Relational Databases
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3 papers in the last four weeks, with none the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.
Latest papers 26
Tabular foundation models achieve state-of-the-art performance on single-table tasks without any training. Recent work suggests that they are also well-suited for relational learning via deep feature synthesis (DFS), which flattens a relational schema into a single table by adding aggregates of the other tables' columns as features. This approach is appealing because it directly benefits from improvements to or customization of the underlying tabular foundation model. In this paper, we identify two key problems with DFS: feature explosion and interaction blindness. The first problem arises because the number of DFS features grows quickly as the schema becomes more complex, limiting scalability and performance. The second problem arises because column-wise aggregates do not account for feature interactions, limiting performance. We propose and explore an alternative method termed RelICL, which keeps the benefits of DFS but alleviates these two problems. At its heart, RelICL propagates and fuses information step by step through the schema graph, using the same tabular foundation model that is eventually used for prediction to do so. In our experimental study using RelBench tasks, RelICL was on par with the strongest approach based on deep feature synthesis.
JoinGR: Learning to Traverse Join Graphs for Table Retrieval
Retrieving the right tables is a prerequisite for Text-to-SQL over realistic databases. Dense table retrievers rank schema elements independently, but this ignores a key source of evidence: some required tables are not mentioned in the question and become identifiable only through their join relationships to already relevant tables. We introduce JOINGR, a join-aware table retrieval method that treats the database join graph as the retrieval space. Columns are represented as graph nodes, while intra-table and foreign-key relationships are represented as typed edges. Given a question, JOINGR selects semantically similar anchor tables, traverses join edges with a query-conditioned scorer, and aggregates the resulting edge deposits into table scores. The scorer is a lightweight MLP on top of frozen query, node, and edge embeddings, trained with a pairwise margin loss over gold tables. On BIRD and Spider datasets, JOINGR is competitive with the strongest retrieval baselines. On BEAVER, a challenging enterprise benchmark with multi-hop table requirements, JOINGR substantially improves recall over dense retrieval and re-ranking baselines. Cross-domain experiments show that the learned scorer transfers across benchmarks, indicating that the method captures reusable joingraph traversal behavior.
STEER: Reducing Inference Cost in Relational Foundation Models through Semantically Informed Sampling
Relational foundation models (RFMs) are pretrained once on a collection of relational databases and prediction tasks, and then applied zero-shot to previously unseen databases and tasks. To make a prediction for a target row, an RFM samples a neighborhood of rows linked to that row through foreign keys and uses this neighborhood as its inference context. Lowering inference cost is an important goal for any foundation model, and for RFMs this cost grows with the size of the context. The simplest ways to shrink the context is to drop some of the sampled rows, but this ignores the semantics of the database schema, so it is as likely to discard informative rows as uninformative ones. We propose STEER, a sampling approach that shrinks the inference context by concentrating it on the tables most relevant to the prediction task at hand. STEER obtains relevance information by prompting a large language model to rank the foreign-key edges of the database schema into relevance tiers for the given task, and then maps each tier to a probability of following that edge during traversal. Because the ranking uses only the schema, it is computed once per task and reused across all subsequent predictions, amortizing its cost. We evaluate STEER on three state-of-the-art RFMs (RT, RT-J, and Griffin) and show that it reduces inference context size by about 40% on average while maintaining, and in some cases improving, prediction accuracy.
