Computational Psycholinguistics

Overview

Computational psycholinguistics builds models of how people learn, produce, and understand language, and uses them to explain measurable behavior. Approaches include Bayesian noisy-channel and rational-speaker models, surprisal-based prediction, neural language models, and explicit accounts of syntactic parsing and memory. Researchers test these models against reading times, eye movements, cloze judgments, speech, and EEG or brain-imaging data, across languages and developmental settings. A central tension is that predictive fit—especially from language-model surprisal—does not by itself establish a human-like mechanism, and models often miss integration costs or vary across tasks, languages, and measures.

Latest papers

89 papers13 papers in the last four weeks, up 44% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

May 2, 2026

The grip of grammar on meaning uncertainty: cross-linguistic evidence, neural correlates, and clinical relevance

Isolated word meanings are inherently uncertain. This uncertainty reduces when they are combined and anchored in context. We propose that grammar compresses meaning uncertainty cross-linguistically, which is reflected in brain and selectively disrupted in disorders. Compression was operationalized as the relative difference between non-contextual surprisal estimated from lexical frequency, and contextual surprisal from grammar-sensitive models. In narratives from 20 languages, contextual surprisal reduced frequency-based surprisal. This reduction closely tracked the surprisal cost of reversing word order, and scaled with richer, non-redundant lexis as organized by more complex but optimal dependency structure. During fMRI, surprisal and its reduction explained BOLD activity for comprehension and production in overlapping but distinct regions. Uncertainty reduction was significantly attenuated in aphasia, dementia, and schizophrenia, but remained intact where primary deficit is not language. These findings position uncertainty reduction via grammar as a foundational concept that illuminates principles, brain basis, and disruptions of language.
May 1, 2026

Surprisal Minimisation over Goal-directed Alternatives Predicts Production Choice in Dialogue

We model utterance production as probabilistic cost-sensitive choice over contextual alternatives, using information-theoretic notions of cost. We distinguish between goal-directed alternatives that realise a fixed communicative intent and goal-agnostic alternatives defined only by contextual plausibility, allowing us to derive speaker- and listener-oriented interpretations of different cost measures. We present a procedure to generate both types of alternative sets using language models. Analysing production choices in open-ended dialogue under both deterministic and probabilistic cost minimisation, we find that surprisal minimisation relative to goal-directed alternatives provides the strongest predictive account under both analyses. By contrast, uniform information density and length-based costs exhibit weaker and less consistent predictive power across conditions. More broadly, our study suggests that alternative-conditioned optimisation with LM-generated alternatives provides a principled framework for studying speaker and listener pressures in naturalistic language production.
Apr 30, 2026

On the Proper Treatment of Units in Surprisal Theory

Surprisal theory links human processing effort to the predictability of an upcoming linguistic unit, but empirical work often leaves the notion of a unit underspecified. In practice, experimental stimuli are segmented into linguistically motivated units (e.g., words), while pretrained language models assign probability mass to a fixed token alphabet that typically does not align with those units. As a result, surprisal-based predictors depend implicitly on ad hoc procedures that conflate two distinct modeling choices: the definition of the unit of analysis and the choice of regions of interest over which predictions are evaluated. In this paper, we disentangle these choices and give a unified framework for reasoning about surprisal over arbitrary unit inventories. We argue that surprisal-based analyses should make these choices explicit and treat tokenization as an implementation detail rather than a scientific primitive.
Apr 30, 2026

Syntactically-guided Information Maintenance in Sentence Comprehension

Maintaining information in context is essential in successful real-time language comprehension, but maintenance is cognitively costly and can slow processing. We hypothesize that rational language users selectively maintain information that is crucial for future prediction, guided by syntactic structure. Under this view, two factors affect maintenance cost: the number of predicted heads and the number of incomplete dependencies. Although these factors have been treated as competing hypotheses in the literature, our account predicts that they are not reducible to one another. We show this is the case in a naturalistic reading time dataset in Japanese, a language in which the two factors contrast particularly clearly. We further show that there is a tradeoff such that readers that slow down for maintenance tend to benefit more from predictability, providing additional support for the proposed account. These patterns are not evident in English, however, and we highlight some issues to be resolved to understand the contribution of syntax in memory-efficient processing of various languages.
Apr 28, 2026

