Human Behavior Modeling

Latest papers

44 papers16 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

May 28, 2026

Early Prediction of Future Behavioral Strategy from Process Traces

Adaptive systems often need to make task-specific decisions about people from limited evidence: a tutor may need to anticipate how a learner will approach a new problem, a game may need to adapt when a player enters a new level, and a human-AI system may need to infer whether a partner will persist with a plan or switch goals. These decisions depend on person-level tendencies that shape how people solve related tasks, but such tendencies are difficult to infer from standard behavioral evidence. One approach is to use aggregate outcome summaries, such as scores, completion rates, or productivity; these summaries are compact and available across tasks, but can collapse distinct behavioral processes into similar outcomes. Another approach is to use process-level traces, which record how behavior unfolds; however, process modeling within one task can entangle stable person-level tendencies with task-specific layout and affordances. In this work, we study early cross-task behavioral inference: whether partial source-task process traces can reveal transferable person-level structure that predicts strategy in a held-out target task. We introduce a Process-Level Latent Variable Model (PLVM), which encodes task-specific traces and fuses them into a shared person-level latent representation for cross-task prediction. In PowerWash Simulator, a naturalistic telemetry dataset of human gameplay, PLVM uses partial traces from two cleaning tasks to predict locally persistent Zone Planner behavior versus frequent Zone Hopper behavior in the held-out Fire Station level. Controlled simulations with known latent types show that cross-task fusion helps when source tasks reveal complementary dimensions of a shared latent process. These results suggest that process-level cross-task modeling can support early prediction of target-task strategy when observing sufficient target-task behavior is impractical.

Robert Kasumba, Dennis Barbour, Chien-Ju Ho

Division of Computational and Data Sciences Washington University in Saint Louis Saint Louis, MO 63130 · Department of Biomedical Engineering Washington University in Saint Louis Saint Louis, MO 63130 · Department of Computer Science Washington University in Saint Louis Saint Louis, MO 63130

Latent Variable Models Human Behavior Modeling Human Behavior Prediction

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May 12, 2026

BEHAVE: Real-Time Modeling of Human Systems as Observable Complex Dynamical Systems and Operational Objects for Physical AI

A robot can track every person and still fail to see the system those people form. BEHAVE treats an interacting human group as a complex dynamical system: a HumanSystem, an observable, persistent, relational object whose state is carried partly by interaction structure. It is therefore neither explicit in independent individual-track representations nor reducible to simple aggregates. We call this operational emergence. On public pedestrian data, interaction evidence improves group discrimination beyond proximity (AUC 0.896->0.933). On 24 bottleneck runs, future-calm and future-breakdown moments matched on density, mean speed, flow and speed dispersion differ in neighbour-level organization under run-level inference (p=0.028). From interaction evidence K, BEHAVE constructs conservative routing P and local dynamics J=-D+GP, separating routing from gain and relaxation. Stability, critical modes and response become explicit model quantities. We derive exact bounds on what topology can change in collective stability, and conditions under which an observable is blind to the mode becoming unstable. In a causal real-data stress test, the coupled operator improves held-out local dynamics over self-only relaxation by 4.5%. The fitted stability margin St is prospectively associated with future throughput loss but overlaps with lag-1 autocorrelation and self-only relaxation; we read it as a model-based early-warning quantity, not a superior scalar alarm. For Physical AI, the HumanSystem provides a real-time human-side object between perception and action. A robot or scheduler can query group state, structure, critical modes and forced response. Action-conditioned stability changes are reported only when supported by identified changes in human dynamics or signed human-machine coupling. Mixed human-machine systems are represented through a joint Jacobian.

Helene Malyutina

Independent Researcher, Collective Dynamics Lab

Dynamical Systems Pedestrian Behavior Modeling Human Behavior Simulation Emergent Behavior in Multi-Agent Systems Human Behavior Modeling

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May 12, 2026

How Well Do Large Language Models Capture Human Personality?

