Oracle headroom without signal: null-calibrated evaluation of candidate selection for thermal heart rate estimation

Human-machine interfaces in industrial automation need sensing modules that monitor operator actions and physiological state. This is important in factories, vehicles, machinery cabins, and human-robot collaboration, where workload, stress, fatigue, or reduced attention can affect safety. RGB monitoring is limited by low light, shadows, and privacy concerns, while thermal infrared imaging captures skin temperature dynamics without visible illumination. This paper studies thermal video as a contactless computer vision modality for estimating electrodermal activity (EDA), heart rate (HR), and breathing rate (BR), with the goal of supporting adaptive human-machine interfaces and operator-state awareness. We propose a signal-processing pipeline that tracks facial regions, aggregates thermal signals, and separates slow sudomotor trends from faster cardiorespiratory components. HR is estimated using orthogonal matrix image transformation (OMIT) across multiple facial regions, while BR is estimated from nasal and cheek thermal signals using spectral peak detection. We characterize 288 ROI-method configurations against contact references with lag-tolerant metrics using 31 sessions from the public SIMULATOR STUDY 1 (SIM1) driver monitoring dataset. The best fixed EDA configuration reaches a mean absolute correlation of $0.40 \pm 0.23$ against palm EDA, with individual sessions reaching $0.89$. BR estimation achieves $3.1 \pm 1.1$ bpm mean absolute error, while HR estimation yields $13.8 \pm 7.5$ bpm MAE, limited by the $7.5$ Hz thermal camera frame rate. The results show that thermal video provides useful respiratory and sudomotor cues, while revealing limitations caused by ROI selection, polarity changes, latency, and subject variability. These findings provide baseline design guidance for thermal computer vision as an auxiliary sensing layer in adaptive industrial HMI systems.

Contactless heart-rate sensing with millimeter-wave (mmWave) radar requires assessing whether individual measurements support reliable estimation. We study learning to assess heartbeat observability, defined as the readability of the heartbeat component in an acquired phase spectrum, for selective heart-rate estimation. Coherent superposition of scatterer returns can suppress this component even under similar macroscopic observation geometry, motivating assessment directly from acquired measurements. To obtain training supervision across different observability conditions, we develop a controllable multi-scatterer frequency-modulated continuous-wave (FMCW) simulator. Agreement between the dominant heartbeat-band peak and the known heart rate provides an automatic observability label for each simulated measurement. We propose HEAR (Heartbeat Estimation with Assessed Reliability), a compact dual-task Transformer that jointly predicts an observability score and heart rate. Its input combines spectral magnitudes with frequencies relative to the respiration fundamental, providing context for respiratory harmonics. Trained solely on simulated observations, HEAR transfers zero-shot to two public real-world datasets collected at 60 and 120 GHz from 134 subjects. The same learned score supports selective prediction with both HEAR's own heart-rate head and multiple existing estimators. On the 120 GHz dataset, score-based selection reduces the HR head's mean absolute error from 17.9 BPM at full coverage to 1.6 BPM at 50% coverage. The complete pipeline achieves an end-to-end processing latency of 50.8 ms on an edge device. Project page: https://yuxuanhu9.github.io/HEAR/.

Large longitudinal cohorts often contain wrist accelerometry without optical heart-rate sensing, motivating recovery of cardiac information from motion signals already collected during sleep. We present SeqSmoother, a transformer-based temporal corrector for sleep heart rate (HR) estimation from wrist accelerometry. SeqSmoother combines spectral descriptors with an intermediate Nightbeat-derived frequency anchor and a physics-motivated sub-harmonic feature designed to identify harmonic frequency lock-on. All inference-time features are derived from wrist accelerometry, while ECG is used only to construct reference HR labels and training-label quality weights. We evaluate SeqSmoother using 13 participant-disjoint held-out folds and compare it with the official Nightbeat implementation under a matched 60-s window and 15-s step protocol. Across all out-of-fold predictions, SeqSmoother achieved a participant-macro MAE of 1.60 bpm. On Nightbeat-retained matched intervals, Nightbeat achieved lower absolute error than SeqSmoother (0.615 versus 1.091 bpm), while SeqSmoother provided estimates over a larger portion of the eligible recording; Nightbeat produced final estimates for 72.85% of the SeqSmoother-eligible out-of-fold grid. Separately, the proposed sub-harmonic ratio achieved an AUROC of 0.972 for identifying reference-defined harmonic lock-on candidates. These findings reveal an accuracy-availability trade-off between learned temporal modeling and quality-gated signal processing while providing empirical support for a physics-informed approach to identifying frequency-tracking failures in accelerometer-based sleep HR estimation.