Support-Set Target Leakage in Relational Foundation Models during In-Context Learning: Model Dependence and Evaluation Reliability
Relational in-context learning (ICL) uses labeled support examples and their linked relational context to predict labels for new queries. This creates a failure mode when target-derived features are present in the support context but unavailable for the query. We study this setting as support-set target leakage. We construct 20 controlled target-derived features that vary in signal fidelity, representation, semantic transparency, coverage, and zero-, one-, and two-hop relational placement, and evaluate them across 13 RelBench tasks and five relational ICL configurations that vary the ICL head, message-passing depth, pretraining cohort, or relational encoder architecture. We evaluate matched 0-hop, 1-hop, and 2-hop leakage settings, together with a Full leakage condition containing all 20 leaker columns. Within the tested configurations, target-table (0-hop) and Full leakage produce the largest aggregate deviations from clean evaluation, while higher-hop effects are often weaker, consistent with differences in effective exposure associated with temporal reachability, sampling, and aggregation fidelity. Leakage effects are strongly task- and model-dependent and can reverse relative conclusions between model variants even when aggregate changes are small. For leaker detection, we compare an Integrated Gradients (IG)-based screening method with mutual information (MI) and leave-one-column-out (LOCO) on a common Baseline subset. Ranking quality is strongest in the high-impact 0-hop and Full leakage conditions, but detector-based removal does not consistently restore the clean evaluation. A four-task rel-salt case study further shows the same evaluation concern with native-schema leakage candidates from the original relational schema. These results identify the support/query information boundary as an important component of reliable relational ICL evaluation.
Support-Set Target Leakage in Relational Foundation Models during In-Context Learning: Impact, Detection, and Mitigation
Relational in-context learning (ICL) conditions predictions on the labeled support examples and their linked tables, creating a failure mode when the support set contains target-derived features that are unavailable for the query. We formulate this problem as support-set target leakage, distinct from leakage during dataset construction, temporal splitting, or representation learning. Here, the target-derived (leaker) columns are present only in the labeled support set during relational in-context inference, while queries remain clean. We construct 14 synthetic leaker types, corresponding to 20 columns, spanning proxies with different noise levels, coverage, modalities, semantic transparency, and relational distances. We evaluate a frozen relational encoder with an ICL head on held-out RelBench databases and use Integrated Gradients (IG) to rank and remove suspicious columns. Our results show that the effect of support-set leakage varies across tasks and relational distances. Target-table leakers cause the clearest degradation, while one- and two-hop leakers are not consistently used by the model. IG ranks target-table leakers highly across datasets and partially recovers performance in settings where leakage has the largest effect.
InRTL: Effective Intra-Inter Interaction Learning for Relational Tables
Relational table learning has recently emerged as an important research direction for modeling multiple tables connected through primary key-foreign key (PK-FK) relationships. Despite recent advances, a principled modeling framework tailored to this task remains underexplored. In this paper, we propose Intra-Inter Relational Table Learning (InRTL), a unified framework that explicitly models dependencies both within and across relational tables. Specifically, InRTL formalizes two complementary interaction patterns: intra-table interactions, describing associations among rows within the same table, and inter-table interactions, describing dependencies between rows across PK-FK-linked tables. To model these dependencies, we develop a column-aware table encoder to generate initial row representations, followed by Transformer-based self-attention and cross-attention modules for intra-table and inter-table learning, respectively. To further improve scalability, InRTL incorporates linearized attention and heterogeneous graph neural networks to simplify the self-attention and cross-attention operations. Extensive experiments on ten datasets covering 24 real-world tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. Code is available at https://github.com/W1nterFloW/InRTL.
Relational-Core Graph Analytics Querying graphs at SQL scale, and why the node/edge model is a performance tax, not a truer picture of connected data
A durable assumption holds that graph analytics requires a purpose-built graph engine, and that relational systems are ill-suited to connected data. We argue the opposite for the workloads enterprises actually run. A columnar relational engine fronted by a graph query language matches or exceeds native graph engines on analytical graph queries, and - decisively - scales past the point where in-memory graph engines fail. We further argue that the node/edge property graph is not a more faithful model of connected data but a re-encoding of relationships that already exist explicitly in relational tables; reconstructing them at query time is pure overhead. We present ClickGraph and its Databricks-dialect sibling DeltaGraph, systems that translate Cypher directly onto the native relational schema - the tables, columns, and foreign keys as they already exist - and execute in place on ClickHouse, Databricks, or in-process on lakehouse files, with no import and no separate cluster. Because the output is ordinary SQL, an underperforming query is an open optimization surface: it can be rewritten, and the engine itself extended. We support the argument with a peer system's own published benchmark, in which a columnar engine outruns Neo4j by two-to-four orders of magnitude, and with reproducible measurements across the LDBC Social Network Benchmark suite.
