Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Global Climate Policy Cooperation
Organizations: Technical University of Denmark, Department of Technology, Management and Economics
Abstract
International climate policy requires coordination among countries whose mitigation decisions impose local costs but generate global benefits. Classical game-theoretic and integrated assessment approaches can study these incentives, but typically rely on prescribed behavioural assumptions or equilibrium concepts. Recent work has therefore explored Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning as a way to model climate-policy cooperation as an emergent outcome of repeated strategic interaction. We extend an existing MARL climate framework with a multi-stage negotiation mechanism in which agents propose agreements, accept or reject commitments, and face penalties for non-compliance. This allows us to study how agreement design affects learned mitigation behaviour, compliance, and climate outcomes. In an idealized setting with four homogeneous agents, we find that non-binding agreements do little to overcome free-riding, while moderate non-compliance penalties improve cooperation and reduce warming. However, excessively strong penalties discourage ambitious commitments, revealing a trade-off between enforcement and participation. We position the framework as a methodological contribution for testing agreement design rather than a predictive model of real negotiations.
Figures & tables
| Final greedy policy range | Equal effort | Unilateral deviation | |||||||||||
| Climate damage | Penalty | Ind. reward | Col. reward | Mit. share | peak | Ind. reward | Col. reward | Mit. share | peak | Ind. reward | Col. reward | Mit. share | peak |
| Low | None | [ 12.70; 12.38] | [ 50.15; 50.12] | [0.01; 0.59] | [1.566; 1.570] | 12.40 | 49.60 | 0.25 | 1.512 | 12.27; 12.45 | 49.62 | 0.18; 0.27 | 1.524 |
| Medium | None | [ 23.00; 21.94] | [ 89.50; 88.15] | [0.13; 0.46] | [1.539; 1.560] | 21.78 | 87.12 | 0.25 | 1.512 | 21.69; 21.87 | 87.32 | 0.18; 0.27 | 1.524 |
| High | None | [ 54.07; 50.35] | [ 210.33; 206.01] | [0.12; 0.44] | [1.488; 1.534] | 47.71 | 190.83 | 0.25 | 1.442 | 47.42; 48.12 | 191.76 | 0.18; 0.27 | 1.446 |
| Final greedy policy range | ||||||||||
| Climate damage | Penalty | Ind. climate reward | Col. climate reward | Ind. penalty | Col. penalty | Mit. share | peak | Mean accepted mit. level | Accepted proposals | Accepted mit. effort |
| Medium | None | [ 23.00; 21.94] | [ 89.50; 88.15] | - | - | [0.13; 0.46] | [1.539; 1.560] | - | - | - |
| Medium | Low | [ 21.56; 21.18] | [ 85.86; 85.10] | [ 0.08; 0.00] | [ 0.15; 0.05] | [0.19; 0.33] | [1.470; 1.483] | [0.11; 0.68] | [21; 121] | [4.18; 63.92] |
| Medium | Medium | [ 21.92; 21.11] | [ 85.57; 85.25] | 0.00 | 0.00 | [0.18; 0.30] | [1.467; 1.473] | [0.19; 0.83] | [3; 138] | [1.50; 53.00] |
| Medium | High | [ 23.72; 21.28] | [ 88.53; 85.71] | 0.00 | 0.00 | [0.17; 0.33] | [1.467; 1.476] | [0.00; 0.32] | [0; 117] | [0.00; 35.10] |
Multi-Agent Coordination
Multi-agent coordination studies how autonomous agents align actions, share information, and divide work to achieve individual or collective goals.
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