You Only Flow Once: Calibrated and Real-Time Radar Pose Estimation with Multi-Hypothesis Normalizing Flows
Authors: Jonas Leo Mueller, Sebastian Hoefler, Dario Zanca, Naga Venkata Sai Jitin Jami, Thomas Altstidl, Bjoern M. Eskofier
Organizations: Department Artificial Intelligence in Biomedical Engineering (AIBE), Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany · Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML), Munich, Germany · Chair of AI-supported Therapy Decisions, LMU München · Institute of AI for Health, Helmholtz Zentrum München
Abstract
Sparse and noisy millimeter-wave radar point cloud observations often correspond to multiple plausible human poses, making deterministic pose estimation fundamentally ill-posed. Yet existing radar methods remain deterministic, collapsing this ambiguity into a single estimate. Diffusion-based alternatives can model multi-hypothesis distributions but require costly sequential denoising for each distribution sample and lack calibrated uncertainty. We propose Multi-Hypothesis Normalizing Flow Pose Generator (MH-NFPG), which models pose distributions from radar point clouds using a conditional normalizing flow. Specifically, we combine a spatiotemporal transformer backbone with a normalizing flow that transforms a Laplace base distribution into an expressive posterior, generated in parallel through a single forward pass. Leveraging this efficiency, we outperform diffusion-based alternatives in calibration across three radar benchmarks (MM-Fi, mmRadPose, mRI), improve pose accuracy on two, and match it on the third, while achieving over 20x faster inference for applications and reducing calibration error by up to 85%. We find that calibration degrades substantially for diffusion models, whereas our flow-based approach maintains reliable coverage, also in cross-environment settings. These results demonstrate normalizing flows as a practical alternative to diffusion models for real-time, uncertainty-aware radar pose estimation. Our code will be made publicly available.
Millimetre-wave (mmWave) radar offers a more privacy-preserving alternative to RGB-based human pose estimation. However, existing methods typically rely on pre-extracted intermediate representations such as sparse point clouds or spectrogram images, where the rich spatiotemporal information naturally present in radar video streams is discarded for model learning, while such signal processing adds system complexity. In addition, existing solutions are mainly conducted in an end-to-end supervised manner without leveraging unlabelled raw video streams to learn generalized representations. In this study, we present MAEPose, a masked autoencoding-based human pose estimation approach that operates directly on mmWave spectrogram videos. MAEPose learns spatiotemporal motion-aware generalized representations from unlabelled radar video, and leverages its heatmap decoder for multi-frame pose estimation predictions. We evaluate it across three datasets based on leave-one-person-out cross-validation with rigorous statistical testing. MAEPose consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines by up to 22.1% in MPJPE p<0.05, and maintains robust accuracy under zero-shot bystander interference with only a 6.5% error increase. Ablation studies confirm that both the pre-training and the heatmap decoder contribute substantially, while modality analysis indicates that leveraging Range-Doppler video as input achieves better pose estimation performance than Range-Azimuth or their fusion, with lower computational cost.
Millimeter-wave (mmWave) radar enables privacy-friendly human sensing, but its sparse point clouds are physical measurements of view-dependent electromagnetic reflections and only indirectly characterize body articulation. Recovering a complete 3D pose from such partial, geometry-dependent observations is therefore under-constrained. Existing methods directly regress joint coordinates from paired radar-pose data, relying on the same limited paired supervision to learn radar perception, human-body structure, and their alignment. This coupling can encourage dataset-specific shortcuts under ambiguous radar observations. We propose Wave2Body, a radar-to-body token translation framework that decouples these learning targets using a self-supervised mmWave tokenizer, a pretrained compositional body tokenizer that defines the output space, and a lightweight translator between them. Experiments on M4Human and mmBody show that Wave2Body achieves stronger cross-domain generalization than previous methods while incurring much lower computational costs for training and inference. All the code and experiment results are publicly available at https://github.com/Galaxywalk/Wave2Body.
Accurate yet low-latency depth is essential for radar-camera perception in autonomous systems. Cameras provide rich appearance but lack metric scale, whereas automotive radar offers metric range but is sparse and noisy. Many pipelines are multi-stage or depend on auxiliary annotations, increasing latency and limiting portability. We introduce JustDepth, a single-stage radar-camera depth estimator trained only with radar, camera, and single-scan LiDAR. All radar returns are aggregated into a fixed-width 1D representation, decoupling runtime from point count. A Height Fusion Block fuses modalities, a lightweight GNN propagates depth globally, and a training-only confidence decoder stabilizes learning with zero test-time cost. We mitigate stripe artifacts via simple augmentations and quantify them using the Vertical-Horizontal Gradient Ratio (VHGR). On nuScenes, compared to recent state-of-the-art methods, JustDepth maintains accuracy while reducing inference time by 39.7x and stripe artifacts by 66% as measured by VHGR.