Modeling Human-Like Color Naming Behavior in Context

Modeling the emergence of human-like lexicons in computational systems has advanced through the use of interacting neural agents, which simulate both learning and communicative pressures. The NeLLCom-Lex framework (Zhang et al., 2025) allows neural agents to develop pragmatic color naming behavior and human-like lexicons through supervised learning (SL) from human data and reinforcement learning (RL) in referential games. Despite these successes, the lexicons that emerge diverge systematically from human color categories, producing highly non-convex regions in color space, which contrast with the convexity typical of human categories. To address this, we introduce two factors, upsampling rare color terms during SL and multi-listener RL interactions, and adopt a convexity measure to quantify geometric coherence. We find that upsampling improves lexical diversity and system-level informativeness of the color lexicon, while many-listener setups promote more convex color categories. The combination of moderate upsampling and multiple listeners produces lexicons most similar to human systems.
Apr 24, 2026

Fine-Grained Analysis of Shared Syntactic Mechanisms in Language Models

While language models demonstrate sophisticated syntactic capabilities, the extent to which their internal mechanisms align with cross-constructional principles studied in linguistics remains poorly understood. This study investigates whether models employ shared neural mechanisms across different syntactic constructions by applying causal interpretability methods at a granular level. Focusing on filler-gap dependencies and negative polarity item (NPI) licensing, we utilize activation patching to identify the functional roles of specific attention heads and MLP blocks. Our results reveal a highly localized and shared mechanism for filler-gap dependencies located in the early to middle layers, whereas NPI processing exhibits no such unified mechanism. Furthermore, we find that these mechanisms identified by activation patching generalize to out-of-distribution, while distributed alignment search, a supervised interpretability method, is susceptible to overfitting on narrow linguistic distributions. Finally, we validate our findings by demonstrating that the manipulation of the identified components improves model performance on acceptability judgment benchmarks.
Apr 21, 2026

The "Small World of Words" German Free-Association Norms

Free-association norms provide essential empirical data for investigating linguistic, semantic, and cultural phenomena in the cognitive sciences. Although large-scale norms exist for languages such as English, Dutch, Spanish, and Mandarin Chinese, no comparable resource has been available for German. To address this gap, we present free-association norms for 5,877 German cue words as part of the German version of the multilingual Small World of Words (SWOW) project. We describe the data collection procedures, participant characteristics, and our comprehensive preprocessing pipeline before introducing the resulting SWOW-DE data set. Using data from three established psycholinguistic paradigms, we show that SWOW-DE norms robustly predict performance in lexical decision tasks, relatedness judgments, and psycholinguistic word ratings. Furthermore, we demonstrate that SWOW-DE responses compare favorably with existing German resources and provide a preliminary cross-linguistic comparison revealing both shared and language-specific association patterns, highlighting promising directions for future research. Overall, SWOW-DE represents the largest collection of German free associations to date and offers a unique resource for linguistic, psychological, and cross-cultural research.
Apr 20, 2026

Probing for Reading Times

Probing has shown that language model representations encode rich linguistic information, but it remains unclear whether they also capture cognitive signals about human processing. In this work, we probe language model representations for human reading times. Using regularized linear regression on two eye-tracking corpora spanning five languages (English, Greek, Hebrew, Russian, and Turkish), we compare the representations from every model layer against scalar predictors -- surprisal, information value, and logit-lens surprisal. We find that the representations from early layers outperform surprisal in predicting early-pass measures such as first fixation and gaze duration. The concentration of predictive power in the early layers suggests that human-like processing signatures are captured by low-level structural or lexical representations, pointing to a functional alignment between model depth and the temporal stages of human reading. In contrast, for late-pass measures such as total reading time, scalar surprisal remains superior, despite its being a much more compressed representation. We also observe performance gains when using both surprisal and early-layer representations. Overall, we find that the best-performing predictor varies strongly depending on the language and eye-tracking measure.
Apr 20, 2026