Context Window Failures in Relational Foundation Models
Recent Relational Deep Learning architectures have been proposed as foundation models for multi-table relational data, yet they impose constrained neighborhood budgets that force row truncation when an entity has many related records. We introduce Animus, a synthetic financial dataset in which predicting customer income requires aggregating up to tens of thousands of transactions. On the raw representation, three recently proposed models (RT, Griffin, RelGT) achieve ; a single, routine, temporal pre-aggregation step recovers up to . This questions whether current relational foundation models are ready for high-cardinality real-world data.
TraceCoder: Explainable and Auditable Code Generation with Position-Key Snippet Versioning
Contemporary LLM-based coding agents produce code as black-box outputs: the rationale behind each line is hidden, the evolution of the code through benchmark-driven repair is ephemeral, and post-hoc auditing is impossible. We present a code generation concept that addresses these shortcomings through three complementary mechanisms: (i) a relational snippet-history schema that records, per repair event, the benchmark reference, round number, failure text, and LLM explanation, enabling full provenance queries; (ii) a browser-based visualisation tool that renders this history as heat-mapped, hover-annotated source code; and (iii) a competitive fractional position-key indexing scheme with tree-node delimiters that assigns stable, lexicographically-ordered identifiers to each code snippet, enabling fine-grained tracking without disrupting surrounding lines. We evaluate TraceCoder on 30 algorithmic programming tasks spanning string processing, mathematical computation, and data-structure manipulation, across two provider configurations. Of these, 10 exhaust the 6-iteration budget on tasks with subtle edge-case behaviour. Mean Chg% reaches 30%, three in ten code snippets carry a traceable repair-event row, compared to 21% when using Gemini 2.0 Flash as sole provider on a 20-task subset. Three detailed case studies demonstrate how the system explains which specific benchmark failures shaped each line of the final program. The proposed mechanism makes the internal "narrative" of automated code generation auditable and replayable, a property essential for trust and accountability in production deployments.
SINT-Flow: Schema Integration using Large Language Model Workflows
The goal of schema integration is, given a set of input schemata or tables, to derive a global, unified schema that is able to represent the concepts, attributes, and relationships of all input tables in a coherent fashion. This paper presents SINT-Flow, a schema integration framework composed of five LLM-based operators that can be combined into workflows to perform fully automated, end-to-end schema integration. In contrast to existing approaches, SINT-Flow can process denormalized source tables that contain attributes describing multiple entity types. During the schema integration process, these tables are decomposed into separate entity-specific relations. To evaluate SINT-Flow, we introduce SINT-Bench, a schema integration benchmark comprising 10 schema integration tasks consisting of altogether 93 relational tables, including tables that describe multiple types of entities. We evaluate SINT-Flow using GPT-5.2 as well as the open-weight model Qwen-3.6-27B as alternative backbone models. Using these models, SINT-Flow achieves F1 scores of at least 96% for entity-type detection, 85% for attribute detection, and 83% for schema mapping. Furthermore, we perform an ablation study to prove the utility of the applied self-consistency strategy as well as the inclusion of a review loop into the schema matching operator.
Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting under Distribution Shifts: A Synthetic Evaluation
Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent evolving relational systems, whose underlying data-generating processes often change over time. Yet, TKG forecasting models are commonly evaluated only on empirical benchmark datasets that provide limited insight into the models' robustness to such distribution shifts. Recognising this issue, we study TKG forecasting under controlled shift environments using a synthetic TKG generator that encodes three temporal and structural properties -- recurrence, homophily, and periodicity -- as data-generating mechanisms. This allows us to evaluate seven forecasting architectures under stationary and shifting regimes. Our experiments suggest that robustness in TKG forecasting is highly signal-dependent. Recurrence-based and periodic regularities are largely recoverable under stationary conditions, and simple memory-based baselines can be competitive when recurrence dominates the data. However, structural breaks reveal limitations in model adaptivity, with shifts in latent entity-community structure posing the strongest challenge in our study. Overall, our findings improve the understanding of the capabilities and limitations of current TKG models confronted with temporal distribution shifts.
