Inference-Time Compute Allocation
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10 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
Latest papers 53
The rapid growth of large language model (LLM) inference services has increased the demand for efficient multi-tenant GPU scheduling. While modern inference runtimes such as vLLM improve throughput through continuous batching and optimized memory management, accurately estimating the runtime cost of heterogeneous inference requests remains challenging. In practice, admission-time workload estimates may deviate from observed execution behavior, leading to workload misclassification, queue imbalance, increased tail latency, and degraded Quality-of-Service (QoS). This paper presents DriftSched, a QoS-aware scheduling framework for multi-tenant LLM inference serving on NVIDIA L4 GPUs. DriftSched combines workload classification, token-budget estimation, tenant-aware queue management, and an online feedback mechanism to refine workload estimates using runtime observations. The framework evaluates FIFO, Priority, Weighted, Shortest-Job-First (SJF), and Aging Priority scheduling policies under heterogeneous multi-tenant workloads. Experimental results show that adaptive calibration reduces workload estimation error by an average of 38.8% (MAE) and 40.5% (RMSE), improving workload classification stability. Among all evaluated schedulers, SJF achieves the best overall performance, reducing median end-to-end latency by approximately 42% and P99 latency by approximately 16% relative to FIFO under sustained GPU contention. The results further indicate that scheduler selection has a greater impact on latency behavior than runtime calibration alone, while accurate workload characterization largely eliminates systematic estimation drift. This work contributes a reproducible framework for studying workload-estimation fidelity and QoS-aware scheduling in multi-tenant GPU inference systems.
ATLAS: Agentic Test-time Learning-to-Allocate Scaling
Test-time scaling has become a major way to improve large language model reasoning, but its orchestration has remained designer-engineered: a fixed sample budget, a fixed refinement loop, a fixed scoring rule, or a fixed search policy decides how compute is spent, leaving the model in charge of solving but not of orchestration. We introduce ATLAS, an agentic test-time scaling framework in which an LLM orchestrator owns the control loop end-to-end. Through a single action, explore, which dispatches a fresh independent solver on the original problem, the orchestrator decides whether to gather more evidence, when to stop, and how to synthesize the final answer; the action space is extensible, with each explore call optionally specifying solver, reasoning effort, or prompting strategy. We evaluate ATLAS on four benchmarks covering scientific question answering, code generation, and multimodal reasoning under a Claude Sonnet 4.6 backbone, where it reaches 56.00% on HLE-Verified, 82.29% on LiveCodeBench, 85.75% on GPQA-Diamond, and 23.71% on BabyVision while using far fewer API calls than fixed-workflow baselines. A multi-model extension, ATLAS-MM, that exposes solver choice as an additional action dimension further improves HLE-Verified to 60.00% and LiveCodeBench to 85.63%, with consistent gains on GPQA-Diamond and BabyVision. Ablations replacing the orchestrator's direct synthesis with a separate integrator degrade or fail to improve accuracy on three of four benchmarks, consistent with the role of stateful evidence management in producing the gains.
CRB-Guided Framework Design and Resource Allocation for Indoor mmWave ISCC Systems
Integrated sensing, communication, and computation (ISCC) provides a promising framework for indoor human-centric applications. In these applications, short-term human pose prediction facilitates continuous human tracking and resource allocation in advance. In this paper, we propose a Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) guided resource allocation framework for indoor mmWave ISCC systems to minimize the human pose prediction error under communication, latency, and energy constraints. We characterize the impact of sensing power on range-estimation uncertainty and point-cloud perturbation based on the CRB. To capture the impact of computation resources on prediction performance, we adopt an adaptive-depth Mamba-based pose prediction model, where lightweight prediction heads are attached after every layer to enable inference with different model depths. With this unified sensing-computation modeling, we establish a quantitative relationship among sensing power, model depth, and prediction error. Furthermore, we formulate a joint resource allocation problem to minimize the pose prediction error. To solve this problem efficiently, we develop an alternating optimization (AO)-based algorithm, where closed-form solutions are derived for the sensing power and model depth update steps. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme significantly reduces pose prediction error compared with baseline methods, validating its effectiveness for resource-constrained indoor human-centric ISCC systems.
Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation for Adaptive Test-Time Reasoning
Sampling multiple responses improves language model reasoning, but uniform compute allocation is inefficient because easy questions are over-sampled while hard questions remain under-explored. We propose \textbf{Uncertainty-Aware Budget Allocation (UAB)}, a concave integer optimization framework that reallocates a fixed sampling budget using uncertainty estimated from the initial samples themselves. In Phase-1, every question receives a small fixed number of generations. Their answer disagreement, measured by vote entropy, provides a difficulty signal while these generations contribute to the final vote. In Phase-2, the remaining budget is allocated by a marginal-greedy algorithm that optimally solves a concave coverage-maximization surrogate, concentrating samples on questions whose initial answers disagree. Across five open-weight models (1.5B--27B parameters) and five reasoning benchmarks of varying difficulty, UAB improves average accuracy by over uniform allocation, and achieves gains of up to on individual benchmarks, with the largest gains in low-resource settings. Moreover, UAB meets the target budget exactly and requires no auxiliary model or additional LLM calls. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/manhitv/UAB.
Anticipate and Learn: Unleashing Idle-Time Compute in Proactive Agents
While AI agents demonstrate remarkable capabilities in reasoning and tool use, they remain fundamentally reactive: they compute responses only after explicit user prompts. This paradigm ignores a critical opportunity: the idle time between interactions is largely wasted, leaving agents unable to prepare for future user needs. To bridge this gap, we introduce ProAct, a proactive agent architecture that leverages idle-time compute to anticipate and fulfill likely upcoming user needs. By analyzing evolving dialogue history together with persistent memory, ProAct predicts upcoming needs and iteratively acquires information, allowing the agent to resolve knowledge gaps and prepare evidence before the user initiates a query. To rigorously evaluate proactive capabilities, we also introduce ProActEval, a comprehensive benchmark comprising 200 scenarios across 40 domains, featuring predictable need chains and diverse user cognitive profiles. Empirical results demonstrate significant advantages over reactive baselines. ProAct accelerates task completion by reducing required turns by 14.8%, decreases user effort by 11.7%, and cuts hallucination rates by 28.1% on ProActEval. Furthermore, MemBench evaluations confirm that ProAct achieves state-of-the-art reflective accuracy, underscoring its sustained and robust performance.
Computational Challenges in Token Economics: Bridging Economic Theory and AI System Design
Token economics has emerged as a useful lens for understanding resource allocation, value creation, and pricing in large language model systems. While recent work has increasingly treated tokens as economic primitives, there remains a substantial gap between high-level economic theory and the computational realities of modern AI infrastructure. This paper identifies and analyzes the key computational challenges that arise when token-economic principles are implemented in real-time inference systems. We argue that computational feasibility is not merely one dimension of token economics, but its governing constraint: these challenges are driven by fundamental tensions among fine-grained valuation, low-latency execution, and allocation optimality under uncertainty. To structure this problem space, we introduce the notion of \textbf{Computational Token Economics} and propose the \textbf{Token Economics Trilemma} -- a conditional no-free-lunch principle that captures the inherent trade-offs among granularity, real-time performance, and optimality. We further categorize the main technical challenges into three areas: real-time value accounting, constrained resource allocation, and economic-aware system architecture. Rather than presenting a complete solution, this paper aims to define a research agenda for bridging token economics and AI system design, highlighting open problems at the intersection of computational economics, machine learning systems, and AI infrastructure.
Reasoning Can Be Restored by Correcting a Few Decision Tokens
Large reasoning models (LRMs) substantially outperform their base LLM counterparts on challenging reasoning benchmarks, yet it remains poorly understood where base models go wrong during token-by-token generation and how to narrow this gap efficiently. We study the base-reasoning gap through quantifying token-level distributional disagreement between a base model and a stronger reasoning model using likelihood-based divergences. Across benchmarks, we find that the reasoning advantage is highly sparse and concentrates on a small set of early, planning-related decision tokens. For instance, on Qwen3-0.6B, only ~8% of generated tokens account for the salient disagreement, and these tokens concentrate early in the response, are strongly enriched in planning-related decisions (17x), and coincide with high base-model uncertainty -- suggesting that base models fail mainly at early planning points that steer the subsequent reasoning trajectory. Building on these findings, we propose disagreement-guided token intervention, a simple inference-time delegation scheme that performs a one-token takeover by the reasoning model only at high-disagreement positions and immediately switches back to the base model. With a small intervention budget, this sparse delegation substantially recovers and can even surpass the performance of a same-size reasoning model on challenging reasoning tasks. Code is available at https://github.com/AlphaLab-USTC/RRTokenIntervention.
