Partially Observable Markov Decision Process

Efficiently locating target objects in complex indoor environments with diverse furniture, such as shelves, tables, and beds, is a significant challenge for mobile robots. This difficulty arises from factors like localization errors, limited fields of view, and visual occlusion. We address this by framing the object-search task as a highdimensional Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) with a growing state space and hybrid (continuous and discrete) action spaces in 3D environments. Based on a meticulously designed perception module, a novel online POMDP solver named the growing neural process filtered k-center clustering tree (GNPF-kCT) is proposed to tackle this problem. Optimal actions are selected using Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) with belief tree reuse for growing state space, a neural process network to filter useless primitive actions, and k-center clustering hypersphere discretization for efficient refinement of high-dimensional action spaces. A modified upper-confidence bound (UCB), informed by belief differences and action value functions within cells of estimated diameters, guides MCTS expansion. Theoretical analysis validates the convergence and performance potential of our method. To address scenarios with limited information or rewards, we also introduce a guessed target object with a grid-world model as a key strategy to enhance search efficiency. Extensive Gazebo simulations with Fetch and Stretch robots demonstrate faster and more reliable target localization than POMDP-based baselines and state-of-the-art (SOTA) non-POMDP-based solvers, especially large language model (LLM) based methods, in object search under the same computational constraints and perception systems. Real-world tests in office environments confirm the practical applicability of our approach. Project page: https://sites.google.com/view/gnpfkct.

Maintaining situational awareness in high-stakes multi-robot applications requires balancing exploration of unobserved regions with sustained monitoring of changing Regions of Interest (ROIs), often under unknown and time-varying distributions, partial observability, and limited communication. We propose a decentralized multi-agent coverage framework that serves as a high-level planning strategy, in which each agent computes an adaptive ergodic policy, implemented via a Markov-chain, that tracks an updated belief over the underlying importance map. Beliefs are maintained online via Gaussian Process (GP) regression from local noisy observations exchanged with neighbors. The resulting policy drives agents to spend time in ROIs in proportion to their estimated importance, while preserving sufficient exploration to detect and adapt to time-varying environmental changes. Unlike existing approaches that assume known importance maps, centralized coordination, or a static environment, our framework addresses the combined challenges of unknown, time-varying distributions under a decentralized, partially observable setting. We further show that our framework is robust to communication and memory degradation, robot loss, and can scale up to hundreds of robots.

We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms. We cast this problem as learning the parameters of a discrete Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The agent begins with knowledge of the POMDP's actions and observation spaces, but not its state space, transitions, or observation models. These properties must be constructed from a sequence of actions and observations. Spectral approaches to learning models of partially observable domains, such as Predictive State Representations (PSRs), learn representations of state that are sufficient to predict future outcomes. PSR models, however, do not have explicit transition and observation system models that can be used with different reward functions to solve different planning problems. Under a mild set of rankness assumptions on the products of transition and observation matrices, we show how PSRs learn POMDP matrices up to a similarity transform, and this transform may be estimated via tensor decomposition methods. Our method learns observation matrices and transition matrices up to a partition of states, where the states in a single partition have the same observation distributions corresponding to actions whose transition matrices are full-rank. Our numerical experiments suggest that explicit observation and transition likelihoods can be leveraged to generate new plans for different goals and reward functions after the model has been learned. We also show that learning a POMDP beyond a partition of states is impossible from sequential data by constructing two POMDPs that agree on all observation distributions but differ in their transition dynamics.

We study linear contextual bandits with paid observations, where at each round the learner observes a context, selects an action, and may pay a fixed cost to observe feedback from a subset of arms. We propose two Follow-the-Regularized-Leader algorithms with Best-of-Both-Worlds guarantees. The first, Agg-SPB, extends the SPB-matching framework of Tsuchiya and Ito (2024) by aggregating context-dependent stability terms, achieving the characteristic $T^{2/3}$ adversarial regret rate and logarithmic dependence on $T$ in stochastic environments. The second, CE-SPB, combines arm-dependent observation probabilities with an entropy-adaptive learning rate inspired by Kuroki et al. (2024). It achieves an entropy-adaptive $\widetilde{O}(T^{2/3})$ adversarial guarantee and polylogarithmic stochastic regret, while avoiding the minimum-context-mass dependence arising in the stochastic analysis of Agg-SPB. Both algorithms further extend to corrupted stochastic environments with explicit corruption-dependent guarantees. These results establish that logarithmic stochastic regret is compatible with the $T^{2/3}$ adversarial regime for linear contextual bandits with paid observations, while highlighting a tradeoff between sharper horizon dependence in stochastic settings and path-dependent matching without explicit minimum-context-mass dependence.

Penetration testing, the simulation of cyberattacks to identify security vulnerabilities, presents a sequential decision-making problem well-suited for reinforcement learning (RL) automation. Like many applications of RL to real-world problems, partial observability presents a major challenge, as it invalidates the Markov property present in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Partially Observable MDPs require history aggregation or belief state estimation to learn successful policies. We investigate stochastic, partially observable penetration testing scenarios over host networks of varying size, aiming to better reflect real-world complexity through more challenging and representative benchmarks. This approach leads to the development of more robust and transferable policies, which are crucial for ensuring reliable performance across diverse and unpredictable real-world environments. Using vanilla Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) as a baseline, we compare a selection of PPO-based variants designed to mitigate partial observability, including frame-stacking, augmenting observations with historical information, and employing LSTM or TrXL architectures. We conduct a systematic empirical analysis of these algorithms across different host network sizes. We find that this task greatly benefits from history aggregation. Converging up to four times faster than other approaches. Manual inspection of the learned policies by the algorithms reveals clear distinctions and provides insights that go beyond quantitative results.

We study Nash equilibrium learning in partially observable Markov games (POMGs), a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework in which agents cannot fully observe the underlying state. Prior work in this setting relies on centralization or information sharing, and suffers from sample and computational complexity that scales exponentially in the number of players. We focus on a subclass of POMGs with independent state transitions, where agents remain coupled through their rewards, and assume that the underlying fully observed Markov game is a Markov potential game. For this class, we present an independent learning algorithm in which players, observing only their own actions and observations and without communication, jointly converge to an approximate Nash equilibrium. Due to partial observability, optimal policies may in general depend on the full action-observation history. Under a filter stability assumption, we show that policies based on finite history windows provide sufficient approximation guarantees. This enables us to approximate the POMG by a surrogate Markov game that is near-potential, leading to quasi-polynomial sample and computational complexity for independent Nash equilibrium learning in the underlying POMG.