Parameter-Free Encoders Remain Viable for RDB Foundation Models
Given a relational database (RDB) storing heterogeneous tabular information, how can we predict missing (or future) values in some target column of interest? As the space of potential targets is vast across enterprise settings, it is preferable to avoid learning a new model from scratch each time there is a new prediction task. Frozen foundation models based on RDB-specific encoders provide a viable solution, but ideal design remains an open question. On the one hand, it has recently been argued that certain parameter-free subgraph encoders combined with single-table foundation models can achieve near SOTA performance, with no RDB-specific pre-training required. Meanwhile, other contemporary studies advocate for parameterized encoders pre-trained to exploit observable labels for learning task-specific representations. To address this ambiguity, we analyze RDB encoder properties specifically when labels are present as inputs, proving limitations on the potential efficacy of trainable encoder parameters. As empirical validation, we demonstrate that considerably simpler parameter-free encoders are still capable of strong performance across many relevant benchmarking tasks.
A Fair Benchmarking of Deep Relational Database Learning Models
Relational databases (RDBs) are the primary data infrastructure in many enterprises, yet recent deep learning methods designed for RDBs have been evaluated under inconsistent experimental protocols, making fair comparison difficult. We present one of the first systematic benchmarking studies of recently released deep learning methods for RDBs, evaluating them across five relational databases, with one classification and one regression task for each. We refactor all deep RDB models to allow the full range of experimental procedures to be applied consistently across all methods. Our findings indicate that the relational transformer (RT) approach delivers the strongest overall performance on both classification and regression tasks compared to the state-of-the-art graph-based modeling and learning of RDBs. Even for single-table learning tasks, deep learning methods designed for RDBs outperform the leading tabular foundation model, TabPFN 2.5. Extending learning from a single table (hop = 0) to multiple tables (hop = 1, 2) by connecting neighboring tables in relational databases enhances performance, but the additional benefit from higher hops diminishes as computational overhead grows. Deep RDB learning methods have the potential to challenge state-of-the-art tabular foundation models, especially on large-scale enterprise data. The source code for this benchmarking study is publicly available.
Sophrosyne: Agentic Exploration of Relational Data Systems Needs Moderation
Text2SQL agents powered by LLMs translate natural language intent into SQL by exploring the data system through tool calls before formulating the query. However, to ensure secure and scoped access, data systems construct environments with explicit API surfaces. We study and categorize these APIs exposed today as either coarse-grained or fine-grained and posit that choosing between them presents a fundamental tradeoff between cost-efficient exploration and accurate SQL generation. Most data systems expose fine-grained APIs, but this inadvertently disadvantages agents: they over-explore, incorporating irrelevant schema elements into their query formulation and produce inaccurate results. We argue that curbing over-exploration is key to the effective use of these API surfaces, and propose Sophrosyne, a data system environment that augments API responses with directives that guide the agent's exploration process. Initial results show that directives reduce over-exploration by 4.6x and boost accuracy by up to 12.4% (approx. 4 percentage points).
RelPrism: A Multi-Faceted Pre-training Framework with Self-Generated Tasks for Relational Databases
Relational databases (RDBs) remain the cornerstone of modern data systems and support diverse predictive tasks. Recent relational deep learning (RDL) methods enable end-to-end prediction by converting RDBs into graphs, where rows are represented as nodes and inter-table interactions are represented as edges, and then applying graph-based models for representation learning. Despite the strong capability of RDL, effective self-supervised pre-training for RDBs remains non-trivial. RDB tasks often require multi-faceted information across different perspectives and granularities. For example, user churn classification may rely more on interaction patterns, whereas consumption value prediction requires both user-item behaviors and intrinsic user attributes for fine-grained regression. Such heterogeneous needs challenge RDB representation learning, as pre-training objectives should cover comprehensive information for downstream adaptation. However, existing SSL methods typically derive supervision from a single facet, such as node-level intrinsic attributes or subgraph-level relational structures, providing limited adaptability. To this end, we propose RelPrism, a multi-faceted self-supervised learning framework for RDBs. RelPrism constructs intrinsic, relational, and hybrid attributes from distinct perspectives, and applies multi-granularity clustering to each perspective to form corresponding pseudo-task pools. Pre-training over these pools exposes representations to broader perspectives and granularity levels, yielding a stronger basis for downstream adaptation. Experiments on 14 tasks across 5 real-world datasets show that RelPrism improves ROC-AUC by 4.15% for classification and reduces MAE by 10.75% for regression over state-of-the-art baselines. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RelPrism.