Dual Alignment Between Language Model Layers and Human Sentence Processing

A recent study (Kuribayashi et al., 2025) has shown that human sentence processing behavior, typically measured on syntactically unchallenging constructions, can be effectively modeled using surprisal from early layers of large language models (LLMs). This raises the question of whether such advantages of internal layers extend to more syntactically challenging constructions, where surprisal has been reported to underestimate human cognitive effort. In this paper, we begin by exploring internal layers that better estimate human cognitive effort observed in syntactic ambiguity processing in English. Our experiments show that, in contrast to naturalistic reading, later layers better estimate such a cognitive effort, but still underestimate the human data. This dual alignment sheds light on different modes of sentence processing in humans and LMs: naturalistic reading employs a somewhat weak prediction akin to earlier layers of LMs, while syntactically challenging processing requires more fully-contextualized representations, better modeled by later layers of LMs. Motivated by these findings, we also explore several probability-update measures using shallow and deep layers of LMs, showing a complementary advantage to single-layer's surprisal in reading time modeling.
Apr 20, 2026

An Existence Proof for Neural Language Models That Can Explain Garden-Path Effects via Surprisal

Surprisal theory hypothesizes that the difficulty of human sentence processing increases linearly with surprisal, the negative log-probability of a word given its context. Computational psycholinguistics has tested this hypothesis using language models (LMs) as proxies for human prediction. While surprisal derived from recent neural LMs generally captures human processing difficulty on naturalistic corpora that predominantly consist of simple sentences, it severely underestimates processing difficulty on sentences that require syntactic disambiguation (garden-path effects). This leads to the claim that the processing difficulty of such sentences cannot be reduced to surprisal, although it remains possible that neural LMs simply differ from humans in next-word prediction. In this paper, we investigate whether it is truly impossible to construct a neural LM that can explain garden-path effects via surprisal. Specifically, instead of evaluating off-the-shelf neural LMs, we fine-tune these LMs on garden-path sentences so as to better align surprisal-based reading-time estimates with actual human reading times. Our results show that fine-tuned LMs do not overfit and successfully capture human reading slowdowns on held-out garden-path items; they even improve predictive power for human reading times on naturalistic corpora and preserve their general LM capabilities. These results provide an existence proof for a neural LM that can explain both garden-path effects and naturalistic reading times via surprisal, but also raise a theoretical question: what kind of evidence can truly falsify surprisal theory?
Apr 12, 2026

Expect the Unexpected? Testing the Surprisal of Salient Entities

Previous work examining the Uniform Information Density (UID) hypothesis has shown that while information as measured by surprisal metrics is distributed more or less evenly across documents overall, local discrepancies can arise due to functional pressures corresponding to syntactic and discourse structural constraints. However, work thus far has largely disregarded the relative salience of discourse participants. We fill this gap by studying how overall salience of entities in discourse relates to surprisal using 70K manually annotated mentions across 16 genres of English and a novel minimal-pair prompting method. Our results show that globally salient entities exhibit significantly higher surprisal than non-salient ones, even controlling for position, length, and nesting confounds. Moreover, salient entities systematically reduce surprisal for surrounding content when used as prompts, enhancing document-level predictability. This effect varies by genre, appearing strongest in topic-coherent texts and weakest in conversational contexts. Our findings refine the UID competing pressures framework by identifying global entity salience as a mechanism shaping information distribution in discourse.
Apr 10, 2026

Across the Levels of Analysis: Explaining Predictive Processing in Humans Requires More Than Machine-Estimated Probabilities

Under the lens of Marr's levels of analysis, we critique and extend two claims about language models (LMs) and language processing: first, that predicting upcoming linguistic information based on context is central to language processing, and second, that many advances in psycholinguistics would be impossible without large language models (LLMs). We further outline future directions that combine the strengths of LLMs with psycholinguistic models.
Mar 31, 2026

Polish phonology and morphology through the lens of distributional semantics

This study investigates the relationship between the phonological and morphological structure of Polish words and their meanings using Distributional Semantics. In the present analysis, we ask whether there is a relationship between the form properties of words containing consonant clusters and their meanings. Is the phonological and morphonological structure of complex words mirrored in semantic space? We address these questions for Polish, a language characterized by non-trivial morphology and an impressive inventory of morphologically-motivated consonant clusters. We use statistical and computational techniques, such as t-SNE, Linear Discriminant Analysis and Linear Discriminative Learning, and demonstrate that -- apart from encoding rich morphosyntactic information (e.g. tense, number, case) -- semantic vectors capture information on sub-lexical linguistic units such as phoneme strings. First, phonotactic complexity, morphotactic transparency, and a wide range of morphosyntactic categories available in Polish (case, gender, aspect, tense, number) can be predicted from embeddings without requiring any information about the forms of words. Second, we argue that computational modelling with the discriminative lexicon model using embeddings can provide highly accurate predictions for comprehension and production, exactly because of the existence of extensive information in semantic space that is to a considerable extent isomorphic with structure in the form space.
Mar 31, 2026