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human populations via persona prompting, often under the assumptions that richer persona descriptions improve behavioral fidelity, similarly sized attribute combinations are equally simulatable, and persona definitions generalize across tasks. In this work, we formalize these assumptions and systematically evaluate them across multiple architectures, scales, and simulation settings. We identify a fundamental limitation we term persona manifold collapse, where increasingly expressive persona specifications lead to systematic contraction of representational and behavioral diversity. Across models, increasing persona complexity consistently reduces inter-persona separation in latent space and weakens behavioral differentiation in downstream simulation tasks. These effects persist across multiple analyses as richer personas fail to preserve human subgroup disagreement, performance varies across attribute combinations of similar size, and adding descriptive detail often degrades rather than improves simulation fidelity. Surprisingly, simple Age-Gender personas consistently outperform richly specified Ideal Customer Profiles (ICPs) across industries, achieving substantially higher downstream prediction accuracy. We find that collapse is not uniform across attributes. Certain combinations remain behaviorally stable and preserve stronger alignment with human responses, forming localized regions we term alignment bridges. Together, our results provide empirical and conceptual foundations for understanding the limits of persona-conditioned simulation, highlighting the need for representation-aware persona construction rather than increasing persona expressivity alone.

Aanisha Bhattacharyya, Yaman Kumar Singla, Rajiv Ratn Shah +2

Adobe Media and Data Science Research (MDSR) · IIIT-Delhi · SUNY at Buffalo

Persona-Conditioned Generation Representation Collapse Large Language Model-Based Role-Play Simulation LLM Evaluation Personality Modeling in Language Models Human Behavior Simulation+2

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May 8, 2026

Reason to Play: Behavioral and Brain Alignment Between Frontier LRMs and Human Game Learners

Humans rapidly learn abstract knowledge when encountering novel environments and flexibly deploy this knowledge to guide efficient and intelligent action. Can modern AI systems learn and plan in a similar way? We study this question using a dataset of complex human gameplay with concurrent fMRI recordings, in which participants learn novel video games that require rule discovery, hypothesis revision, and multi-step planning. We jointly evaluate models by their ability to play the games, match human learning behavior, and predict brain activity during the same task, comparing a suite of frontier Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) against model-free and model-based deep reinforcement learning agents and a Bayesian theory-based agent. We find that frontier LRMs most closely match human behavioral patterns during game discovery and predict brain activity an order of magnitude better than both reinforcement learning alternatives across cortical and subcortical regions, with effects robust to permutation controls. Through targeted manipulations, we further show that brain alignment reflects the model's in-context representation of the game state rather than its downstream planning or reasoning. Our results establish LRMs as compelling computational accounts of human learning and decision making in complex, naturalistic environments. Project page with interactive replays: https://botcs.github.io/reason-to-play/

Botos Csaba, Sreejan Kumar, Austin Tudor David Andrews +6

University of Oxford · Columbia University · New York University +2

Game-Playing Agents Human Behavior Simulation Neural Encoding Large Reasoning Models Human Behavior Modeling

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May 8, 2026

Post-training makes large language models less human-like

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as surrogates for human participants, but it remains unclear which models best capture human behavior and why. To address this, we introduce Psych-201, a novel dataset that enables us to measure behavioral alignment at scale. We find that post-training -- the stage that turns base models into useful assistants -- consistently reduces alignment with human behavior across model families, sizes, and objectives. Moreover, this misalignment widens in newer model generations even as base models continue to improve. Finally, we find that persona-induction -- a popular technique for eliciting human-like behavior by conditioning models on participant-specific information -- does not improve predictions at the level of individuals. Taken together, our results suggest that the very processes that are currently employed to turn LLMs into useful assistants also make them less accurate models of human behavior.

Marcel Binz, Elif Akata, Abdullah Almaatouq +76

LLM Evaluation LLM Alignment Human Behavior Prediction Language Model Post-Training Persona-Conditioned Generation Human Behavior Modeling

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May 6, 2026

Think-Aloud Reshapes Automated Cognitive Model Discovery Beyond Behavior

Computational cognitive models discovered using large language models have so far relied solely on behavioral data. However, it is well-known that models produced from the behavioral trajectory alone are typically under-determined. In this work, we explore the use of Think Aloud traces as an additional form of data constraint during automated model discovery. When applied to the domain of risky decision-making, we find that the models discovered with think-aloud achieve significantly improved predictive performance on held-out data. Additionally, we find that the discovered models belong to different structural classes than those discovered from behavior alone for the majority of participants (69.4%), specifically, it shifts from Explicit comparator towards Integrated utility. These results suggest that process-level language data not only improve model fit, but also systematically reshape the structure of the discovered cognitive models, enabling the identification of mechanisms that are not recoverable from behavior alone.

