AI-Driven Predictive Maintenance with Environmental Context Integration for Connected Vehicles: Simulation, Benchmarking, and Field Validation
Authors: Kushal Khemani, Anjum Nazir Qureshi
Organizations: Independent Researcher, India · Rajiv Gandhi College of Engineering Research and Technology · Rajiv Gandhi College of Engineering Research and Technology, Chandrapur, India
Abstract
Predictive maintenance for connected vehicles offers the potential to reduce unexpected breakdowns and improve fleet reliability, but most existing systems rely exclusively on internal diagnostic signals and are validated on simulated or industrial benchmark data. This paper presents a contextual data fusion framework integrating vehicle-internal sensor streams with external environmental signals -- road quality, weather, traffic density, and driver behaviour -- acquired via V2X communication and third-party APIs, with inference at the vehicle edge. The framework is evaluated across four layers. A feature group ablation study on a physics-informed synthetic dataset shows contextual features contribute a 2.6-point F1 improvement; removing all context reduces macro F1 from 0.855 to 0.807. On the AI4I 2020 benchmark (10,000 samples), LightGBM achieves AUC-ROC 0.973 under 5-fold stratified cross-validation with SMOTE confined to training folds. A noise sensitivity analysis shows macro F1 remains above 0.88 at low noise and degrades to 0.74 at high noise. Most critically, the pipeline is validated on real-world telemetry from five vehicles across three countries (India, Germany, Brazil), comprising 992 trips and 11 evaluable service events identified from component wear resets in the trip logs. Across six wear-driven events spanning four vehicles, the model achieves 100% detection with mean MAE of 12.2 days. A fine-tuning ablation shows the base synthetic model already achieves 6/6 binary detection; per-vehicle adaptation reduces wear-driven MAE from 25.9 to 12.2 days. SHAP analysis confirms contextual and interaction features rank among the top 15 predictors. Edge-based inference reduces estimated latency from 3.5 seconds to under 1.0 second relative to cloud-only processing.
Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) increasingly exploit Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communication to exchange multi-source sensor information, enabling advanced Collaborative Perception (CP) capabilities. Extending beyond these capabilities, this work focuses on Collaborative Joint Perception and Prediction (Co-P&P), a paradigm that unifies CP with motion prediction to mitigate two persistent challenges: the accumulation of perception errors and visual occlusions. We present a conceptual framework for Collaborative Joint Perception and Prediction (Co-P&P) that improves motion prediction of surrounding road users, thereby enhancing situational awareness in complex and dynamic traffic environments. Building upon our preliminary study, this extended version compares the performance of different fusion strategies and establishes baseline performance for a modular design of perception and prediction. Experimental results show that prediction-level fusion leads to a decline in overall system performance compared to detection-level or tracking-level fusion. We further implement a minimal end-to-end Co-P&P prototype that couples collaborative point-cloud sharing via the RENO neural codec with joint detection-forecasting via FutureDet, showing that collaboration improves forecasting accuracy while neural compression preserves this benefit at roughly 34x lower communication bandwidth.
Connected vehicles are autonomous cyber-physical systems whose behavior must be continuously monitored during operation to detect deviations from normal operation before they propagate into failures. Such evaluation is challenging because the systems themselves evolve: over-the-air updates, configuration changes, and shifting workloads alter the definition of normal behavior, causing static diagnostic methods to degrade silently over time. Existing approaches typically address either automated model adaptation or operator integration in isolation, rather than as a single coordinated supervisory loop. This paper presents an online anomaly detection framework for autonomous CPS that integrates three coordinated mechanisms. A factorized deep Q-network with self-attention selects the most suitable detector from a candidate pool for each monitored service, exploiting inter-service dependencies in the microservice topology. An ensemble of three statistical drift detectors monitors the input distribution and raises an alarm only when all three concur, prioritizing precision over recall. A human-in-the-loop retraining mechanism, built around a pending transition buffer and a 60/40 prioritized replay strategy, allows the operator to incorporate expert knowledge while preserving the system's learned response to prior data distributions. The framework is evaluated on a connected-vehicle testbed running an automated valet parking application across seven backend microservices. The attention-augmented agent achieves an F1 score of 0.69, compared to at most 0.11 for any single detector applied uniformly. Following a real software update that induces measurable concept drift, F1 drops to 0.52; after operator-triggered retraining, performance recovers to 0.65 on the new distribution while remaining at 0.69 on the prior one, demonstrating sustained adaptation without catastrophic forgetting.
Matthias Weiß, Athreya Hosahalli Prakash, Maurice Artelt +3
Predicting future trajectories of surrounding traffic agents is critical for safe autonomous navigation and collision avoidance. Despite all advances in the trajectory forecasting realm, the prediction models remains vulnerable to uncertainty caused by occlusions, limited sensing range, and perception errors. Collaborative vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) approaches help reduce this uncertainty by sharing complementary information. Existing collaborative trajectory prediction methods typically fuse feature maps at the perception stage to construct a holistic scene view. Further this holistic representation is decoded into the future trajectories. Such design incurs substantial communication overhead due to the exchange of high-dimensional feature representations and often assumes idealized bandwidth and synchronization, limiting practical deployment. We address these limitations by shifting collaboration from perception to the prediction module and introducing a late-fusion framework for shared forecasts. The framework is model-agnostic and treats collaborating vehicles as independent asynchronous agents. We evaluate the approach on the OPV2V, V2V4Real, and DeepAccident datasets, comparing individual and collaborative forecasting. Across all datasets, late fusion consistently reduces miss rate and improves trajectory success rate (TSR0.5), defined as the fraction of ground-truth agents with final displacement error below 0.5 m. On the real-world V2V4Real dataset, collaborative prediction improves the success rate by 1.69% and 1.22% for both intelligent vehicles, respectively, compared with individual forecasting.
Nadya Abdel Madjid, Murad Mebrahtu, Zakhar Yagudin +5