Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring

Ireland's smart metering programme records electricity use at 30-minute resolution, with smart meters installed in over 80% of households as of late 2025. While this is useful for billing of smart, time-of-use tariffs, it is too coarse to capture use of domestic appliances. We present a label-free disaggregation system that breaks usage data into 9 appliance categories by combining event detection for high-power loads with questionnaire-guided estimation. Our evaluation draws on four datasets: a calibration household with a commercial comparator, two public benchmarks (UK-DALE and REFIT) with per-appliance sub-metering, and a smart meter dataset of more than 4,800 years of use from 2,968 Irish consumers. Compared against two independently developed disaggregation systems our hybrid method combining analysis of usage data with questionnaire results, achieves the lowest whole-decomposition error on all buildings across the datasets, with better month-level performance over 54 paired months ($p<0.001$, Holm-corrected). Our method provides useful advice on a household's energy consumption patterns and advice on how to reduce or shift usage on some appliances in order to reduce costs.

Many sensing tasks obtain training labels only by deploying instruments in the field. With a limited number of sensor kits, a collection deadline, and measurement downtime at every move, the collector must repeatedly decide whether to stay at the current site or relocate. We study this decision in non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), which estimates the power drawn by individual appliances from a home's main meter and is trained on data from homes temporarily fitted with appliance-level sub-meters. In NILM, appliance usage varies with the appliance, season and climate, and the value of new data depends on how diverse the combinations of target operation and background load are. To address this, we propose a constraint-based relocation framework and instantiate it for NILM as ReCo (Relocation by Coverage gain). ReCo counts new operating regimes in a joint target-background feature space, forecasts each home's future gain from the data collected so far, and each night weighs the gain of staying against the gain of moving elsewhere after the downtime. In replayed deployments on the Plegma dataset under two kit counts and two downtime costs, ReCo outperforms fixed-dwell and count-based schedules and a threshold rule using the same metric in every setting. Its advantage is not explained by collecting more days alone and reflects allocating the days to more valuable homes and periods.

The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems is reshaping residential electricity demand and creating new challenges for demand-side management (DSM), tariff design, and low-voltage network planning. Much of the existing literature examines EV charging or PV generation in isolation, leaving the behavioral dynamics of household co-adoption less understood. We develop an integrated, two-part workflow to analyze advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) data. A discovery component applies dynamic time warping (DTW) k-means with DTW barycenter averaging to cluster daily import or export profiles into interpretable behavioral archetypes, while a predictive component trains a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) model on 21-day windows and benchmarks it against tabular baselines for PV/EV activity detection. The EV activity labels are inferred from charging-like load signatures because charger measurements are unavailable. Using half-hourly AusNet residential data from Victoria, Australia, the clustering uncovers distinct patterns across PV-only, EV-only, co-adoption, and neither cohorts; for co-adopters, a midday-centered weekday export archetype accounts for approximately 50% of days. At validation-tuned thresholds, both BiLSTM and XGBoost achieve strong discrimination. BiLSTM obtains 0.991 for the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), 0.906 for macro-F1, and the highest recall on the most difficult class (0.836 for EV-only recall). Tree-based baselines remain competitive. Performance remains stable across plausible labeling rules (macro-F1: 0.894--0.914) and strictly forward temporal splits (macro-F1: 0.894--0.906).

Smart meter (SM) data provides fine-grained visibility into household energy consumption, but also exposes users to privacy risks. Inference attacks, known as non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), can perform appliance-level inference from aggregate signals and recover sensitive behavioral patterns. In practice, attacker models are unknown and heterogeneous, making robust defense challenging. We formulate SM privacy protection as a black-box inference defense problem, aiming to reduce the recoverability of appliance-level information while generalizing across diverse and unseen attackers. We propose a proxy-guided hierarchical reinforcement learning framework that learns battery-based load-shaping policies to inject realistic but misleading appliance-level signatures into the aggregate signal, thereby disrupting the structured patterns exploited by NILM. A self-supervised aggregate-structure privacy probe provides a reconstruction-error-based surrogate reward for disrupting recoverable load structure, while a signature library makes the perturbations appliance-relevant and physically realizable through battery control. We provide theoretical rationale showing that proxy-guided optimization improves inference robustness under attacker diversity. Experiments on real-world datasets UK-DALE and REDD demonstrate strong cross-model and cross-appliance generalization. Across six unseen NILM attackers, covering four appliances on UK-DALE and five on REDD, our proposed defense increases average appliance-level RMSE by 107% and 166%, respectively, while reducing F1 score by 79% and 80%.