Convergent Representations of Linguistic Constructions in Human and Artificial Neural Systems

Understanding how the brain processes linguistic constructions is a central challenge in cognitive neuroscience and linguistics. Recent computational studies show that artificial neural language models spontaneously develop differentiated representations of Argument Structure Constructions (ASCs), generating predictions about when and how construction-level information emerges during processing. The present study tests these predictions in human neural activity using electroencephalography (EEG). Ten native English speakers listened to 200 synthetically generated sentences across four construction types (transitive, ditransitive, caused-motion, resultative) while neural responses were recorded. Analyses using time-frequency methods, feature extraction, and machine learning classification revealed construction-specific neural signatures emerging primarily at sentence-final positions, where argument structure becomes fully disambiguated, and most prominently in the alpha band. Pairwise classification showed reliable differentiation, especially between ditransitive and resultative constructions, while other pairs overlapped. Crucially, the temporal emergence and similarity structure of these effects mirror patterns in recurrent and transformer-based language models, where constructional representations arise during integrative processing stages. These findings support the view that linguistic constructions are neurally encoded as distinct form-meaning mappings, in line with Construction Grammar, and suggest convergence between biological and artificial systems on similar representational solutions. More broadly, this convergence is consistent with the idea that learning systems discover stable regions within an underlying representational landscape - recently termed a Platonic representational space - that constrains the emergence of efficient linguistic abstractions.
Mar 29, 2026

What can LLMs tell us about the mechanisms behind polarity illusions in humans? Experiments across model scales and training steps

I use the Pythia scaling suite (Biderman et al. 2023) to investigate if and how two well-known polarity illusions, the NPI illusion and the depth charge illusion, arise in LLMs. The NPI illusion becomes weaker and ultimately disappears as model size increases, while the depth charge illusion becomes stronger in larger models. The results have implications for human sentence processing: it may not be necessary to assume "rational inference" mechanisms that convert ill-formed sentences into well-formed ones to explain polarity illusions, given that LLMs cannot plausibly engage in this kind of reasoning, especially at the implicit level of next-token prediction. On the other hand, shallow, "good enough" processing and/or partial grammaticalization of prescriptively ungrammatical structures may both occur in LLMs. I propose a synthesis of different theoretical accounts that is rooted in the basic tenets of construction grammar.
Mar 24, 2026

Revisiting Real-Time Digging-In Effects: No Evidence from NP/Z Garden-Paths

Digging-in effects, where disambiguation difficulty increases with longer ambiguous regions, have been cited as evidence for self-organized sentence processing, in which structural commitments strengthen over time. In contrast, surprisal theory predicts no such effect unless lengthening genuinely shifts statistical expectations, and neural language models appear to show the opposite pattern. Whether digging-in is a robust real-time phenomenon in human sentence processing -- or an artifact of wrap-up processes or methodological confounds -- remains unclear. We report two experiments on English NP/Z garden-path sentences using Maze and self-paced reading, comparing human behavior with predictions from an ensemble of large language models. We find no evidence for real-time digging-in effects. Critically, items with sentence-final versus nonfinal disambiguation show qualitatively different patterns: positive digging-in trends appear only sentence-finally, where wrap-up effects confound interpretation. Nonfinal items -- the cleaner test of real-time processing -- show reverse trends consistent with neural model predictions.
Mar 17, 2026

PyPhonPlan: Simulating phonetic planning with dynamic neural fields and task dynamics