Hanbo Xie, Akshay K. Jagadish, Lan Pan +1

School of Psychology, Georgia Institute of Technology · Princeton AI Lab, Princeton University · Center of Excellence for Computational Cognition, Georgia Institute of Techonology

Risky Decision-Making Computational Cognitive Modeling Human Behavior Modeling

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Apr 28, 2026

Hierarchical Multi-Persona Induction from User Behavioral Logs: Learning Evidence-Grounded and Truthful Personas

Behavioral logs provide rich signals for user modeling, but are noisy and interleaved across diverse intents. Recent work uses LLMs to generate interpretable natural-language personas from user logs, yet evaluation often emphasizes downstream utility, providing limited assurance of persona quality itself. We propose a hierarchical framework that aggregates user actions into intent memories and induces multiple evidence-grounded personas by clustering and labeling these memories. We formulate persona induction as an optimization problem over persona quality-captured by cluster cohesion, persona-evidence alignment, and persona truthfulness-and train the persona model using a groupwise extension of Direct Preference Optimization (DPO). Experiments on a large-scale service log and two public datasets show that our method induces more coherent, evidence-grounded, and trustworthy personas, while also improving future interaction prediction.

Nayoung Choi, Haeyu Jeong, Changbong Kim +2

Department of Computer Science, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA · Naver Corporation, South Korea

Personality Modeling in Language Models User Modeling Human Behavior Modeling

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Apr 26, 2026

LLMs Reading the Rhythms of Daily Life: Aligned Understanding for Behavior Prediction and Generation

Human daily behavior unfolds as complex sequences shaped by intentions, preferences, and context. Effectively modeling these behaviors is crucial for intelligent systems such as personal assistants and recommendation engines. While recent advances in deep learning and behavior pre-training have improved behavior prediction, key challenges remain--particularly in handling long-tail behaviors, enhancing interpretability, and supporting multiple tasks within a unified framework. Large language models (LLMs) offer a promising direction due to their semantic richness, strong interpretability, and generative capabilities. However, the structural and modal differences between behavioral data and natural language limit the direct applicability of LLMs. To address this gap, we propose Behavior Understanding Alignment (BUA), a novel framework that integrates LLMs into human behavior modeling through a structured curriculum learning process. BUA employs sequence embeddings from pretrained behavior models as alignment anchors and guides the LLM through a three-stage curriculum, while a multi-round dialogue setting introduces prediction and generation capabilities. Experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that BUA significantly outperforms existing methods in both tasks, highlighting its effectiveness and flexibility in applying LLMs to complex human behavior modeling.

Fanjin Meng, Jingtao Ding, Nian Li +2

Department of Electronic Engineering, BNRist, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

LLM Alignment Human Behavior Modeling Human Behavior Simulation Human Behavior Prediction

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Apr 21, 2026

Multi-Cycle Spatio-Temporal Adaptation in Human-Robot Teaming

Effective human-robot teaming is crucial for the practical deployment of robots in human workspaces. However, optimizing joint human-robot plans remains a challenge due to the difficulty of modeling individualized human capabilities and preferences. While prior research has leveraged the multi-cycle structure of domains like manufacturing to learn an individual's tendencies and adapt plans over repeated interactions, these techniques typically consider task-level and motion-level adaptation in isolation. Task-level methods optimize allocation and scheduling but often ignore spatial interference in close-proximity scenarios; conversely, motion-level methods focus on collision avoidance while ignoring the broader task context. This paper introduces RAPIDDS, a framework that unifies these approaches by modeling an individual's spatial behavior (motion paths) and temporal behavior (time required to complete tasks) over multiple cycles. RAPIDDS then jointly adapts task schedules and steers diffusion models of robot motions to maximize efficiency and minimize proximity accounting for these individualized models. We demonstrate the importance of this dual adaptation through an ablation study in simulation and a physical robot scenario using a 7-DOF robot arm. Finally, we present a user study (n=32) showing significant plan improvement compared to non-adaptive systems across both objective metrics, such as efficiency and proximity, and subjective measures, including fluency and user preference. See this paper's companion video at: https://youtu.be/55Q3lq1fINs.