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) estimates appliance power sequences from aggregate power, but models trained on source households commonly lose accuracy in unseen households. Aggregate power also contains loads from other appliances and measurement error, so predictions may depend on the residual background that co-occurs with source-household targets. Time-aligned submetered measurements and the additive decomposition of aggregate power expose a relation unused by window-wise supervision: an aggregate window can be recomposed by replacing only its residual background while preserving all modeled target-appliance power sequences pointwise. We combine label-preserving aggregate recomposition with prediction consistency. Both windows receive complete power and operating-state supervision. For each appliance, disagreement between the two power predictions is penalized only when both satisfy a fixed reliability criterion and only to the extent that it exceeds a fixed margin. The proposed method is implemented using a multi-appliance architecture with two-stage shared-to-specific mixture-of-experts routing. On REDD, UK-DALE, and REFIT, the proposed method lowers appliance-averaged mean absolute error relative to single-window training from 14.75 to 13.14 W, from 8.88 to 8.51 W, and from 15.83 to 14.55 W. Label-preserving aggregate recomposition and prediction consistency are used only during training, and add no inference-time module or parameter.

In Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM), adaptive segmentation of electricity consumption time series is critical for appliance recognition. However, prevailing methods face challenges including heuristic parameter tuning, boundary sensitivity, and metric saturation. This paper proposes BayesSeg, a unified framework integrating time-series segmentation, multidimensional evaluation, and automatic parameter optimization. The segmentation layer employs a dual steady-state criterion based on the tail value and mean of preceding subsequences, combined with a sequential extraction and complement-set parsing strategy, to achieve precise unsupervised partitioning of steady-state and transition-state segments. The evaluation layer maps segmentation results to binary state sequences and formulates a composite metric integrating an event-level F1 score (event_F1) with Normalized Mutual Information (NMI). The event_F1 quantifies switching-event precision and recall via tolerance matching, while NMI captures global structural consistency, jointly overcoming the boundary sensitivity and limited discriminability of point-wise metrics. In the optimization layer, the composite score serves as the objective function for Bayesian optimization, which constructs a TPE surrogate model for efficient global parameter-space exploration. Experiments on the SustDataED2 dataset demonstrate that Bayesian optimization requires only ~100 objective evaluations to locate a parameter region within 0.35% deviation of the exhaustive grid-search optimum. The framework achieves a weighted composite score of 0.7149 and an event_F1 of 0.9340 while reducing optimization latency from ~5300 seconds to under 1 second, a speedup exceeding 5700x. BayesSeg automates segmentation configuration and provides a scalable, efficient solution for time-series analysis in NILM and related domains.

Industrial NILM remains challenging because measurement noise and widespread concurrent machine operation reduce the generalization of models tuned on residential data. This work adopts a one-to-many, multi-task disaggregation setting, in which a single network estimates multiple industrial machine loads from aggregate power. Under a unified evaluation protocol on IMDELD, we benchmark Seq2Seq, Seq2SubSeq, Seq2Point, GRU, and WaveNet using energy-estimation metrics and the accuracy-delay criterion. While Seq2Point offers a stronger accuracy-delay balance than Seq2Seq/Seq2SubSeq, GRU and WaveNet achieve higher accuracy at markedly higher computational cost. To close this gap, we propose SEDR-Seq2P, a lightweight Seq2Point extension with dilated residual blocks and squeeze-and-excitation attention. Relative to the Seq2Point baseline, SEDR-Seq2P reduces MAE by approximately 7%, improves the coefficient of determination by approximately 1%, and increases the match rate by approximately 0.8%. In addition, compared to WaveNet, SEDR-Seq2P reduces inference latency by approximately 58%, yielding a favorable accuracy-delay trade-off for scalable industrial deployment.

Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) offers a cost-effective method to obtain fine-grained appliance-level energy consumption in smart homes and building applications. However, the increasing adoption of behind-the-meter (BTM) energy sources such as solar panels and battery storage poses new challenges for conventional NILM methods that rely solely on at-the-meter data. The energy injected from the BTM sources can obscure the power signatures of individual appliances, leading to a significant decrease in NILM performance. To address this challenge, we present DualNILM, a deep multi-task learning framework designed for the dual tasks of appliance state recognition and injected energy identification. Using a Transformer-based architecture that integrates sequence-to-point and sequence-to-sequence strategies, DualNILM effectively captures multiscale temporal dependencies in the aggregate power consumption patterns, allowing for accurate appliance state recognition and energy injection identification. Extensive evaluation on self-collected and synthesized datasets demonstrates that DualNILM maintains an excellent performance for dual tasks in NILM, much outperforming conventional methods. Our work underscores the framework's potential for robust energy disaggregation in modern energy systems with renewable penetration. Synthetic photovoltaic augmented datasets with realistic injection simulation methodology are open-sourced at https://github.com/MathAdventurer/PV-Augmented-NILM-Datasets.