Is Fixing Schema Graphs Necessary? Full-Resolution Graph Structure Learning for Relational Deep Learning
Relational prediction tasks are fundamental in many real-world applications, where data are naturally stored in relational databases (RDBs). Relational Deep Learning (RDL) addresses this problem by modeling RDBs as graphs and applying graph neural networks (GNNs) for end-to-end learning. However, the full-resolution property is commonly adopted as a design principle in graph construction for RDBs to preserve relational semantics, which leads most existing methods to rely on fixed graph structures. In this paper, we propose FROG, a Full-Resolution and Optimizable Graph Structure Learning} framework for RDL that formulates relational structure learning as a learnable table role modeling problem, allowing tables to contribute as nodes and edges in message passing. We further design role-driven message passing mechanisms to capture relational semantics, enabling joint optimization of graph structure and GNN representations. To ensure semantic consistency, we introduce functional dependency constraints that regularize representations across table and entity levels. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method outperforms existing approaches and reveal how table roles impact downstream tasks, offering new insights into graph construction for RDL
On the Complexity of Entailment for Cumulative Propositional Dependence Logics
This paper establishes and proves complexity results for entailment for cumulative propositional dependence logic and for cumulative propositional logic with team semantics. As recently shown, cumulative logics are famously characterised by System~C and exactly captured by the cumulative models of Kraus, Lehmann and Magidor. This gives rise to the entailment problem via relational models, which is specifically considered here.
Expressive Power of Deep Homomorphism Networks over Relational Databases
The expressive limitations of message-passing Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have motivated a wide range of more powerful graph learning architectures. We advocate Deep Homomorphism Networks (DHNs) as a model particularly well-suited for learning over relational databases, due to their close connection to important fragments of SQL such as conjunctive queries. We study the precise expressive power of DHNs by relating them to various natural fragments and extensions of first-order logic (FO). For DHNs with max, sum, and mean aggregations, we establish connections to the unary negation fragment (UNFO) and to the extensions of UNFO with counting quantifiers and with ratio quantifiers. We further relate sum-aggregation DHNs to the unary quantifier alternation fragment of FO and to an extension of FO with expressive counting. Through the classical correspondence between FO and SQL, these results also illuminate the relation between DHNs and SQL. They also enable us to study the decidability of two fundamental static analysis problems for DHNs, the emptiness problem and the subsumption problem. Finally, we confirm through experiments that the established differences in expressive power are reflected in the performance on suitable prediction tasks.
Towards Foundation Models for Relational Databases with Language Models and Graph Neural Networks
Relational databases store much of the world's structured information, and they are essential for driving complex predictive applications. However, deep learning progress on relational data remains limited, as conventional approaches flatten databases into single tables via manual feature engineering, discarding relational context. Relational deep learning (RDL) addresses this by modeling databases as relational entity graphs (REGs) for graph neural networks (GNNs), but remains task- and database-specific. To combine the strengths of both paradigms, we propose a hybrid architecture combining a fine-tuned BART encoder to capture intra-row semantics with a GraphSAGE-based GNN over REGs to inject relational context. Experiments on RelBench show that the GNN substantially enriches BART's row embeddings, achieving a ROC-AUC of 67.40 on the driver-dnf task from the rel-f1 dataset. This performance is competitive with supervised baselines such as LightGBM (68.86) and narrows the gap to RDL (72.62) to within 5.22 points, though a substantial gap remains to state-of-the-art foundation models such as KumoRFM (82.63). These results suggest that lightweight hybrid LM-GNN architectures offer a promising and resource-efficient path towards foundation models for relational databases.