Nice Fold or Hero Call: Learning Budget-Efficient Thinking for Adaptive Reasoning
Large reasoning models (LRMs) improve problem solving through extended reasoning, but often misallocate test-time compute. Existing efficiency methods reduce cost by compressing reasoning traces or conditioning budget on perceived difficulty, yet largely overlook solvability. As a result, they may spend large budgets on queries beyond the model's capability while compressing hard-but-solvable queries that require deeper reasoning. In this work, we formulate adaptive reasoning as a computational investment under uncertainty, where budget should follow the expected return of reasoning rather than perceived difficulty alone. To instantiate this principle, we propose Budget-Efficient Thinking (BET), a two-stage framework that combines behavioral cold-start with GRPO under an investment-cost-aware reward. By aligning solve-or-fold decisions with rollout-derived solvability, BET learns three behaviors: (1) short solve, answering easy queries concisely; (2) nice fold, abstaining early when continued reasoning has near-zero expected return; and (3) hero call, preserving sufficient compute for hard-but-solvable queries. Across seven benchmarks and three base models, BET reduces reasoning tokens by ~55% on average while achieving overall performance improvements, and transfers zero-shot from mathematical reasoning to scientific QA and logical reasoning with comparable efficiency gains.
Compute Where it Counts: Self Optimizing Language Models
Efficient LLM inference research has largely focused on reducing the cost of each decoding step (e.g., using quantization, pruning, or sparse attention), typically applying a uniform computation budget to every generated token. In practice, token difficulty varies widely, so static compression can over-compute on easy steps and under-compute on hard ones. We study dynamic budget allocation for autoregressive decoding: learning how much computation to spend per token from within a single model. Self-Optimizing Language Models (SOL) pair a frozen LLM with a lightweight policy network that reads the LLM hidden state and selects a discrete efficiency action at each decode step. Actions can jointly control (i) token-level attention sparsity, (ii) structured activation pruning in the MLP, and (iii) activation quantization bit-width, while leaving the base model weights unchanged. We train the policy with group-relative policy optimization on teacher-forced episodes: the token sequence is fixed, while we sample multiple compute schedules (i.e., "counterfactual" schedules that vary only the efficiency actions for the same token path) and compare their likelihoods under the same supervision. Our reward trades off language-model quality against soft penalties that encourage episode-average budget usage to match a requested target. Across model variants and compute regimes, SOL improves quality at matched budget over static allocation and strong random schedule search, offering a complementary axis for inference-efficiency optimization. SOL discovers a better quality-efficiency pareto-front across all our experiments and improves MMLU accuracy by up to 7.3% over uniform budget allocation strategies.
Statistical Scouting Finds Debate-Safe but Not Debate-Useful Cases: A Matched-Ceiling Study of Open-Weight LLM Reasoning Protocols
When should a language model answer directly, sample and vote, or engage in multi-agent debate? Recent work shows voting often explains much of the gain attributed to debate, while selective-debate systems activate deliberation only on uncertain examples. We ask: under a matched ceiling on generated tokens (960 per example), how much per-example routing headroom exists, and how much is recoverable from cheap pre-deliberation signals? We evaluate greedy decoding, three-sample voting, and a two-agent critique-revise debate on MuSiQue and GSM8K using Llama 3.1 8B Instruct and Ministral 3 8B Instruct. On MuSiQue, an oracle selecting the correct protocol per example gains +14.0 and +13.7 pp over the best fixed one. The best fixed protocol is model- and dataset-dependent: each (model, dataset) cell has a different winner. This headroom is hard to recover from cheap ex-ante signals. A vote-entropy threshold is the only controller that directionally beats the best fixed protocol on both models (+1.3 and +1.7 pp), though individual paired-bootstrap CIs include zero. A joint analysis (meta-analysis +1.6 pp, p=0.125; Bayesian P(both>0)=0.59) is directionally consistent but not significant. Learned controllers (LR, GBT) do not outperform the threshold. The key finding is structural: vote entropy predicts where debate is safe, not where debate is needed. High entropy sharply reduces debate backfire, but 66% of debate-helpful examples (31/47) occur when voting is unanimous but wrong. A single-prompt self-critique probe on Llama flips the answer in 127/127 unanimous cases, yielding zero mutual information with the debate-helpful label; we cannot rule out a prompt-compliance artifact, but either interpretation disqualifies the probe as a router. Recovering the remaining headroom requires behavioral probes that avoid format-compliance confounds at the 8B scale.
