eess.SPAug 12, 2026

Latent variable models for simultaneous EOV identification and removal in population-based SHM

Authors: M. D. ChampneysM. R. JonesA. J. HughesT. J. RogersE. J. CrossK. Worden

Organizations: Dynamics Research Group, University of Sheffield, Mappin Street, Sheffield S1 3JD, UK · Centre for Machine Intelligence, University of Sheffield, Mappin Street, Sheffield S1 3JD, UK

Abstract

The robust treatment of environmental and operational variability (EOV) is an open challenge in population-based structural health monitoring (PBSHM). The difficulty is compounded in the case that the EOV signals are unmeasured. A common approach in conventional SHM is to apply \emph{projection-based} methods that discard subspaces of healthy feature data, reasoning that the EOV signal dominates the variance of the measured features. However, a common pitfall of projection-based approaches is that when damage acts close to the same variance-dominant direction, damage sensitivity is removed along with the EOV. An alternative identifying assumption for the removal of particular unmeasured EOVs is slowness; the latent EOV process is characterised by its long temporal correlation. In this paper, the latent EOV is cast as a state-space Gaussian process, enabling tractable O(T)\mathcal{O}(T) inference via a Kalman filter. A robust hierarchical Bayesian identification framework is developed that enables population-level identification of latent EOVs and EOV-free residual features, using a Laplace approximation. The approach is first validated on a single laboratory-scale benchmark structure from the literature, subject to thermal EOVs, demonstrating robust damage detection and EOV recovery. The method is then applied to a simulated nine-turbine offshore wind farm with staggered deployment and damage, where it delivers a substantial true-positive uplift over projection and cointegration-based baselines at matched false-positive rates.

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