We introduce PyPhonPlan, a Python toolkit for implementing dynamical models of phonetic planning using coupled dynamic neural fields and task dynamic simulations. The toolkit provides modular components for defining planning, perception and memory fields, as well as between-field coupling, gestural inputs, and using field activation profiles to solve tract variable trajectories. We illustrate the toolkit's capabilities through an example application: simulating production/perception loops with a coupled memory field, which demonstrates the framework's ability to model interactive speech dynamics using representations that are temporally-principled, neurally-grounded, and phonetically-rich. PyPhonPlan is released as open-source software and contains executable examples to promote reproducibility, extensibility, and cumulative computational development for speech communication research.
Mar 12, 2026

Algorithmic Consequences of Particle Filters for Sentence Processing: Amplified Garden-Paths and Digging-In Effects

Under surprisal theory, linguistic representations affect processing difficulty only through the bottleneck of surprisal. Our best estimates of surprisal come from large language models, which have no explicit representation of structural ambiguity. While LLM surprisal robustly predicts reading times across languages, it systematically underpredicts difficulty when structural expectations are violated -- suggesting that representations of ambiguity are causally implicated in sentence processing. Particle filter models offer an alternative where structural hypotheses are explicitly represented as a finite set of particles. We prove several algorithmic consequences of particle filter models, including the amplification of garden-path effects. Most critically, we demonstrate that resampling, a common practice with these models, inherently produces real-time digging-in effects -- where disambiguation difficulty increases with ambiguous region length. Digging-in magnitude scales inversely with particle count: fully parallel models predict no such effect.
Mar 9, 2026

Computational modeling of early language learning from acoustic speech and audiovisual input without linguistic priors

Learning to understand speech appears almost effortless for typically developing infants, yet from an information-processing perspective, acquiring a language from acoustic speech is an enormous challenge. This chapter reviews recent developments in using computational models to understand early language acquisition from speech and audiovisual input. The focus is on self-supervised and visually grounded models of perceptual learning. We show how these models are becoming increasingly powerful in learning various aspects of speech without strong linguistic priors, and how many features of early language development can be explained through a shared set of learning principles-principles broadly compatible with multiple theories of language acquisition and human cognition. We also discuss how modern learning simulations are gradually becoming more realistic, both in terms of input data and in linking model behavior to empirical findings on infant language development.
Mar 5, 2026

AILS-NTUA at SemEval-2026 Task 10: Agentic LLMs for Psycholinguistic Marker Extraction and Conspiracy Endorsement Detection

This paper presents a novel agentic LLM pipeline for SemEval-2026 Task 10 that jointly extracts psycholinguistic conspiracy markers and detects conspiracy endorsement. Unlike traditional classifiers that conflate semantic reasoning with structural localization, our decoupled design isolates these challenges. For marker extraction, we propose Dynamic Discriminative Chain-of-Thought (DD-CoT) with deterministic anchoring to resolve semantic ambiguity and character-level brittleness. For conspiracy detection, an "Anti-Echo Chamber" architecture, consisting of an adversarial Parallel Council adjudicated by a Calibrated Judge, overcomes the "Reporter Trap," where models falsely penalize objective reporting. Achieving 0.24 Macro F1 (+100% over baseline) on S1 and 0.79 Macro F1 (+49%) on S2, with the S1 system ranking 3rd on the development leaderboard, our approach establishes a versatile paradigm for interpretable, psycholinguistically-grounded NLP.
Mar 2, 2026

Modeling Grammatical Hypothesis Testing in Young Learners: A Sequence-Based Learning Analytics Study of Morphosyntactic Reasoning in an Interactive Game

This study investigates grammatical reasoning in primary school learners through a sequence-based learning analytics approach, leveraging fine-grained action sequences from an interactive game targeting morphosyntactic agreement in French. Unlike traditional assessments that rely on final answers, we treat each slider movement as a hypothesis-testing action, capturing real-time cognitive strategies during sentence construction. Analyzing 597 gameplay sessions (9,783 actions) from 100 students aged 8-11 in authentic classroom settings, we introduce Hamming distance to quantify proximity to valid grammatical solutions and examine convergence patterns across exercises with varying levels of difficulty. Results reveal that determiners and verbs are key sites of difficulty, with action sequences deviating from left-to-right usual treatment. This suggests learners often fix the verb first and adjust preceding elements. Exercises with fewer solutions exhibit slower and more erratic convergence, while changes in the closest valid solution indicate dynamic hypothesis revision. Our findings demonstrate how sequence-based analytics can uncover hidden dimensions of linguistic reasoning, offering a foundation for real-time scaffolding and teacher-facing tools in linguistically diverse classrooms.
Feb 21, 2026

