Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate trajectories under high occlusion uncertainty. To address these limitations, we propose a unified risk map modeling and learning framework for partially observable environments. Our method integrates traffic flow risk and collision risk through spatiotemporal modeling, enabling fine-grained assessment of occlusion-induced hazards. To address the scarcity of scenarios involving occluded interactions, we introduce a diffusion-based scenario generation framework that produces realistic yet adversarial scenarios. We integrate the modeling and learning of a unified risk map into a framework that supports risk-aware planning under partial observability. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset show that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art occlusion-aware baseline, improving minimum time-to-collision by 0.78 times and average time-to-collision by 1.67 times. The proposed framework offers a comprehensive and practical solution for risk-aware planning in partially observable environments.
The deployment of autonomous vehicles in urban environments introduces significant safety challenges, particularly in scenarios with occlusions, where critical traffic participants may be hidden from view. Recent accidents involving driverless vehicles highlight the importance of motion planners that explicitly addresses the risks posed by occlusions. In this work, we propose a formal, occlusion-aware trajectory planning framework that guarantees collision avoidance even when there are possible hidden traffic participants. Building on our previous methods that apply reachability analysis to sequentially determine the possible states of hidden traffic participants, we integrate a tree-based motion planner capable of reasoning over future observations and the absence thereof. This approach reduces conservativeness while maintaining safety guarantees. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework in a challenging simulated occluded scenario, showing that it pro-actively and efficiently guarantees collision-avoidance.
Autonomous driving systems are steadily moving toward end-to-end paradigms to mitigate the limited adaptability of rule-based pipelines in complex traffic environments. However, most existing learning-based methods still make decisions from static representations of the current scene, without explicit future rollouts or modeling of the temporal causal dynamics in traffic interactions. This limitation often results in unstable or overly conservative planning under high-uncertainty conditions, such as occlusions and unexpected events. To overcome these challenges, we introduce OWMDrive, a generative end-to-end driving framework built upon an Occupancy World Model for multi-step 3D occupancy forecasting, which serves as a conditional prior to guide diffusion-based planning. Conditioned on both current observations and predicted future states, the planner iteratively refines trajectory candidates to generate a reinforced driving trajectory. By explicitly modeling scene evolution over future horizons, OWMDrive captures key spatiotemporal causal dependencies, which leads to more foresighted and robust trajectory generation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that OWMDrive significantly improves planning reliability and safety, especially in challenging and partially observable driving scenarios.
Safe motion planning in automated driving requires anticipating evolving traffic risks and deciding when to revise the current planned trajectory. We introduce RiskWorld, a risk-aware world modeling framework for shared occupancy forecasting and selective trajectory replacement. Spatial risk fields and temporal actor context are fused with visual bird's-eye-view features. Flow-guided evolution transports occupancy and scene features, while signed residuals correct occupancy after transport. One forecast is generated per planning step and reused across candidates. Each candidate is compared with a current-state persistence reference, yielding a nonnegative collision-score correction. The trajectory selected by current-world evaluation serves as the planning anchor and is replaced only when additional predicted risk triggers intervention and an alternative satisfies component-wise constraints on predicted risk and trajectory error. Candidate geometries remain unchanged. We evaluate RiskWorld for open-loop planning on nuScenes using camera features, annotation-derived current and historical actor states, and dataset-provided map context. RiskWorld achieves the lowest collision rate at a long evaluation horizon of 3 s, and the second-best average L2 error among various state-of-the-art baselines, while running at 11.5 FPS on a single NVIDIA RTX 4090 with 90.81 M parameters. Within-setting ablations show that RiskWorld achieves lower collision rates than the current-state rescoring baseline, while forecast reuse enables additional candidates to be evaluated at low marginal computational cost.