ECG Mirage: Revealing and Mitigating the Underutilisation of ECGs in Vision-Language Models for Clinical Prediction

While Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) show promising performance in automated electrocardiogram interpretation, it remains unclear whether they genuinely perform actual step-by-step reasoning or just rely on superficial visual cues. To investigate this, we introduce ECG-Reasoning-Benchmark, a novel multi-turn evaluation framework comprising over 6,400 samples to systematically assess step-by-step reasoning across 17 core ECG diagnoses. Our comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art models reveals a critical failure in executing multi-step logical deduction. Although models possess the medical knowledge to retrieve clinical criteria for a diagnosis, they exhibit near-zero success rates (6% Completion) in maintaining a complete reasoning chain, primarily failing to ground the corresponding ECG findings to the actual visual evidence in the ECG signal. These results demonstrate that current MLLMs bypass actual visual interpretation, exposing a critical flaw in existing training paradigms and underscoring the necessity for robust, reasoning-centric medical AI. The code and data are available at https://github.com/Jwoo5/ecg-reasoning-benchmark.

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of global mortality, with progress hindered by human interpretation of complex cardiac tests. Current AI vision-language models are limited to single-modality inputs and are non-interactive. We present MARCUS (Multimodal Autonomous Reasoning and Chat for Ultrasound and Signals), an agentic vision-language system for end-to-end interpretation of electrocardiograms (ECGs), echocardiograms, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) independently and as multimodal input. MARCUS employs a hierarchical agentic architecture comprising modality-specific vision-language expert models, each integrating domain-trained visual encoders with multi-stage language model optimization, coordinated by a multimodal orchestrator. Trained on 13.5 million images (0.25M ECGs, 1.3M echocardiogram images, 12M CMR images) and our novel expert-curated dataset spanning 1.6 million questions, MARCUS achieves state-of-the-art performance surpassing frontier models (GPT-5 Thinking, Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Think). Across internal (Stanford) and external (UCSF) test cohorts, MARCUS achieves accuracies of 87-91% for ECG, 67-86% for echocardiography, and 85-88% for CMR, outperforming frontier models by 34-45% (P<0.001). On multimodal cases, MARCUS achieved 70% accuracy, nearly triple that of frontier models (22-28%), with 1.7-3.0x higher free-text quality scores. Our agentic architecture also confers resistance to mirage reasoning, whereby vision-language models derive reasoning from unintended textual signals or hallucinated visual content. MARCUS demonstrates that domain-specific visual encoders with an agentic orchestrator enable multimodal cardiac interpretation. We release our models, code, and benchmark open-source.

Autoregressive foundation models trained on tokenized electronic health records (EHRs) can support zero-shot clinical prediction, yet most operate on structured event codes alone, and do not incorporate multiple modalities in a principled way. We present a framework for conditioning such models on auxiliary clinical modalities, including ECG waveforms, chest X-ray images, and clinical notes, using modality-specific latent compression and gated cross-attention with temporal alignment. We investigate two key design choices: (1) how to compress long per-modality sequences (e.g., ECG time series) before they enter the multi-modal cross-attention. This feature may be essential to reduce compute overheads and may be beneficial for generalization; (2) how the choice of pretrained encoder for each modality impacts downstream performance. Through controlled ablations on MIMIC-IV, we show that the best latent-compression configurations outperforms both uncompressed cross-attention and mean pooling. Encoder choice has a clear within-modality effect, with stronger pretrained encoders consistently outperforming weaker alternatives. We further show that merely adding auxiliary modalities does not guarantee improvement on ICU mortality prediction over an EHR-only baseline. This implies that careful design of the fusion architecture and an appropriate evaluation in the clinical context are required.