Video Prediction

Predicting future motion is crucial in video understanding and controllable video generation. Dense point trajectories are a compact, expressive motion representation, but modeling their future evolution from observed video remains challenging. We propose a framework that predicts future trajectories and visibility from past trajectories and video context. Our method has three components: (1) Grid-Anchor Offset Encoding, which reduces location-dependent bias by representing each point as an offset from its pixel-center anchor; (2) TrajLoom-VAE, which learns a compact spatiotemporal latent space for dense trajectories with masked reconstruction and a spatiotemporal consistency regularizer; and (3) TrajLoom-Flow, which generates future trajectories in latent space via flow matching, with boundary cues and on-policy K-step fine-tuning for stable sampling. We also introduce TrajLoomBench, a unified benchmark spanning real and synthetic videos with a standardized setup aligned with video-generation benchmarks. Compared with state-of-the-art methods, our approach extends the prediction horizon from 24 to 81 frames while improving motion realism and stability across datasets. The predicted trajectories directly support downstream video generation and editing. Code, model checkpoints, and datasets are available at https://trajloom.github.io/.

World models learn to predict future states of an environment, enabling planning and mental simulation. Current approaches default to Transformer-based predictors operating in learned latent spaces. This comes at a cost: O(N^2) computation and no explicit spatial inductive bias. This paper asks a foundational question: is self-attention necessary for predictive world modeling, or can alternative computational substrates achieve comparable or superior results? I introduce FluidWorld, a proof-of-concept world model whose predictive dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) of reaction-diffusion type. Instead of using a separate neural network predictor, the PDE integration itself produces the future state prediction. In a strictly parameter-matched three-way ablation on unconditional UCF-101 video prediction (64x64, ~800K parameters, identical encoder, decoder, losses, and data), FluidWorld is compared against both a Transformer baseline (self-attention) and a ConvLSTM baseline (convolutional recurrence). While all three models converge to comparable single-step prediction loss, FluidWorld achieves 2x lower reconstruction error, produces representations with 10-15% higher spatial structure preservation and 18-25% more effective dimensionality, and critically maintains coherent multi-step rollouts where both baselines degrade rapidly. All experiments were conducted on a single consumer-grade PC (Intel Core i5, NVIDIA RTX 4070 Ti), without any large-scale compute. These results establish that PDE-based dynamics, which natively provide O(N) spatial complexity, adaptive computation, and global spatial coherence through diffusion, are a viable and parameter-efficient alternative to both attention and convolutional recurrence for world modeling.

Video action models are an appealing foundation for Vision--Language--Action systems because they can learn visual dynamics from large-scale video data and transfer this knowledge to downstream robot control. Yet current diffusion-based video predictors are trained with likelihood-surrogate objectives, which encourage globally plausible predictions without explicitly optimizing the precision-critical visual dynamics needed for manipulation. This objective mismatch often leads to subtle errors in object pose, spatial relations, and contact timing that can be amplified by downstream policies. We propose VAMPO, a post-training framework that directly improves visual dynamics in video action models through policy optimization. Our key idea is to formulate multi-step denoising as a sequential decision process and optimize the denoising policy with rewards defined over expert visual dynamics in latent space. To make this optimization practical, we introduce an Euler Hybrid sampler that injects stochasticity only at the first denoising step, enabling tractable low-variance policy-gradient estimation while preserving the coherence of the remaining denoising trajectory. We further combine this design with GRPO and a verifiable non-adversarial reward. Across diverse simulated and real-world manipulation tasks, VAMPO improves task-relevant visual dynamics, leading to better downstream action generation and stronger generalization. The homepage is https://vampo-robot.github.io/VAMPO/.

Despite advances in the application of MLLMs for various video tasks, video event prediction (VEP) remains relatively underexplored. VEP requires the model to perform fine-grained temporal modeling of videos and establish logical relationships between videos and future events, which current MLLMs still struggle with. In this work, we first present a comprehensive evaluation of current leading MLLMs on the VEP task, revealing the reasons behind their inaccurate predictions, including lack of logical reasoning ability for future events prediction and insufficient utilization of visual information. To address these challenges, we propose Chain of Events (CoE) paradigm, which constructs temporal event chains to implicitly enforce MLLM focusing on the visual content and the logical connections between videos and future events, incentivizing model's reasoning capability with multiple training protocols. Experimental results on public benchmarks demonstrate that our method outperforms both leading open-source and commercial MLLMs, establishing a new state-of-the-art on the VEP task. Codes and models will be released soon.

