threshold collapses these to two; (2) hard braking prioritizes gap-closing rate (eta^2 = 0.715) while moderate braking emphasizes visual looming (eta^2 = 0.574); and (3) spacing headway is negligible (eta^2 <= 0.014) across both thresholds. These findings provide empirically grounded candidates for perceptual cue prioritization and have direct implications for ADAS warning system design and autonomous vehicle control.

Joint motion forecasts pair each autonomous-vehicle (AV) future with surrounding traffic, but actor-level metrics do not show whether that structure matters to a planner. We study this question with a marginal-preserving product control that removes AV-traffic pairing among the learned modes while retaining the fixed constant-velocity pair and holding trajectories, actor-level marginals before planner conditioning, candidates, the cost terms and weights, and fallback fixed. The intervention also changes candidate-conditioned concentration. Across twelve runs on 1,400 held-out Argoverse 2 scenarios, the intervention changes 3.0% of route-level offline selections at $τ=4$ m. Control-minus-joint recorded-trajectory regret is $-0.026$ and $-0.118$ at the two training sizes; crossed and seed-$t$ intervals span zero. At $τ=1$ m, relative costs change in 87.9% of route evaluations and route-level offline selections in 8.1%. Before concentration matching, descriptive outcome estimates favor the control. Most of this gap disappears along an approximate concentration-matching path; the remaining contrasts are $+0.112$ and $-0.047$, and both crossed intervals span zero. Actor-level forecast metrics remain identical. Pairing-strength and temperature sweeps show that the decision contrast grows with pairing removal and sharper conditioning. The intervention changes planner decisions even though actor-level metrics remain unchanged. The matching analysis, however, cannot separate any recorded-outcome effect of learned-mode AV-traffic pairing from the accompanying change in conditioned concentration.

In our prior work, Pedestrian Archetypes, we defined pedestrian archetypes as collections of behaviors that uniquely identify a specific type of pedestrian. The first paper proposed 12 pedestrian archetypes, including the Wanderer, Drunk, Distracted, Flash, Indecisive, Blind, Flock, Jaywalker, Elderly, Kid, Eventful, and Parked Pedestrian. These archetypes were introduced to move beyond single behavior labels and provide a more natural way to describe how dangerous pedestrians actually behave progressively in real-world traffic scenarios. However, upon further annotation of YouTube dash-cam videos, we identified 7 additional pedestrian archetypes with observable and significant behavioral differences from the previously proposed ones. These new archetypes capture pedestrian behavior patterns that could not be fully explained by the original taxonomy. In this pre-print, we introduce each new archetype, define its essential and optional behaviors, explain how it differs from previously proposed archetypes, and provide video-frame evidence showing the archetype in action.