On the Limitations of Large Language Models for Conceptual Database Modeling
This article analyzes the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) as support for the conceptual modeling of relational databases through the automatic generation of Entity-Relationship (ER) diagrams from natural language requirements. The approach combines different language models with prompt engineering techniques to evaluate their ability to identify entities, relationships, and attributes in a conceptually consistent manner. The experimental evaluation involved three LLMs, each subjected to three prompting techniques (Zero-Shot, Chain of Thought, and Chain of Thought + Verifier), applied to the same requirements scenario with progressively increasing complexity. The generated diagrams were qualitatively analyzed through direct comparison with the textual requirements, considering the structural and semantic adherence of the modeled elements. The results indicate that, although LLMs show reasonable performance in less complex scenarios, their reliability decreases as the complexity of the requirements increases, with a rise in inconsistencies, ambiguities, and failures in representing constraints. These findings reinforce that, in their current state, LLMs are not sufficiently mature for reliable use in complex scenarios, and the cost of validation may offset the apparent productivity gains.
Template-as-Ontology: Configurable Synthetic Data Infrastructure for Cross-Domain Manufacturing AI Validation
LLarge language model (LLM)-based AI agents deployed in manufacturing environments require populated, schema-correct data for validation, yet production MES data is proprietary, privacy-encumbered, and vendor-specific. This paper introduces the Template-as-Ontology principle: a single Python configuration module (700-770 lines, 45 validated exports) serves simultaneously as the specification for a time-stepped manufacturing simulator and as the runtime domain schema for AI analytics tools, producing alignment by construction rather than integration. We formally define the domain template as a typed relational configuration schema and prove that structural alignment between simulation and tool layers is guaranteed by single-source consumption. A five-layer pipeline--simulation, PostgreSQL, CDC/Iceberg lakehouse, star schema, and 12 parameterized AI tools--generates causally coherent, MES-shaped data spanning 66 entity types across four operational domains mapped to ISA-95/IEC 62264. We validate the architecture with six industry templates (aerospace, pharma, automotive, electronics, beverages, warehousing) running on identical framework code. Calibration experiments (60 runs, 10 seeds per template) confirm parametric controllability: observed KPIs fall within configured ranges across all templates. A controlled hallucination experiment (72 tool invocations, Qwen3-32B) demonstrates that ontology-constrained parameters eliminate tool-parameter fabrication (0% constrained vs. 43% unconstrained hallucination rate for the evaluated model, Fisher's exact test p < 10^-12); the 0% constrained rate is an architectural guarantee that holds for any model. The framework provides a reusable data layer for discrete manufacturing AI validation.
CORE: Cyclic Orthotope Relation Embedding for Knowledge Graph Completion
Knowledge graph completion (KGC) aims to automatically infer missing facts in multi-relational data by mapping entities and relations into continuous representation spaces. Recent region-based embedding models have shown great promise in capturing complex logical patterns by representing relations as geometric regions. However, these models inevitably suffer from absolute boundary constraints during optimization. Conversely, without such constraints, relation regions expand indefinitely. To address the limitation, we propose \textbf{CORE} (Cyclic Orthotope Relation Embedding), a novel KGC model that embeds entities and relations onto a boundary-less torus manifold.CORE represents relations as cyclic orthotopes on the torus manifold, allowing regions to seamlessly wrap around spatial boundaries to ensure smooth gradient conduction. Furthermore, an adaptive width regularization is introduced to prevent unconditional region expansion. Theoretical analysis proves that CORE can capture various complex relation patterns such as subsumption and intersection. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that CORE achieves highly competitive performance, significantly improving link prediction accuracy in dense semantic environments.
