cs.LGOct 10, 2026

Game-Theoretic Reinforcement Learning based Topology-Agnostic Defense for Virtual Power Plants

Authors: Pooja Algikar, Stefano Fenu, Kumarsinh Jhala, Siby Plathottam

Organizations: the energy systems and infrastructure assessment division at Argonne National Laboratory

Abstract

The rapid proliferation of distributed energy resources (DERs) aggregated by virtual power plants (VPPs) elevates cybersecurity risk by expanding the attack surface. A coordinated cyberattack has the potential to disrupt distribution-system, bulk-system, and market operations. Existing cyberphysical defense strategies largely assume access to grid network models and operating conditions, which may not be available to third-party aggregators. This paper proposes a novel hybrid, perturbation-based cyber-physical defense for VPP-operated DERs that blends game-theoretic planning with model-free reinforcement learning (RL) under a Bayesian belief-update framework. Topology agnosticism is defined from the VPP information and implementation perspective: the VPP does not require access to the feeder topology, line parameters, switching configuration, or full system state. This work advances the state of the art through three contributions: (1) a multi-output Gaussian process with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for discrete attacker-type inference, probability of detection, and confidence of detection for modeling the belief distribution; (2) moment-matched Gaussian propagation of posterior beliefs across episodes; and (3) an RL policy that adaptively integrates Stackelberg leader (VPP) actions with exploration. Furthermore, we establish equilibrium existence and derive an episode-level closed-loop utility bound connecting attacker-belief uncertainty with GT-RL action alignment. Evaluations on IEEE 13- and 123-Bus feeders with DER portfolios demonstrate effective detection under attacker-model uncertainty and evaluated feeder re-configuration conditions, while requiring no explicit feeder-topology knowledge. Overall, the results indicate that combining bi-level game-theoretic planning, nonparametric Bayesian inference, and adaptive RL is a promising direction for VPP cybersecurity.

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