Predicting Mental Health Help-Seeking Behaviour on Reddit: A Survival Analysis of Linguistic and Behavioural Signals

We present DreamerNLplus, a hybrid framework for modeling mental health dynamics from social media timelines in the CLPsych 2026 shared task. Our system addresses three tasks: psychological state modeling, temporal change detection, and sequence-level summarization. For Task 1, we combine LLM-based data augmentation, DeBERTa classification, and Random Forest regression for structured state prediction. For Task 2, we use few-shot prompting with a locally deployed Llama 3.1 model to detect Switch and Escalation events using short-term temporal context. For Task 3.1, we explore both a deterministic rule-based summarization pipeline and a few-shot LLM-based approach, ranking 2nd officially. Our RAG-based method achieves strong performance in Task 3.2, ranking 1st for Improvement and 3rd for Deterioration, demonstrating its ability to capture recurrent psychological change patterns across timelines. Our analysis reveals key challenges, including the mismatch between classification and regression performance, the difficulty of modeling temporal transitions, and the disagreement between semantic and similarity-based evaluation metrics. These findings highlight the complexity of modeling mental health dynamics and motivate future work on unified evaluation frameworks. We share our code and prompts at https://github.com/4dpicture/CLPsych2026

The growing availability of online support groups has opened up new windows to study mental health through natural language processing (NLP). However, it is hindered by a lack of high-quality, well-validated datasets. Existing studies have a tendency to build task-specific corpora without collecting them into widely available resources, and this makes reproducibility as well as cross-task comparison challenging. In this paper, we present a uniform benchmark set of four Reddit-based datasets for disjoint but complementary tasks: (i) detection of suicidal ideation, (ii) binary general mental disorder detection, (iii) bipolar disorder detection, and (iv) multi-class mental disorder classification. All datasets were established upon diligent linguistic inspection, well-defined annotation guidelines, and human-judgmental verification. Inter-annotator agreement metrics always exceeded the baseline agreement score of 0.8, ensuring the labels' trustworthiness. Previous work's evidence of performance on both transformer and contextualized recurrent models demonstrates that these models receive excellent performances on tasks (F1 ~ 93-99%), further validating the usefulness of the datasets. By combining these resources, we establish a unifying foundation for reproducible mental health NLP studies with the ability to carry out cross-task benchmarking, multi-task learning, and fair model comparison. The presented benchmark suite provides the research community with an easy-to-access and varied resource for advancing computational approaches toward mental health research.

People share mental health diagnoses on social media, yet how such language becomes visible around their self-disclosure, and whether community engagement tracks it, remain unexamined across conditions. We analyze 89,605 Reddit posts from 739 users across eight conditions, removing each user's diagnosis disclosure and aligning their surrounding posts to that anchor. Within the pre-disclosure year, language-visible burden was highest in the month before disclosure for six conditions, earlier for post-traumatic stress disorder and furthest from it for borderline personality disorder, and remained visible afterward rather than resolving. The theme Seeking Clinical Explanations showed the largest early-to-late difference before disclosure in five conditions, yet engagement rarely tracked what users wrote: only 9 of 360 language--engagement correlations survived correction. Disclosure is therefore a waypoint in an unevenly visible process, and we offer implications for community practice and platform design where engagement metrics do not reflect clinical need.