Self-Reinforcing Controllable Synthesis of Rare Relational Data via Bayesian Calibration
Imbalanced data are commonly present in real-world applications. While data synthesis can effectively mitigate data scarcity for rare classes, and LLMs have revolutionized text generation, the application of LLMs to the synthesis of relational/structured tabular data remains underexplored. Moreover, existing approaches lack an effective feedback mechanism to guide LLMs in continuously optimizing the quality of the generated data throughout the synthesis process. In this work, we propose RDDG, Relational Data generator with Dynamic Guidance, which is a unified in-context learning framework that employs progressive chain-of-thought (CoT) steps to generate tabular data for enhancing downstream imbalanced classification performance. RDDG first uses core set selection to identify representative samples from the original data, then utilizes in-context learning to discover the inherent patterns and correlations among attributes within the core set, and subsequently generates tabular data while preserving the aforementioned constraints. More importantly, it incorporates a self-reinforcing feedback mechanism that provides automatic assessments of the quality of the generated data, enabling continuous quality optimization throughout the generation process. Experimental results on multiple real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that RDDG outperforms existing approaches in both data fidelity and downstream imbalanced classification performance. We make our code available at https://github.com/cszhangLMU/RDDG.
PluRel: Synthetic Data unlocks Scaling Laws for Relational Foundation Models
Relational Foundation Models (RFMs) facilitate data-driven decision-making by learning from complex multi-table databases. However, the diverse relational databases needed to train such models are rarely public due to privacy constraints. While there are methods to generate synthetic tabular data of arbitrary size, incorporating schema structure and primary-foreign key connectivity for multi-table generation remains challenging. Here we introduce PLUREL, a framework to synthesize multi-tabular relational databases from scratch. In a step-by-step fashion, PLUREL models (1) schemas with directed graphs, (2) inter-table primary-foreign key connectivity with bipartite graphs, and, (3) feature distributions in tables via conditional causal mechanisms. The design space across these stages supports the synthesis of a wide range of diverse databases, while being computationally lightweight. Using PLUREL, we observe for the first time that (1) RFM pretraining loss exhibits power-law scaling with the number of synthetic databases and total pretraining tokens, (2) scaling the number of synthetic databases improves generalization to real databases, and (3) synthetic pretraining yields strong base models for continued pretraining on real databases. Overall, our framework and results position synthetic data scaling as a promising paradigm for RFMs.
Evidence-Guided Schema Normalization for Temporal Tabular Reasoning
Temporal reasoning over evolving semi-structured tables poses a challenge to current QA systems. We propose an approach that recasts the task as automated knowledge base construction: (1) prompting an LLM to synthesize a 3NF-compliant relational schema from Wikipedia infobox timelines, (2) populating the schema to obtain a queryable database, and (3) generating and executing SQL queries against it, with QA accuracy serving as an extrinsic evaluation of the constructed knowledge base. In a controlled grid of three schema generators crossed with six query models, the schema source accounts for 79.5% of the exact match (EM) variance against 1.6% for the query model: replacing the schema, and the prompt scaffolding derived from it, shifts EM by 14.7 to 20.0 points, whereas replacing the query model under a fixed schema shifts it by 4.4 to 12.1. From this evidence, we distill three candidate schema-design principles: balanced normalization, semantic naming, and consistent temporal anchoring, framed as correlational hypotheses. Our best configuration (Gemini 2.5 Flash schemas + Gemini-2.0-Flash queries) reaches 80.39 EM, 11.5 points above the strongest reported baseline (68.89 EM); an open-weights configuration reaches 79.52.
Invariant Graph Representations for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs Under Distribution Shifts
Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) enable fine-grained modeling of evolving relational systems. However, most existing CTDG representation learning methods are tailored to in-distribution settings and exhibit limited robustness under out-of-distribution (OOD) shifts. Although recent causal approaches learn invariant representations via interventions, they are primarily designed for static or discrete-time graphs and become computationally prohibitive for CTDGs due to the combinatorial explosion of structural and temporal variations. To address these challenges, we propose CIR, a framework grounded in a novel structural causal model termed the ICCM. To avoid exhaustive interventions, we leverage the Normalized Weighted Geometric Mean (NWGM) to efficiently approximate interventional predictions. We further instantiate ICCM within a practical deep learning architecture that jointly captures invariant structural and temporal patterns through dedicated subgraph extractors, and maintains an environment memory bank to model distributional shifts across evolving contexts. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CIR consistently outperforms existing methods under diverse OOD scenarios.