From Trial by Fire To Sleep Like a Baby: A Lexicon of Anxiety Associations for 20k English Multiword Expressions

Anxiety is the unease about a possible future negative outcome. In recent years, there has been growing interest in understanding how anxiety relates to our health, well-being, body, mind, and behaviour. This includes work on lexical resources for word-anxiety association. However, there is very little anxiety-related work on larger units of text such as multiword expressions (MWE). Here, we introduce the first large-scale lexicon capturing descriptive norms of anxiety associations for more than 20k English MWEs. We show that the anxiety associations are highly reliable. We use the lexicon to study prevalence of different types of anxiety- and calmness-associated MWEs; and how that varies across two-, three-, and four-word sequences. We also study the extent to which the anxiety association of MWEs is compositional (due to its constituent words). The lexicon enables a wide variety of anxiety-related research in psychology, NLP, public health, and social sciences. The lexicon is freely available: https://saifmohammad.com/worrylex.html
Feb 20, 2026

Information-Theoretic Storage Cost in Sentence Comprehension

Real-time sentence comprehension imposes a significant load on working memory, as comprehenders must maintain contextual information to anticipate future input. While measures of such load have played an important role in psycholinguistic theories, they have largely been formalized using symbolic grammars, which assign discrete, uniform costs to syntactic predictions. This study proposes a measure of processing storage cost based on an information-theoretic formalization, as the amount of information previous words carry about future context, under uncertainty. Unlike previous discrete, grammar-based metrics, this measure is continuous, probabilistic, theory-neutral, and can be estimated from pre-trained neural language models. The validity of this approach is demonstrated through three analyses in English: our measure (i) recovers well-known processing asymmetries in center embeddings and relative clauses, (ii) correlates with a grammar-based storage cost in a syntactically-annotated corpus, and (iii) predicts reading-time variance in two large-scale naturalistic datasets over and above baseline models with traditional information-based predictors. Our code is available at https://github.com/kohei-kaji/info-storage.
Feb 19, 2026

On the scaling relationship between cloze probabilities and language model next-token prediction

Recent work has shown that larger language models have better predictive power for eye movement and reading time data. While even the best models under-allocate probability mass to human responses, larger models assign higher-quality estimates of next tokens and their likelihood of production in cloze data because they are less sensitive to lexical co-occurrence statistics while being better aligned semantically to human cloze responses. The results provide support for the claim that the greater memorization capacity of larger models helps them guess more semantically appropriate words, but makes them less sensitive to low-level information that is relevant for word recognition.
Feb 18, 2026

Lyapunov Spectral Analysis of Speech Embedding Trajectories in Psychosis

We analyze speech embeddings from structured clinical interviews of psychotic patients and healthy controls by treating language production as a high-dimensional dynamical process. Lyapunov exponent (LE) spectra are computed from word-level and answer-level embeddings generated by two distinct large language models, allowing us to assess the stability of the conclusions with respect to different embedding presentations. Word-level embeddings exhibit uniformly contracting dynamics with no positive LE, while answer-level embeddings, in spite of the overall contraction, display a number of positive LEs and higher-dimensional attractors. The resulting LE spectra robustly separate psychotic from healthy speech, while differentiation within the psychotic group is not statistically significant overall, despite a tendency of the most severe cases to occupy distinct dynamical regimes. These findings indicate that nonlinear dynamical invariants of speech embeddings provide a physics-inspired probe of disordered cognition whose conclusions remain stable across embedding models.
Feb 16, 2026

Is Information Density Uniform when Utterances are Grounded on Perception and Discourse?

