Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting

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14 papers2 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Can AI Forecast the Extremes? Evaluating Probabilistic Weather Models on Tropical Cyclones

    Oct 15, 2026Nathan Chalumeau, Xavier Renard, Remi Meynadier +3Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    INRIA, Paris, France · AXA, Paris, France · Sorbonne Université, CNRS, LIP6, F-75005 Paris, France +1

  2. Transversal Pooling Neural Networks

    Sep 28, 2026Emily J. King, Dustin G. Mixon, Michael Perlmutter +1Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingEquivariant Neural Networks

    Department of Mathematics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA · Department of Mathematics and Translational Data Analytics Institute, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA · Department of Mathematics, Boise State University, Boise, ID, USA +1

  3. FAST-ML: A Hybrid Physics-Machine Learning Framework for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting

    Sep 22, 2026Shijie Xiao, Jonathan Lin, Thomas Ehrmann +1Probabilistic ForecastingPhysics-Informed ML

    School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA · School of Interactive Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA · Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA +1

  4. TC-Next: Zero-Shot Multimodal Cyclone Forecasting

    Sep 2, 2026Zhe Wang, Sijie Chen, Yiming Luo +2Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213 · Seoul National University Seoul, South Korea · Durham University Durham, United Kingdom

  5. Tianmu-TC: Physics-constraints Generative Artificial Intelligence for Global Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

    Aug 19, 2026Shiqi Zhang, Pan Mu, Cheng Huang +6Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    College of Computer Science and Technology, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou & 310023, China. · School of Control Science and Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan & 250061, China. · School of Computer Science and Engineering, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin & 300384, China. +1

  6. Tropical Cyclone Forecasting via Latent Rectified Flow using Satellite Imagery and Atmospheric Fields

    Aug 8, 2026Meheru Zannat, Sk. Md. Masudul AhsanRectified FlowTropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting

    Department of Computer Science and Engineering Khulna University of Engineering & Technology Khulna 9203, Bangladesh

  7. AIFS-TC: A simple correction competitive with the operational frontier for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting

    Jul 24, 2026Anna Allen, Wessel P. Bruinsma, Michael Maier-Gerber +3Time Series ForecastingTropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting

    University of Cambridge · 2European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

  8. CycloneMAE: A Scalable Multi-Task Learning Model for Global Tropical Cyclone Probabilistic Forecasting

    Apr 14, 2026Renlong Hang, Zihao Xu, Jiuwei Zhao +3Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    School of Computer Science, School of Software, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China. · School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China. · Shanghai Typhoon Institute, China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, 200030, China. +1

  9. Improving Ensemble Forecasts of Abnormally Deflecting Tropical Cyclones with Fused Atmosphere-Ocean-Terrain Data

    Mar 31, 2026Qixiang Li, Yuan Zhou, Shuwei Huo +2Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China · School of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, China · Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, and the Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China

  10. Enhancing AI-Based Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Forecasting via Systematic Bias Correction

    Mar 20, 2026Peisong Niu, Haifan Zhang, Yang Zhao +6Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    DAMO Academy, Alibaba Group Bellevue, USA

  11. 3DTCR: Vortex-following generative reconstruction improves tropical cyclone intensity prediction from global AI weather forecasts

    Mar 13, 2026Jun Liu, Xiaohui Zhong, Kai Zheng +5Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Incubation Institute, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China. · Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200438, China. · Shanghai Academy of Artificial Intelligence for Science, Shanghai, 200232, China.

  12. Trustworthy Predictive Distributions for Tail Events with Semiparametric Diagnostic Transport Maps

    Mar 11, 2026Elizabeth Cucuzzella, Rafael Izbicki, Ann B. LeeProbability CalibrationProbabilistic Forecasting

    Department of Statistics and Data Science, Carnegie Mellon University · Department of Statistics, Federal University of Sao Carlos

  13. Phys-Diff: A Physics-Inspired Latent Diffusion Model for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

    Feb 28, 2026Lei Liu, Xiaoning Yu, Kang Chen +4Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China · Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, China

  14. A Synergistic Approach: Dynamics-AI Ensemble in Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

    Feb 26, 2026Yonghui Li, Wansuo Duan, Hao Li +3Tropical Cyclone Intensity ForecastingWeather Forecasting

    State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China · University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 101408, China · Shanghai Academy of Artificial Intelligence for Science (SAIS), Shanghai, 200232, China +5