Agri-SCHOLAR: Simulation-Grounded In-Season Rolling Advisories for Agricultural Crops Using LLM-Bounded Optimization

Agricultural advisory systems face a fundamental tension: static agronomic guidelines offer consistent, evidence-based recommendations, yet remain blind to in-season variability and dynamic uncertainties. Recent advisory systems powered by LLMs are liable for a different risk of generating recommendations that are agronomically credible but physiologically unconvincing. Agri-SAGE is a closed-loop framework designed to resolve the above two limitations by integrating retrieval-grounded multi-agent LLM reasoning with APSIM-based biophysical simulation, to generate and validate agronomic advisories. To assess this framework, we evaluate three reasoning approaches, namely Plan-and-Solve, Tree of Thoughts, and Reflexion, over a 10-year retrospective analysis. All three significantly outperform static PoP (Package-of-Practice) baselines, with Tree of Thoughts achieving impressive peak yields. At the same time, Reflexion achieves comparable agronomic outcomes at substantially lower computational cost by leveraging cross-seasonal episodic memory.

Foundation models for agriculture are increasingly trained on massive spatiotemporal data (e.g., multi-spectral remote sensing, soil grids, and field-level management logs) and achieve strong performance on forecasting and monitoring. However, these models lack language-based reasoning and interactive capabilities, limiting their usefulness in real-world agronomic workflows. Meanwhile, large language models (LLMs) excel at interpreting and generating text, but cannot directly reason over high-dimensional, heterogeneous agricultural datasets. We bridge this gap with an agentic framework for agricultural science. It provides a Python execution environment, AgriWorld, exposing unified tools for geospatial queries over field parcels, remote-sensing time-series analytics, crop growth simulation, and task-specific predictors (e.g., yield, stress, and disease risk). On top of this environment, we design a multi-turn LLM agent, Agro-Reflective, that iteratively writes code, observes execution results, and refines its analysis via an execute-observe-refine loop. We introduce AgroBench, with scalable data generation for diverse agricultural QA spanning lookups, forecasting, anomaly detection, and counterfactual "what-if" analysis. Experiments outperform text-only and direct tool-use baselines, validating execution-driven reflection for reliable agricultural reasoning.

General-purpose large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong abilities in opendomain question answering, information extraction, and text generation. Agricultural applications, however, are domain-specific, region-dependent, time-sensitive, and safety-critical. Without data governance, expert evaluation, and evidence constraints, an agricultural assistant mayproduce unreliable advice on crop diseases, pesticide use, fertilization, or policy interpretation.To avoid presenting unverified simulated numbers as real experimental findings, this paper doesnot report any model-performance claims that have not been produced by an actual training runand expert evaluation. Instead, we propose AgriTune-R, a reproducible and auditable frameworkfor adapting general-purpose LLMs to agricultural tasks. The framework selects the publiclyverifiable Qwen3-8B model as the recommended base model and integrates agricultural datagovernance, instruction construction, LoRA/QLoRA parameter-efficient fine-tuning, retrievalaugmented generation, expert evaluation, and safety control for high-risk questions. The contributions are: (1) a structured workflow for agricultural LLM adaptation; (2) an evaluationprotocol for agricultural knowledge QA, pest and disease consultation, cultivation management,and policy explanation; (3) an expert-review rubric combining factuality, safety, evidence consistency, and uncertainty expression; and (4) a clear separation between protocol design andempirical conclusions, providing an executable baseline for future empirical studies.