Causally Fair Generation with Large Language Models

Automated systems built on artificial intelligence (AI) are increasingly deployed across high-stakes domains, raising critical concerns about fairness and the perpetuation of demographic disparities that exist in the world. In this context, causal inference provides a principled framework for reasoning about fairness, as it links observed disparities to underlying mechanisms and aligns naturally with human intuition and legal notions of discrimination. Prior work on causal fairness primarily focuses on the standard machine learning setting, where a decision-maker constructs a single predictive mechanism $f_{\widehat Y}$ for an outcome variable $Y$, while inheriting the causal mechanisms of all other covariates from the real world. The generative AI setting, however, is markedly more complex: generative models can sample from arbitrary conditionals over any set of variables, implicitly constructing their own beliefs about all causal mechanisms rather than learning a single predictive function. This fundamental difference requires new developments in causal fairness methodology. We formalize the problem of causal fairness in generative AI and unify it with the standard ML setting under a common theoretical framework. We then derive new causal decomposition results that enable granular quantification of fairness impacts along both (a) different causal pathways and (b) the replacement of real-world mechanisms by the generative model's mechanisms. We establish identification conditions and introduce efficient estimators for causal quantities of interest, and demonstrate the value of our methodology by analyzing race and gender bias in large language models across different datasets.

Large language models (LLMs) can reveal and amplify societal biases during chain-of-thought (CoT) generation. We present COFT (Chain of Fair Thought), a training-free decoding method that applies token-level fairness control at decode time, with distribution-free marginal validity guarantees (under exchangeability) for any frozen causal language model. COFT operates in three stages. First, it creates a masked counterfactual prompt by replacing sensitive spans with neutral tokens. Second, it compares the factual and masked logit distributions through lightweight logit fusion to attenuate attribute-driven biases. Third, it uses dual-branch split-conformal calibration to certify per-step candidate token sets at a user-chosen risk level. We evaluate COFT across six models and multiple bias benchmarks. Our method reduces standard bias metrics by 30-55% (median 38%) while preserving task utility and language quality. Reasoning accuracies remain unchanged within run-to-run noise margins. The computational overhead is modest, equivalent to one additional cached forward pass (<=11%). COFT offers a clear, auditable path to safer CoT generation with significant bias reduction, negligible utility loss, and no requirement for retraining, auxiliary classifiers, or weight access.

AutoML, intended as the process of automating the application of machine learning to real-world problems, is a key step for AI popularisation. Most AutoML frameworks are not accounting for the potential lack of fairness in the training data and in the corresponding predictions. We introduce FairMind, a software prototype aiming to automatise fairness analysis at the dataset level. We achieve that by resorting to the assumptions of the standard fairness model, recently proposed by Plečko and Bareinboim. This allows for a sound fairness evaluation in terms of causal effects, based on counterfactual queries involving the target, possibly confounders and mediators, and the different values of an input feature we regard as protected. After the necessary data preprocessing, the tool implements a closed-form computation of the effects. LLMs are consequently exploited to generate accurate reports on the fairness levels detected in the training dataset. We achieve that in a zero-shot setup and show by examples the expected advantages with respect to a direct analysis performed by the LLM. To favour applications, extensions to ordinal protected variable and continuous targets and novel decomposition results are also discussed.