The Uniform Information Density (UID) hypothesis posits that speakers are subject to a communicative pressure to distribute information evenly within utterances, minimising surprisal variance. While this hypothesis has been tested empirically, prior studies are limited exclusively to text-only inputs, abstracting away from the perceptual context in which utterances are produced. In this work, we present the first computational study of UID in visually grounded settings. We estimate surprisal using multilingual vision-and-language models over image-caption data in 30 languages and visual storytelling data in 13 languages, together spanning 11 families. We find that grounding on perception consistently smooths the distribution of information, increasing both global and local uniformity across typologically diverse languages compared to text-only settings. In visual narratives, grounding in both image and discourse contexts has additional effects, with the strongest surprisal reductions occurring at the onset of discourse units. Overall, this study takes a first step towards modelling the temporal dynamics of information flow in ecologically plausible, multimodal language use, and finds that grounded language exhibits greater information uniformity, supporting a context-sensitive formulation of UID.
Feb 4, 2026

LLM surprisal is necessary but not sufficient to capture English garden-path effects: Evidence from joint latent modeling of reading paradigms

Temporarily ambiguous garden-path sentences ("While the team trained the striker wondered... ") are known to cause processing difficulty, which can manifest itself in a variety of reading behaviors (in-situ slowdowns, rereading), as well as in miscomprehension or outright rejection of the sentence as ungrammatical. Which types of reading behavior are observed critically depends on the experimental method used to collect the data, which makes comparing results between reading paradigms difficult. To address this problem, we present a latent-process multinomial processing tree (MPT) model of human reading and comprehension/judgment behavior in garden-path sentences that we fit to combined data from four different reading paradigms (eye tracking, uni- and bidirectional self-paced reading, Maze). The model distinguishes between the probability of adopting an incorrect initial analysis, the cost of encountering an incompatible continuation, and the cost of syntactic reanalysis. By taking into account trials with inattentive reading, more realistic estimates of the cost parameters are obtained. Cross-validation reveals that the MPT model has a better predictive fit to human reading patterns and end-of-trial task data than a model based solely on LLM-derived surprisal values. We also test several models that assume an influence of surprisal within the MPT architecture, and find that adding surprisal as an additional predictor or reading time and/or garden-path cost further improves predictive fit.
Jan 31, 2026

From Associations to Activations: Comparing Behavioral and Hidden-State Semantic Geometry in LLMs

We investigate the extent to which an LLM's hidden-state geometry can be recovered from its behavior in psycholinguistic experiments. Across eight instruction-tuned transformer models, we run two experimental paradigms -- similarity-based forced choice and free association -- over a shared 5,000-word vocabulary, collecting 17.5M+ trials to build behavior-based similarity matrices. Using representational similarity analysis, we compare behavioral geometries to layerwise hidden-state similarity and benchmark against FastText, BERT, and cross-model consensus. We find that forced-choice behavior aligns substantially more with hidden-state geometry than free association. In a held-out-words regression, behavioral similarity (especially forced choice) predicts unseen hidden-state similarities beyond lexical baselines and cross-model consensus, indicating that behavior-only measurements retain recoverable information about internal semantic geometry. Finally, we discuss implications for the ability of behavioral tasks to uncover hidden cognitive states.
Nov 18, 2025

Graded strength of comparative illusions is explained by Bayesian inference

Like visual processing, language processing is susceptible to illusions in which people systematically misperceive stimuli. In one such case--the comparative illusion (CI), e.g., More students have been to Russia than I have--comprehenders tend to judge the sentence as acceptable despite its underlying nonsensical comparison. Prior research has argued that this phenomenon can be explained as Bayesian inference over a noisy channel: the posterior probability of an interpretation of a sentence is proportional to both the prior probability of that interpretation and the likelihood of corruption into the observed (CI) sentence. Initial behavioral work has supported this claim by evaluating a narrow set of alternative interpretations of CI sentences and showing that comprehenders favor interpretations that are more likely to have been corrupted into the illusory sentence. In this study, we replicate and go substantially beyond this earlier work by directly predicting the strength of illusion with a quantitative model of the posterior probability of plausible interpretations, which we derive through a novel synthesis of statistical language models with human behavioral data. Our model explains not only the fine gradations in the strength of CI effects, but also a previously unexplained effect caused by pronominal vs. full noun phrase than-clause subjects. These findings support a noisy-channel theory of sentence comprehension by demonstrating that the theory makes novel predictions about the comparative illusion that bear out empirically. This outcome joins related evidence of noisy channel processing in both illusory and non-illusory contexts to support noisy channel inference as a unified computational-level theory of diverse language processing phenomena.