When Independent Sampling Outperforms Agentic Reasoning
We study how to allocate inference-time compute for competitive programming under fixed budgets. Evaluating 216 Codeforces problems across Divisions 1-3, we compare agent-based reasoning with repeated independent sampling (k-shot) as a function of both cost and number of model calls. Across models and difficulty levels, k-shot consistently achieves a better accuracy-cost and accuracy-query tradeoff. This gap persists despite prompt caching in agent frameworks, indicating lower per-call effectiveness. Our results show that, for self-contained algorithmic tasks, independent exploration can outperform deeper agentic reasoning under realistic resource constraints. We also provide a budget-allocation analysis when the inference budget is fixed, and prove that a cost-optimal solver minimizes the principled metric log failure likelihood per dollar.
CA-SQL: Complexity-Aware Inference Time Reasoning for Text-to-SQL via Exploration and Compute Budget Allocation
While recent advancements in inference-time learning have improved LLM reasoning on Text-to-SQL tasks, current solutions still struggle to perform well on the most challenging tasks in the Bird-Bench (BIRD) benchmark. This is due to inadequate solution space exploration, which is necessary to uncover promising candidate queries that can be further refined to produce the correct output. To address this challenge, we introduce CA-SQL, a novel Text-to-SQL pipeline that utilizes the estimated difficulty of a task to dynamically scale the breadth of the exploration for generating solution candidates. In addition, we use a custom prompt seeding method, based on principles of evolutionary search, to further elicit exploratory behavior from the base LLM and a novel voting method to select the best candidate solution at the end of the search. Experiments demonstrate that our solution achieves a state-of-the-art score of 51.72% on the "challenging" tier of BIRD development set problems, using only GPT-4o-mini, out-performing other in-context learning approaches, even those that leverage larger models. Overall, our method attains a competitive 61.06% execution accuracy and 68.77% Soft F1 score on the BIRD development dataset.
Same Signal, Opposite Meaning: Direction-Informed Adaptive Learning for LLM Agents
Adaptive test-time compute for LLM agents aims to invoke extra computation only when it improves performance. Existing methods typically use confidence-, uncertainty-, or difficulty-based gates, assuming a fixed direction from the gating signal through compute need to the value of computation. This makes gating a utility-calibration problem: gating signals should align with whether extra computation improves the final outcome over the base policy. We show that this alignment is unstable: the same signal predicts rollout benefit in one setting and rollout harm in another, with reversals across environments and backbones even when the task is fixed. Wrong-direction gates can therefore worsen performance by precisely selecting harmful states. This reversal reflects a deeper distinction between compute need and compute suitability: a high uncertainty signal may indicate decision-difficult states where rollouts help compare alternatives, or intervention-unsuitable states where the current context does not support useful rollout-based improvement. Under this two-source model, fixed-direction gates are unreliable across heterogeneous settings. To address this, we propose DIAL (Direction-Informed Adaptive Learning), a sparse gate trained from signal-agnostic counterfactual exploration to learn the utility direction of state features per (environment, backbone). Across six environments and three backbones, DIAL yields a stronger overall success-cost trade-off than fixed-direction baselines.
