Unobserved Confounders

Unobserved confounders represent a significant challenge in causal inference, where the goal is to accurately estimate the causal effect of an intervention while accounting for variables influencing both the intervention and the outcome. Current research focuses on developing methods to mitigate the bias introduced by these unobserved variables, employing techniques such as optimal transport, variational autoencoders, instrumental variables, and causal learning frameworks within various model architectures (e.g., deep autoregressive models, neural controlled differential equations). Addressing unobserved confounders is crucial for reliable causal inference across diverse fields, improving the accuracy of predictions in areas like climate modeling, healthcare, and recommendation systems, and enabling more robust and fair decision-making.

Papers