eess.SYMay 6, 2026

Kinematic Discriminants of Deceleration Behavior Modes in Car-Following: Evidence from NGSIM Trajectory Data

Authors: Eni Solomon Laughter

Organizations: COLLEGE OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING, CHANG'AN UNIVERSITY, XI'AN 710064, CHINA

Abstract

Gap-closing rate and visual looming swap discriminative dominance depending on deceleration intensity - a finding that reconciles a long-standing conflict in the car-following literature and challenges spacing-centered assumptions in traditional driver behavior models. This study presents a two-stage analytical framework that distinguishes between information availability (kinematic variables measurable in the environment) and information utilization (variables that demonstrably separate driver behavioral patterns), applied to 1,060,119 valid car-following observations from the NGSIM trajectory dataset (2,932 vehicles). Six kinematic features are extracted, and deceleration events are detected under two threshold conditions (-0.5 m/s^2 and -0.3 m/s^2). K-means clustering identifies behavioral modes, and one-way ANOVA with eta-squared effect sizes ranks each feature's discriminative power. Three key findings emerge: (1) threshold selection fundamentally shapes behavioral inference - the stricter threshold yields three interpretable modes while the permissive threshold collapses these to two; (2) hard braking prioritizes gap-closing rate (eta^2 = 0.715) while moderate braking emphasizes visual looming (eta^2 = 0.574); and (3) spacing headway is negligible (eta^2 <= 0.014) across both thresholds. These findings provide empirically grounded candidates for perceptual cue prioritization and have direct implications for ADAS warning system design and autonomous vehicle control.

Explore similar work

CardsList
Jun 21, 2026cs.RO

Urban Deceleration Behavior Modes Under Scene Context: An Early-Kinematic Classifier from Argoverse 2 Multi-Agent Trajectories

Urban deceleration is one of the most empirically studied yet least taxonomically organized behaviors in car-following research. Recent perception-equipped autonomous-vehicle datasets enable trajectory-anchored mode discovery. We extract 1,219 sustained deceleration events from 234 urban driving logs of the Argoverse 2 Sensor dataset, encode each event in a 19-dimensional kinematic feature vector, discover behavioral modes via K-means clustering with bootstrap stability analysis, and quantify modulation by eleven scene-context variables. A HistGradientBoosting classifier predicts mode membership from the first 1.0 s of each event. Four stable modes emerge with a bootstrap Adjusted Rand Index of 0.897 across 50 resamples: anticipatory soft (62.8%), reactive closing (30.6%), brake-like jerk (4.8%), and an outlier category (1.8%). Only pair age shows a medium effect (epsilon^2 = 0.085); scene geometry and vulnerable-road-user proximity show negligible effects. The early-event classifier achieves macro-F1 = 0.758 at 1.0 s, with scene context contributing +0.059 F1 over kinematics alone. Modes are regime-invariant in medium-speed driving (ARI = 0.817) but regime-dependent at low speed (ARI = 0.166). A small set of stable kinematic modes structures urban deceleration; early-window jerk dominates predictive signal; and pair age is the primary contextual modulator.
Eni Solomon Laughter
Naturalistic Driving DataModulationGoverned
AskPDF
May 18, 2026cs.NE

Reinterpreting Safety Thresholds as Neuron Spiking Thresholds

Surrogate Safety Measures (SSMs) are extensively utilised in the evaluation of traffic risk in automated driving contexts. However, the majority of SSM-based evaluations employ fixed thresholds that fail to capture the human response to sustained borderline conditions or the reaction to brief, high-risk peaks. The present work proposes a biologically inspired reinterpretation of SSM thresholds. This is modelled as spiking thresholds of leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) neurons, with multiple SSM inputs combined into a spiking neural network (SNN). The SNN is trained to emit spikes that are aligned with human braking onsets. The training data was recorded in a controlled car-following experiment using the 3D-CoAutoSim platform with CARLA/Unreal and a 6-DOF motion platform, where induced critical events were generated. The results demonstrate that the learned spiking activity qualitatively aligns with braking behaviour across scenarios and captures reactions that are not consistently explained by threshold crossings alone. Analysis across participants further indicates that learned input thresholds remain relatively consistent, while learned decay factors encode different temporal sensitivities for the SSMs. The findings of this study indicate that spiking dynamics may serve as a mechanism to facilitate the convergence of objective SSMs with subjective human safety perception.
Enrico Del Re, Mohamed Sabry, Cristina Olaverri-Monreal
Spiking Neural NetworksDead ReckoningAutonomous DrivingSafety BenchmarksAI Safety Alignment
AskPDF
Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

NOVA: Symbolic Regression Discovery of Interpretable Car-Following and Lane-Change Models with Driver Heterogeneity

We present NOVA, an autonomous symbolic regression framework that identifies interpretable car-following and lane-change structures from raw trajectory data with minimal behavioral priors. Applied to 4,765,788 active driving observations from the NGSIM I-80 and US-101 datasets, NOVA's deterministic Rust-powered search engine evaluates over 10,000 candidate algebraic structures and identifies a compact two-term acceleration model under a forward-shifted rolling-mean prediction target. Evaluated under two complementary preprocessing pipelines, NOVA achieves RMSE=1.376m/s2RMSE = 1.376 m/s^2 (R2=15.57%R^2 = 15.57\%) on the intent-forecasting benchmark, outperforming the best recalibrated symbolic-regression baseline (SR-LLM, PNAS~2025) by 0.135 m/s2^2 in RMSE under an identical evaluation protocol. Across eight independent experiments, a single dominant nonlinear term emerges as a robust backbone of human car-following; a residual-guided extension further links the selected structure to an established psychophysical theory of collision avoidance. The discovered feature operators transfer zero-shot between freeway sites with under 3 pp R2R^2 loss. Extended to lane-change modelling within a multinomial logit framework, NOVA achieves 67.4% balanced accuracy under strict vehicle-ID holdout on 502 unseen drivers, surpassing existing lane-changing baselines by +29.8 percentage points on a three-class problem.
Ishak Abassi, Nassim Ali Bouazzouni, Farah Ibelaiden +1
Dead ReckoningTrajectory PredictionSymbolic RegressionAcceleration
AskPDF