On Time, Within Budget: Constraint-Driven Online Resource Allocation for Agentic Workflows
Agentic systems increasingly solve complex user requests by executing orchestrated workflows, where subtasks are assigned to specialized models or tools and coordinated according to their dependencies. While recent work improves agent efficiency by optimizing the performance--cost--latency frontier, real deployments often impose concrete requirements: a workflow must be completed within a specified budget and before a specified deadline. This shifts the goal from average efficiency optimization to maximizing the probability that the entire workflow completes successfully under explicit budget and deadline constraints. We study \emph{constraint-driven online resource allocation for agentic workflows}. Given a dependency-structured workflow and estimates of success rates and generation lengths for each subtask--model pair, the executor dynamically allocates models and parallel samples across simultaneously executable subtasks while managing the remaining budget and time. We formulate this setting as a finite-horizon stochastic online allocation problem and propose \emph{Monte Carlo Portfolio Planning} (MCPP), a lightweight closed-loop planner that directly estimates constrained completion probability through simulated workflow executions and replans after observed outcomes. Experiments on CodeFlow and ProofFlow demonstrate that MCPP consistently improves constrained completion probability over strong baselines across a wide range of budget--deadline constraints.
BitCal-TTS: Bit-Calibrated Test-Time Scaling for Quantized Reasoning Models
Post-training quantization makes large reasoning models practical under tight memory and latency budgets, but it can distort the online signals that drive adaptive test-time compute allocation. Under a fixed cap on the number of newly generated tokens, miscalibrated confidence can lead to harmful early halting: the model may surface a plausible final line while the underlying reasoning is still wrong, or the controller may stop before the trace has stabilized. We study this interaction for greedy 4-bit inference and propose BitCal-TTS, a lightweight runtime controller that combines (i) inexpensive online proxies for token-level uncertainty and reasoning-trace stability, (ii) a bit-conditioned confidence rescaling that is conservative at low nominal precision, and (iii) a bit-aware post-marker confirmation horizon designed for GSM8K-style structured outputs. The method requires no fine-tuning of the base model and integrates with standard Hugging Face 4-bit inference using forward hooks for logits and last-layer hidden states. On small evaluation shards of GSM8K with Qwen2.5 Instruct models, BitCal-TTS improves exact-match accuracy over a non-bit-aware adaptive baseline at the 7B and 14B scales while preserving substantial token savings relative to fixed-budget decoding. At a token cap of B=512, on the evaluation shards we report (N=54 for 7B and N=35 for 14B; not the full GSM8K test set), accuracy gains are +3.7 points (7B) and +2.8 points (14B), with the premature-stop rate falling from 14.8% to 11.1% on 7B and from 17.1% to 11.4% on 14B. We report Wilson 95% confidence intervals throughout and explicitly discuss the limited statistical power of the partial-shard comparisons. We release code and figure-generation scripts to support full reproduction.
Adaptive Test-Time Compute Allocation with Evolving In-Context Demonstrations
While scaling test-time compute can substantially improve model performance, existing approaches either rely on static compute allocation or sample from fixed generation distributions. In this work, we introduce a test-time compute allocation framework that jointly adapts where computation is spent and how generation is performed. Our method begins with a warm-up phase that identifies easy queries and assembles an initial pool of question-response pairs from the test set itself. An adaptive phase then concentrates further computation on unresolved queries while reshaping their generation distributions through evolving in-context demonstrations -- conditioning each generation on successful responses from semantically related queries rather than resampling from a fixed distribution. Experiments across math, coding, and reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms existing baselines while consuming substantially less inference-time compute.
Weak-Link Optimization for Multi-Agent Reasoning and Collaboration
LLM-driven multi-agent frameworks address complex reasoning tasks through multi-role collaboration. However, existing approaches often suffer from reasoning instability, where individual agent errors are amplified through collaboration, undermining overall performance. Current research mainly focuses on enhancing high-capability agents or suppressing unreliable outputs to improve framework effectiveness, while systematic identification and reinforcement of performance-limiting agents receive less attention. To address this gap, we propose WORC, a \underline{w}eak-link \underline{o}ptimization framework for multi-agent \underline{r}easoning and \underline{c}ollaboration, grounded in the weak-link principle. WORC follows a two-stage workflow. In the weak agent localization stage, task features are constructed, and a meta-learning-based weight predictor trained on optimal configurations identified by swarm intelligence algorithms (SIAs) enables zero-shot mapping from these features to agent performance weights, where the agent with the lowest predicted weight is identified as the weak agent. In the weak-link optimization stage, an uncertainty-driven allocation strategy assigns additional reasoning budgets to weak agents, with lower predicted weights leading to larger repeated-sampling quotas to compensate for reliability deficiencies. Experimental results show that WORC achieves an average accuracy of 82.2% on reasoning benchmarks while improving framework stability and cross-architecture generalization, suggesting that compensating for weak links, rather than reinforcing strengths alone, enhances the robustness of multi-agent systems.
