Human mobility differs from text and from generic time series in three structural ways: visits are tuple-valued events whose meaning depends on the joint distribution over location, time, and activity; users carry persistent signatures across trajectories; and visits are not independent across users, since co-location at shared places is a primary signal. Existing pre-training recipes for mobility import objectives from language modeling, treating trajectories as sentences and visits as tokens, an analogy that fails against each of the three properties above. These properties define a broader class, multi-entity spatiotemporal event streams (MESES), spanning enterprise authentication logs, electronic health records, and other event-stream domains where entities share infrastructure, schedules, or contexts. We make the properties precise as three axioms that any pre-training framework for MESES should satisfy, and introduce TraXion, whose objectives and architecture are jointly designed to meet them. A single TraXion checkpoint per dataset beats task-specific baselines on every task across six public mobility datasets covering anomaly detection, next-POI recommendation, next-visit prediction, and social-link prediction. The same recipe, applied unchanged to enterprise authentication logs and ICU mortality prediction, matches or exceeds prior work on both, showing that event streams from domains as different as mobility, security, and healthcare can be modeled under a single framework.
Human mobility prediction models, which forecast the next location in a user's trajectory, are increasingly deployed in urban analytics, navigation, and personalized services. Yet, little is known about their potential to memorize and expose sensitive user trajectories from training data. While memorization has been extensively studied in language models, mobility prediction poses unique challenges: training sequences encode human behavior at various spatial and temporal scales, creating privacy risks at different granularities. In this paper, we conduct the first systematic audit of memorization in mobility prediction models. While prior work has shown that privacy leaks can arise from such models, we systematically assess and quantify memorization risks at scale. We identify key challenges, including the lack of a randomness space, the multi-scale structure of trajectories, and user-specific behavioral diversity. To address these challenges, we introduce a framework to quantify mobility memorization at different levels of granularity: individual locations, anchor pairs, and subtrajectory segments. We also develop user-grounded reference sets to assess how likely a model is to prefer training data over realistic alternatives. Our evaluation across multiple models and datasets reveals pervasive memorization patterns that correlate with user regularity and increase the risk of data extraction at inference time. Our findings call for mandatory privacy auditing in mobility prediction models.
Anne Josiane Kouam, Hristo Boyadzhiev, Konrad Rieck
Many machine learning applications rely on heterogeneous event streams to make predictions, either causally as events arrive or bidirectionally over complete sequences. We propose SOHET (Sequence Of Heterogeneous Events Transformer), a hierarchical architecture combining event-type-specific tabular encoders with temporal and type embeddings, processed by a causal or bidirectional transformer. We introduce three self-supervised pre-training objectives for the causal setting. On a proprietary large-scale real-world Booking.com fraud detection task with 17 event types, SOHET outperforms FlexTPP, NAPPT, and CIPPT by 5.8%. Pre-training yields an additional 2.6% gain and 2.4% faster convergence. On the EBES benchmark, bidirectional SOHET matches or exceeds the published best on 6 out of 8 tasks.
Human mobility prediction is a critical task but remains challenging due to its complexity and variability across populations and regions. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have made progress in zero-shot prediction, but existing methods suffer from limited interpretability (due to black-box reasoning), lack of iterative learning from new data, and poor transferability. In this paper, we introduce \textbf{ARMove}, a fully transferable framework for predicting human mobility through agentic reasoning. To address these limitations, ARMove employs standardized feature management with iterative optimization and user-specific customization: four major feature pools for foundational knowledge, user profiles for segmentation, and an automated generation mechanism integrating LLM knowledge. Robust generalization is achieved via agentic decision-making that adjusts feature weights to maximize accuracy while providing interpretable decision paths. Finally, large-small model synergy distills strategies from large LLMs (e.g., 72B) to smaller ones (e.g., 7B), reducing costs and enhancing performance ceilings. Extensive experiments on four global datasets show ARMove outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on 6 out of 12 metrics (gains of 0.78% to 10.47%), with transferability tests confirming robustness across regions, users, and scales. The other 4 items also achieved suboptimal results. Transferability tests confirm its 19 robustness across regions, user groups, and model scales, while interpretability 20 analysis highlights its transparency in decision-making. Our codes are available at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/ARMove-F847.