cs.ROMar 1, 2026

Fast Confidence-Aware Human Prediction via Hardware-accelerated Bayesian Inference for Safe Robot Navigation

Authors: Michael Lu, Minh Bui, Xubo Lyu, Mo Chen

Organizations: School of Computing Science, Simon Fraser University, Canada

Abstract

As robots increasingly integrate into everyday environments, ensuring their safe navigation around humans becomes imperative. Efficient and safe motion planning requires robots to account for human behavior, particularly in constrained spaces such as grocery stores or care homes, where interactions with multiple individuals are common. Prior research has employed Bayesian frameworks to model human rationality based on navigational intent, enabling the prediction of probabilistic trajectories for planning purposes. In this work, we present a simple yet novel approach for confidence-aware prediction that treats future predictions as particles. This framework is highly parallelized and accelerated on an graphics processing unit (GPU). As a result, this enables longer-term predictions at a frequency of 125 Hz and can be easily extended for multi-human predictions. Compared to existing methods, our implementation supports finer prediction time steps, yielding more granular trajectory forecasts. This enhanced resolution allows motion planners to respond effectively to subtle changes in human behavior. We validate our approach through real-world experiments, demonstrating a robot safely navigating among multiple humans with diverse navigational goals. Our results highlight the methods potential for robust and efficient human-robot coexistence in dynamic environments.

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

Sep 26, 2026

Proactive Motion Planning for Human-Robot Cooperation

This abstract addresses the incorporation of human motion prediction into proactive and dynamic human-aware motion planning, with the goal of enabling safe collaboration between humans and robots. A deep learning, graph-based model is used to forecast human motion and is integrated into a planning framework. This framework employs a static roadmap along with a time-variant A* algorithm to modify the trajectory of a UR5e manipulator. This method greatly improves human-robot interaction and enables proactive collision avoidance by combining precise motion forecasts with adaptive trajectory planning.
Sep 26, 2026

Human Motion Prediction for Human-Robot Collaboration

This paper compares three human motion prediction methods - GMM-based clustering, TransFusion, and Graph-Mixer - evaluating their effectiveness in human-robot collaboration. These predictions are valuable for improving robot motion planning by anticipating human movements and enhancing safety and efficiency in dynamic environments.
Jul 11, 2026

Navigating the Crowd: Non-linear MPC with Social Forces Dynamics for Human-Aware Robot Navigation

Safe and socially compliant navigation remains a fundamental challenge for autonomous robots operating in human-populated environments. Beyond collision avoidance, robots must anticipate human motion and respect personal space to ensure human comfort. Model Predictive Control (MPC) offers a robust alternative to classical and data-driven methods, although its effectiveness strongly depends on accurate human motion prediction and efficient computation. This paper introduces SFM-NMPC, a Social Force Model-based Non-linear Model Predictive Control framework that embeds human motion prediction directly within the optimization loop. By incorporating the Social Force Model into the dynamic model of surrounding agents, the controller jointly predicts the trajectories of humans and robots over the prediction horizon, thereby enabling socially-aware planning. A tailored set of social cost functions guides the optimization toward human-compliant behaviors. Despite the increased model complexity, the proposed formulation runs in real time at 20 Hz. Extensive simulated testing in crowded environments demonstrates that SFM-NMPC outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in social compliance metrics while maintaining efficient and smooth navigation. Visual trajectory analysis and an ablation study further highlight the contribution of the embedded SFM dynamics and social cost terms, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed approach for real-world social navigation.