Adaptive Test-Time Compute Allocation for Reasoning LLMs via Constrained Policy Optimization
Test-time compute scaling, the practice of spending extra computation during inference via repeated sampling, search, or extended reasoning, has become a powerful lever for improving large language model performance. Yet deploying these techniques under finite inference budgets requires a decision that current systems largely ignore: which inputs deserve more compute, and which can be answered cheaply? We formalize this as a constrained optimization problem (maximize expected accuracy subject to an average compute budget) and solve it with a two-stage Solve-then-Learn pipeline. In the solve stage, Lagrangian relaxation decomposes the global constraint into per-instance sub-problems, each admitting a closed-form oracle action that optimally prices accuracy against cost. We prove that the induced cost is monotone in the dual variable, enabling exact budget targeting via binary search. In the learn stage, a lightweight classifier is trained to predict oracle actions from cheap input features, amortizing the allocation rule for real-time deployment. We establish that the task-level regret of the learned policy is bounded by its imitation error times the worst-case per-instance gap, yielding a clean reduction from constrained inference to supervised classification. Experiments on MATH and GSM8K with three LLMs (DeepSeek-V3, GPT-4o-mini, Qwen2.5-7B) show that our method consistently outperforms uniform and heuristic allocation baselines, achieving up to 12.8% relative accuracy improvement on MATH under matched budget constraints, while closely tracking the Lagrangian oracle upper bound with over 91% imitation accuracy.
What If We Allocate Test-Time Compute Adaptively?
Test-time compute scaling allocates inference computation uniformly, uses fixed sampling strategies, and applies verification only for reranking. In contrast, we propose a verifier-guided adaptive framework treating reasoning as iterative trajectory generation and selection. For each problem, the agent runs multiple inference iterations. In each iteration, it optionally produces a high-level plan, selects a set of reasoning tools and a compute strategy together with an exploration parameter, and then generates a candidate reasoning trajectory. A process reward model (PRM) serves as a unified control signal: within each iteration, step-level PRM scores are aggregated to guide pruning and expansion during generation, and across iterations, aggregated trajectory rewards are used to select the final response. Across datasets, our dynamic, PRM-guided approach consistently outperforms direct test-time scaling, yielding large gains on MATH-500 and several-fold improvements on harder benchmarks such as AIME24 and AMO-Bench. We characterize efficiency using theoretical FLOPs and a compute intensity metric penalizing wasted generation and tool overhead, demonstrating that verification-guided allocation concentrates computation on high-utility reasoning paths.
More Bang for the Buck: Improving the Inference of Large Language Models at a Fixed Budget using Reset and Discard (ReD)
The performance of large language models (LLMs) on verifiable tasks is usually measured by pass@k, the probability of answering a question correctly at least once in k trials. At a fixed budget, a more suitable metric is coverage@cost, the average number of unique questions answered as a function of the total number of attempts. We connect the two metrics and show that the empirically-observed power-law behavior in pass@k leads to a sublinear growth of the coverage@cost (diminishing returns). To solve this problem, we propose Reset-and-Discard (ReD), a query method of LLMs that increases coverage@cost for a given budget, regardless of the pass@k form. Moreover, given a pass@k, we can quantitatively predict the savings in the total number of attempts using ReD. If pass@k is not available for the model, ReD can infer its power-law exponent. Experiments on three LLMs across coding (HumanEval), math (GSM8K), and reasoning (MMLU-Pro) benchmarks demonstrate that ReD substantially reduces the required attempts, tokens, and USD cost to reach a desired coverage, while also offering an efficient way to measure inference power-laws. ReD's advantage is maintained for imperfect verifiers and outperforms the tested allocation baselines.
