Median Temporal Ensembling: Training-Free Robust Aggregation for Action-Chunked Visuomotor Policies

Action chunking---predicting and executing multiple actions instead of a single action---has proven to be a critical component for learning effective robotic control policies. However, our precise understanding of why action chunking improves performance has remained limited. In this work we seek to close this gap. Through rigorous experimental evaluations in both simulated and real-world settings, we show that existing hypotheses for the success of action chunking---temporal consistency, horizon reduction, and representation learning---fail to explain the success of action chunking. Instead, we find that action chunking benefits from greater non-Markovian expressivity and reduced compounding error compared to Markovian policies, but, in many settings of interest, these effects can be fully captured by delayed policies, which at each step predict a single action based on the observation $k$ steps in the past. We then show that there exists an additional benefit of action chunking that we refer to as implicit ensembling. In particular, by learning a diversity of temporal relationships (that is, $a_t | o_t, a_t | o_{t-1}, \ldots$), action-chunked policies exhibit behavior matching that of a model ensemble, increasing their robustness and generalization ability over policies that only learn a single temporal relationship. Building on these insights, we show that in simulated and real-world robotic control settings, we can match the performance of action chunking without action chunking---by deploying an action chunking policy as an ensemble of policies with randomized delays. Furthermore, we propose a policy class that amplifies the benefits of action chunking by explicitly instantiating an ensemble, and which we show significantly improves over the performance of action chunking in many domains.

Learning chunk-based visuomotor policies for long-horizon robot manipulation remains challenging. Recent action-chunking methods have shown promising performance by predicting temporally extended action sequences. However, their failures are often dominated by prediction errors at a small number of critical timesteps rather than uniformly poor predictions across the entire action chunk, making uniform refinement inefficient and insufficiently targeted. To address this bottleneck, we propose Uncertainty-Guided Refinement (UGR), a sparse refinement framework for chunk-based visuomotor policies. Specifically, UGR follows a coarse-to-refine design: it first predicts a full action chunk, estimates per-step temporal uncertainty from the coarse hidden states, and applies residual correction only to the most uncertain timesteps selected by a binary mask. The uncertainty branch is decoupled from the coarse action predictor, enabling clean attribution of the refinement gains to uncertainty-guided correction rather than additional predictor capacity. Extensive experiments on five dual-arm manipulation tasks from the RoboTwin benchmark show that UGR achieves the best success rate on four tasks, improves over the ACT baseline by up to 13% absolute, and outperforms both full-chunk and position-agnostic block refinement in ablation studies.

Vision-language action (VLA) models increasingly adopt chunked action heads to satisfy real-time constraints; however, this introduces boundary jitter: overlapping regions between consecutive chunks often yield inconsistent predictions, degrading temporal coherence and the task success rate. Existing methods, such as inference-time blending, merely reweight mismatched proposals without correcting underlying errors, leading to residual accumulation under biased or noisy histories. We propose ChunkFlow, a seam-aware training-and-execution framework for chunked policies that aligns chunk structure with boundary execution. It partitions each chunk into frozen, editable, and future zones, applies deterministic overlap blending at execution, and trains raw predictions with seam and first- and second-order continuity losses. History corruption and scheduled sampling improve robustness to executed-history errors, while an AWAC fine-tuning stage adapts the policy without removing these structural regularizers. Under mild smoothness assumptions, pre-blending seam discrepancies provably decay with increasing overlap. Experiments on CALVIN, LIBERO, and real robots show an improved success-stability trade-off with low-latency inference. Project page: https://cytoderm-ai.github.io/chunkflow.