Alex Cuellar, Michael Hagenow, Julie Shah

MIT CSAIL · UW Madison Department of Computer Science

Human Behavior Modeling Human-Robot Collaboration Robot Task Planning Robot Motion Planning

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Apr 15, 2026

Improving Human Performance with Value-Aware Interventions: A Case Study in Chess

AI systems are increasingly used to assist humans in sequential decision-making tasks, yet determining when and how an AI assistant should intervene remains a fundamental challenge. A potential baseline is to recommend the optimal action according to a strong model. However, such actions assume optimal follow-up actions, which human decision makers may fail to execute, potentially reducing overall performance. In this work, we propose and study value-aware interventions, motivated by a basic principle in reinforcement learning: under the Bellman equation, the optimal policy selects actions that maximize the immediate reward plus the value function. When a decision maker follows a suboptimal policy, this policy-value consistency no longer holds, creating discrepancies between the actions taken by the policy and those that maximize the immediate reward plus the value of the next state. We show that these policy-value inconsistencies naturally identify opportunities for intervention. We formalize this problem in a Markov decision process where an AI assistant may override human actions under an intervention budget. In the single-intervention regime, we show that the optimal strategy is to recommend the action that maximizes the human value function. For settings with multiple interventions, we propose a tractable approximation that prioritizes interventions based on the magnitude of the policy-value discrepancy. We evaluate these ideas in the domain of chess by learning models of humans from large-scale gameplay data. In simulation, our approach consistently outperforms interventions based on the strongest chess engine (Stockfish) in a wide range of settings. A within-subject human study with 20 players and 600 games further shows that our interventions significantly improve performance for low- and mid-skill players while matching expert-engine interventions for high-skill players.

Saumik Narayanan, Raja Panjwani, Siddhartha Sen +1

Washington University in St. Louis · Microsoft Research · Georgetown University

Human Behavior Modeling AI-Assisted Decision Making Human-AI Decision Making

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Apr 7, 2026

Context-Value-Action Architecture for Value-Driven Large Language Model Agents

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in simulating human behavior, yet existing agents often exhibit behavioral rigidity, a flaw frequently masked by the self-referential bias of current "LLM-as-a-judge" evaluations. By evaluating against empirical ground truth, we reveal a counter-intuitive phenomenon: increasing the intensity of prompt-driven reasoning does not enhance fidelity but rather exacerbates value polarization, collapsing population diversity. To address this, we propose the Context-Value-Action (CVA) architecture, grounded in the Stimulus-Organism-Response (S-O-R) model and Schwartz's Theory of Basic Human Values. Unlike methods relying on self-verification, CVA decouples action generation from cognitive reasoning via a novel Value Verifier trained on authentic human data to explicitly model dynamic value activation. Experiments on CVABench, which comprises over 1.1 million real-world interaction traces, demonstrate that CVA significantly outperforms baselines. Our approach effectively mitigates polarization while offering superior behavioral fidelity and interpretability.