Optimal Self-Consistency for Efficient Reasoning with Large Language Models
Self-consistency (SC) is a widely used test-time inference technique for improving performance in chain-of-thought reasoning. It consists of generating multiple responses, or ``samples", from a large language model (LLM) and selecting the most frequent answer. This procedure can naturally be viewed as a majority vote or empirical mode estimation. Despite its effectiveness, self-consistency is prohibitively expensive at scale when naively applied to datasets, and it lacks a unified theoretical understanding of sample efficiency and scaling behavior. In this paper, we provide the first comprehensive analysis of SC's scaling behavior and its variants, drawing on mode estimation and voting theory. We derive and empirically validate power law scaling for self-consistency across datasets, and analyze the sample efficiency for fixed-allocation and dynamic-allocation sampling schemes. From these insights, we introduce Blend-ASC, a novel variant of self-consistency that dynamically allocates samples to questions during inference, achieving state-of-the-art sample efficiency. Our approach uses 4.8 times fewer samples than vanilla SC on average, outperforming both fixed- and dynamic-allocation SC baselines, thereby demonstrating the superiority of our approach in terms of efficiency. In contrast to existing variants, we note that Blend-ASC is hyperparameter-free, supports batching, and can fit any budget of samples, ensuring it can be easily applied to any self-consistency application.
Think Right: Learning to Mitigate Under-Over Thinking via Adaptive, Attentive Compression
Recent thinking models are capable of solving complex reasoning tasks by scaling test-time compute, but this scaling should be allocated in line with task difficulty. On one hand, short reasoning (underthinking) leads to errors on harder problems that require extended reasoning steps; but, excessively long reasoning (overthinking) can be token-inefficient by generating unnecessary steps even after reaching a correct intermediate solution. We refer to this as under-adaptivity, where the model fails to modulate its response length appropriately given problems of varying difficulty. To address under-adaptivity and strike a balance between under- and overthinking, we propose TRAAC (Think Right with Adaptive, Attentive Compression), an online post-training RL method that leverages the model's self-attention to identify key steps and prune redundant ones. TRAAC also estimates difficulty and incorporates it into training rewards, thereby learning to allocate a reasoning budget commensurate with example difficulty. Across a variety of tasks (AIME, AMC, GPQA-D, BBEH), TRAAC (Qwen3-4B) achieves an average absolute accuracy gain of 8.4% with a relative reduction in reasoning length of 36.8% compared to the base model, and a 7.9% accuracy gain paired with a 29.4% length drop compared to the best RL baseline. TRAAC generalizes well, with accuracy and efficiency gains on out-of-distribution non-math datasets like GPQA-D, BBEH, and OptimalThinkingBench. Our analysis shows that TRAAC learns to adjust its thinking budget based on difficulty and that a combination of task-difficulty calibration and attention-based compression yields gains across diverse tasks.
TIP-Search: Time-Predictable Inference Scheduling for Market Prediction under Uncertain Load
Real-time market prediction services need correct predictions before a decision deadline; a correct prediction delivered late is not usable. TIP-Search studies time-predictable inference scheduling over fixed market predictors under uncertain load. It filters conformal latency-quantile feasible models, dispatches over finite workers, and uses shielded constrained online experts to trade accuracy, queue pressure, and deadline risk. On the optimized deployable pool, TIP-Search reaches 0.994 raw accuracy and 0.991 timely accuracy. On official TLOB FI-2010 h=10, TIP-Search++ raises timely accuracy from 0.156 to 0.239 and deadline satisfaction from 0.391 to 0.962. In matched h10 profiled systems replay, OCO-ACPO reaches 0.303 timely accuracy and 0.951 deadline satisfaction, with paired gains over RAMSIS/SneakPeek/utility-style comparators of timely accuracy () and deadline satisfaction (). SA-OCO-ACPO improves timely/deadline service by 0.188--0.417 over CPO under nonstationary stress. The claim is a systems scheduling result, not a broad LOB classifier leaderboard.