Spatiotemporal predictive learning (STPL) aims to forecast future frames from past observations and is essential across a wide range of applications. Compared with recurrent or hybrid architectures, pure convolutional models offer superior efficiency and full parallelism, yet their fixed receptive fields limit their ability to adaptively capture spatially varying motion patterns. Inspired by biological center-surround organization and frequency-selective signal processing, we propose PFGNet, a fully convolutional framework that dynamically modulates receptive fields through pixel-wise frequency-guided gating. The core Peripheral Frequency Gating (PFG) block extracts localized spectral cues and adaptively fuses multi-scale large-kernel peripheral responses with learnable center suppression, effectively forming spatially adaptive band-pass filters. To maintain efficiency, all large kernels are decomposed into separable 1D convolutions ($1 \times k$ followed by $k \times 1$), reducing per-channel computational cost from $O(k^2)$ to $O(2k)$. PFGNet enables structure-aware spatiotemporal modeling without recurrence or attention. Experiments on Moving MNIST, TaxiBJ, Human3.6M, and KTH show that PFGNet delivers SOTA or near-SOTA forecasting performance with substantially fewer parameters and FLOPs. Our code is available at https://github.com/fhjdqaq/PFGNet.

Event cameras excel at high-speed, low-power, and high-dynamic-range scene perception. However, as they fundamentally record only relative intensity changes rather than absolute intensity, the resulting data streams suffer from a significant loss of spatial information and static texture details. In this paper, we address this limitation by leveraging the generative prior of a pre-trained video diffusion model to reconstruct high-fidelity video frames from sparse event data. Specifically, we first establish a baseline model by directly applying event data as a condition to synthesize videos. Then, based on the physical correlation between the event stream and video frames, we further introduce the event-based inter-frame residual guidance to enhance the accuracy of video frame reconstruction. Furthermore, we extend our method to video frame interpolation and prediction in a zero-shot manner by modulating the reverse diffusion sampling process, thereby creating a unified event-to-frame reconstruction framework. Experimental results on real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms previous reconstruction approaches on most quantitative metrics and achieves superior qualitative results, while achieving competitive zero-shot performance compared with dedicated methods explicitly trained for interpolation and prediction tasks. We also refer the reviewers to the video demo contained in the supplementary material for video results. The code will be publicly available at https://github.com/CS-GangXu/UniE2F.

World models have become central to autonomous driving, where accurate scene understanding and future prediction are crucial for safe control. Recent work has explored using vision-language models (VLMs) for planning, yet existing approaches typically treat perception, prediction, and planning as separate modules. We propose UniDrive-WM, a unified VLM-based world model that jointly performs driving-scene understanding, trajectory planning, and trajectory-conditioned future image generation within a single architecture. UniDrive-WM's trajectory planner predicts a future trajectory, which conditions a VLM-based image generator to produce plausible future frames. These predictions provide additional supervisory signals that enhance scene understanding and iteratively refine trajectory generation. We further compare discrete and continuous output representations for future image prediction, analyzing their influence on downstream driving performance. Experiments on the challenging Bench2Drive benchmark show that UniDrive-WM produces high-fidelity future images and improves planning performance by 7.3% in L2 trajectory error and 10.4% in collision rate over the previous best method. These results demonstrate the advantages of tightly integrating VLM-driven reasoning, planning, and generative world modeling for autonomous driving. The project page is available at https://unidrive-wm.github.io/UniDrive-WM.

Event-based scene synthesis reconstructs target RGB frames from sparse image observations and asynchronous event streams, encompassing both video frame prediction and interpolation. Existing event-based synthesis methods commonly estimate optical flow to warp the observed frames toward the target time, but are vulnerable to inaccurate flow under large motion and occlusion and often rely on flow supervision or pretrained estimators. In this work, we propose EvFRA, an Event-based scene synthesis framework based on inter-Frame Residual Alignment. We identify a structural correspondence between event measurements and frame-to-frame scene changes, and exploit this correspondence for target frame synthesis. Our training pipeline consists of two stages: 1) an Event-to-Residual Alignment Variational Autoencoder (ER-VAE) aligns the event frame captured between the anchor and target frames with the corresponding inter-frame residual, and 2) a ControlNet-conditioned diffusion model is fine-tuned to denoise the residual latent using event data. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods by up to 2.61 dB and 1.85 dB in PSNR for frame prediction and interpolation, respectively, with consistent SSIM improvements. Code is available at https://github.com/jiyun-kong/EvFRA.

Front-view driving video continuation is a critical component for constructing sophisticated world models. However, maintaining long-term coherence faces the fundamental challenge of mitigating ''generative degeneration'' during the auto-regressive process. This phenomenon arises when the limited attention capacity of world models becomes saturated with high-entropy pixel details over extended sequences, leading to a collapse of global scene structure and motion intensity. To address this, we introduce STRIDE (STructural RegIsters for Decoupled Extrapolation), a large vision model architecture with an enforced semantic foresight mechanism. STRIDE decouples video continuation into two sub-tasks via interleaved generation of semantic and RGB tokens: forecasting low-entropy semantic maps, and subsequently generating high-frequency visual appearance conditioned on this structure. The semantic tokens explicitly function as ''structural registers'' -- dedicated memory slots that robustly retain the scene's long-term context and world dynamics. Furthermore, we employ an architecturally decoupled flow matching-based super-resolution module to enhance the final visual fidelity. Extensive experiments in autonomous driving scenarios demonstrate that STRIDE effectively mitigates generative degeneration, achieving minute-level, temporally consistent driving video continuation with strong generalization ability.