Which Objects Stay? Learning Hierarchical Persistence Beliefs for Lifelong Open-Vocabulary Object Maps

Robots deployed over long periods must reason about environments that change over time. Existing long-term perception systems often address object change reactively, updating their maps only after revisiting a scene and observing that an object has moved. Instead, robots should reason proactively about how long objects are likely to persist using the context in which they appear. For example, a car at a traffic light and a car in a parking spot share the same semantic class, but their contexts imply different persistence durations. We propose PreSIST (Predictive Scene-conditioned Instance Survival over Time), a method for predicting whether an observed object will remain in its last seen pose at arbitrary future times. PreSIST estimates instance-level persistence priors from object properties and scene context, then integrates these priors with a probabilistic persistence filter as observations become available. Its key insight is that the reasoning capabilities of vision-language models (VLMs) can relate scene context to likely object use and human activity, enabling persistence prediction before long-term observations are available. We develop two interchangeable variants: PreSIST-Lang, which estimates persistence priors using a VLM, and PreSIST-Vis, a novel vision-only model trained using PreSIST-Lang pseudo-labels for efficient deployment. Experiments on a new dataset of in-the-wild object persistence annotations show that PreSIST-Lang and PreSIST-Vis outperform baselines on open-world persistence prediction.

Long-term object search requires learning where objects usually appear from repeated but uneven observations of a changing environment. We formulate retrospective open-vocabulary memory as probabilistic inference from censored observations, where the key idea is to reason with evidence per opportunity: a detection or non-detection should influence belief only in proportion to the robot's opportunity to observe the corresponding location. We introduce ECROM, which uses this principle to estimate long-term prevalence for concepts specified only at query time and converts the resulting belief directly into an active-search prior. To evaluate this problem, we introduce a controlled long-term benchmark in ten HM3D homes that independently varies object placement and observation opportunity across repeated traversals. ECROM improves support-level AP on held-out queries by 4.5 points and search SPL by 4.2 points over the strongest competing memory in each metric. The benchmark, dataset, and code will be open-sourced. Project page: https://jiaming.im/ecrom/

As we move through the world and carry out everyday tasks, we encounter objects that may become relevant only later. We are capable of recalling where we left something or what was inside a container, even without knowing we would need it later. Here, we study how an embodied assistant can build a similar memory from egocentric videos, by observing a person's day-to-day activities. We present Ledger, a persistent 3D object memory that combines object locations, their histories, and contextual descriptions. It associates observations across the recording and retains objects after they leave the view, including those the person never touches. It clusters each object's observations by resting locations and records a move only after repeated evidence, reducing the effect of localization noise. Short descriptions preserve details such as an object's contents or supporting surface. It saves these records to later answer spatial questions without having to access the original images or video. Our memory raises HD-EPIC accuracy from 29.7% to 42.6%, UCS-Bench accuracy from 33.8% to 38.5% and localizes Ego4D objects with a 0.99 m median error on returned predictions. Our analyses identify complementary roles for temporal persistence, contextual descriptions, and retrieval. Our study on 100 stitched streams of multiple scenes each further exposes failures in both retrieval and construction. Per-scene construction partially recovers the performance lost across scene changes compared to that of single scene streams.