TianZe Zhang, Sirui Sun, Yuhang Xie +3

State Key Laboratory of General Artificial Intelligence, School of Intelligence Science and Technology, Peking University · Yuanpei College, Peking University · School of Psychological and Cognitive Sciences, Peking University +2

Human Behavior Modeling LLM Agents Large Language Model-Based Social Simulation AI Agent Evaluation

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Mar 17, 2026

Alignment Makes Language Models Normative, Not Descriptive

Post-training alignment optimizes language models to match human preference signals, but this objective is not equivalent to modeling observed human behavior. We compare 120 base-aligned model pairs on more than 10,000 real human decisions in multi-round strategic games - bargaining, persuasion, negotiation, and repeated matrix games. In these settings, base models outperform their aligned counterparts in predicting human choices by nearly 10:1, robustly across model families, prompt formulations, and game configurations. This pattern reverses, however, in settings where human behavior is more likely to follow normative predictions: aligned models dominate on one-shot textbook games across all 12 types tested and on non-strategic lottery choices - and even within the multi-round games themselves, at round one, before interaction history develops. This boundary-condition pattern suggests that alignment induces a normative bias: it improves prediction when human behavior is relatively well captured by normative solutions, but hurts prediction in multi-round strategic settings, where behavior is shaped by descriptive dynamics such as reciprocity, retaliation, and history-dependent adaptation. These results reveal a fundamental trade-off between optimizing models for human use and using them as proxies for human behavior.

Eilam Shapira, Moshe Tennenholtz, Roi Reichart

Technion – Israel Institute of Technology

LLM Alignment Preference Alignment Normative Conformity in Language Models Human Behavior Modeling Human Behavior Prediction

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Oct 16, 2025

HugAgent: A Human Simulation Benchmark for Individual-Level Reasoning

Simulating human reasoning in open-ended tasks has long been a central aspiration in AI and cognitive science. While large language models now approximate human responses at scale, they remain tuned to population-level consensus, often erasing the individuality of reasoning styles and belief trajectories. To advance the vision of more human-like reasoning in machines, we introduce HugAgent (HUman-Grounded AGENT Benchmark), which rethinks human reasoning simulation along three dimensions: (i) from averaged to individualized reasoning, (ii) from behavioral mimicry to cognitive alignment, and (iii) from vignette-based to open-ended data. The benchmark evaluates whether a model can predict a specific person's behavioral responses and the underlying reasoning dynamics in out-of-distribution scenarios, given partial evidence of their prior views. HugAgent combines structured questionnaires with semi-structured think-aloud interviews to collect ecologically valid belief states, belief updates, and reasoning traces from human participants. Our experiments reveal a clear asymmetry: models recover a person's belief state from their own context reasonably well, but struggle to predict belief updates under intervention. Cross-person and cross-domain controls trace this gap to associative matching within a topic rather than identity-consistent reasoning, suggesting that progress requires better-calibrated change detection, not simply more context. We scope the benchmark to self-reported belief reasoning in three policy domains: healthcare, surveillance, and zoning. The benchmark, along with its complete data collection pipeline and companion chatbot, is open-sourced as HugAgent (https://github.com/jajamoa/HugAgent) and TraceYourThinking (https://github.com/jajamoa/trace-your-thinking).

Chance Jiajie Li, Zhenze Mo, Yuhan Tang +11

1MIT Media Lab · 8Northeastern University · 5MIT CEE +7

Cognitive Modeling Human Behavior Simulation AI Agent Benchmarks Human Behavior Prediction Human Behavior Modeling

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Aug 9, 2025

Exploring the Limits of Large Language Models as a Reflection of Human Cognition: An Illustration in the Context of Moral Judgement

Large Language Models (LLMs), such as ChatGPT, are increasingly used in research, ranging from simple writing assistance to complex data annotation tasks. Recently, some research has suggested that LLMs are able to reproduce human responses to psychological questions and may, therefore, be used as simulators of human participants in some psychological research. We caution against this approach. Based on machine learning research, we argue that LLMs are likely to behave differently on novel stimuli compared to human study participants. We exemplify this in an experiment regarding moral judgments, demonstrating that slight changes to the wording of 30 moral scenarios used in prior work significantly reduce the similarity between ratings made by humans and LLMs, although the magnitude of this reduction varies across models. Therefore, we advise researchers to validate the similarity between human and LLM responses for their specific experiment.

Sarah Schröder, Thekla Morgenroth, Ulrike Kuhl +2

Faculty of Technology, Bielefeld University · Department of Psychological Sciences, Purdue University

LLM Reliability Large Language Model-Based Social Simulation Human Behavior Modeling Prompt Sensitivity

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