PBD-AG: Persistent Baseline-Delta Active Graphs with Uncertainty-Aware Inspection for Long-Horizon Service Robots

Robots deployed over long periods must reason about environments that change over time. Existing long-term perception systems often address object change reactively, updating their maps only after revisiting a scene and observing that an object has moved. Instead, robots should reason proactively about how long objects are likely to persist using the context in which they appear. For example, a car at a traffic light and a car in a parking spot share the same semantic class, but their contexts imply different persistence durations. We propose PreSIST (Predictive Scene-conditioned Instance Survival over Time), a method for predicting whether an observed object will remain in its last seen pose at arbitrary future times. PreSIST estimates instance-level persistence priors from object properties and scene context, then integrates these priors with a probabilistic persistence filter as observations become available. Its key insight is that the reasoning capabilities of vision-language models (VLMs) can relate scene context to likely object use and human activity, enabling persistence prediction before long-term observations are available. We develop two interchangeable variants: PreSIST-Lang, which estimates persistence priors using a VLM, and PreSIST-Vis, a novel vision-only model trained using PreSIST-Lang pseudo-labels for efficient deployment. Experiments on a new dataset of in-the-wild object persistence annotations show that PreSIST-Lang and PreSIST-Vis outperform baselines on open-world persistence prediction.

Long-horizon tasks are common in real-world robotic deployments, yet failure detection for such tasks remains underexplored. Detecting failures in long-horizon robotic tasks is particularly challenging because failure onset is often ambiguous and dense temporal annotations are typically unavailable. We present Foresight, a failure detection framework that monitors manipulation trajectories using latent representations from an action-conditioned world model. Foresight is trained using only final task-level success or failure labels. By leveraging predictive world-model embeddings, our method provides a unified framework for failure detection across different policies. We further use functional conformal prediction (FCP) to calibrate detection thresholds adaptively. We evaluate Foresight with state-of-the-art vision-language-action policies in simulation on LIBERO-Long, ManiSkill-Long, and BEHAVIOR-1K, compare it against state-of-the-artfailure detection methods, and validate it on real robots with three long-horizon tasks on a ReactorX-200 arm and one task on a Franka arm. Our results suggest that action-conditioned world-model embeddings provide a scalable representation for reliable failure monitoring in long-horizon manipulation.

While 3D Scene Graphs (3DSGs) provide crucial structured representations for embodied agents, conventional Ahead-of-Time, build-everything-then-filter pipelines conflict with the real-time, low-latency demands of edge platforms, inducing a perceptual saturation effect via severe observation redundancy. To resolve this, we present JITOMA (Just-In-Time On-demand Memory Activation), a closed-loop framework that unifies task reasoning, perception, and memory into a just-in-time growth process. Instead of exhaustively mapping the entire environment, JITOMA leverages a top-down task heatmap at the frontend to filter continuous observations, routing minimal streams to maintain a global foundation of low-cost, dormant anchors. Upon a cognitive query, the backend Large Language Model (LLM) parses the robotic intent to dynamically awaken task-relevant anchors, triggering resource-intensive operations -- such as dense node captioning and functional inference -- exclusively within the activated local subgraph. To evaluate these dynamic capabilities and study perceptual saturation trade-offs, we introduce JITOMA-Bench, a comprehensive suite for long-horizon multi-tasking and complex multi-step reasoning. Extensive experiments demonstrate that JITOMA substantially reduces active graph size and captioning latency, while maintaining stable processing time under long-horizon task switching.