RUL Estimation
RUL: Remaining Useful Life
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4 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.
Latest papers 36
Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of synthetic fibre ropes (SFRs) is critical for safe operation in offshore-crane, wind turbine installation, and heavy-load handling applications, where rope failure can result in catastrophic safety incidents and costly downtime. Despite growing research interest in data-driven condition monitoring, there is no publicly available image dataset that captures the complete degradation lifecycle of SFRs under controlled cyclic fatigue loading. To address this gap, we present a novel image dataset comprising approximately 34,700 high-resolution images of eleven Dyneema SK75/78 high-modulus polyethylene (HMPE) rope samples subjected to cyclic fatigue on a sheave-bend test stand at seven distinct axial load levels ranging from 60 kN to 280 kN. Ropes were loaded until mechanical failure, with fatigue lifetimes ranging from 695 cycles to 8,340 cycles. After every fixed number of sheave cycles (an inspection burst), ten images were captured at different cross-sectional positions along the rope, providing spatially representative sampling of surface degradation throughout the rope's entire service life. The images obtained from each load are annotated with the corresponding elapsed cycle count, enabling a direct computation of RUL for any rope in the sequence. This dataset aims to support a broad range of machine learning (ML) tasks including RUL regression, damage progression modelling, anomaly detection, and load-conditioned prognostics. The dataset is intended to serve as a benchmark resource for the development and comparison of vision-based condition monitoring (CM) and prognostics algorithms for SFRs.
A Novel Preprocessing-Driven Approach to Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Prediction Using Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN)
Accurate prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) in aero-engines is vital for predictive maintenance, improved operational reliability, and reduced lifecycle costs. While deep learning approaches have demonstrated strong potential in this area, most existing methods focus primarily on model architecture design and treat input features uniformly, often neglecting the influence of data preprocessing. In this work, we propose a novel preprocessing pipeline that enhances RUL prediction by improving data quality and temporal representation before model training. Our approach leverages complete temporal sequences and generates RUL estimates at each timestep, enabling the model to capture fine-grained degradation dynamics and deliver continuous prognostic insights throughout the engine's operational life. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed pipeline, we conduct experiments on the NASA C-MAPSS dataset. Comparative evaluations against a suite of state-of-the-art neural models including CNN, RNN, LSTM, DCNN, TCN, BiGRU-TSAM, AGCNN, and ATCN, demonstrate that our approach consistently achieves superior accuracy and robustness in aero-engine RUL prediction. These results highlight the critical role of preprocessing in maximizing the effectiveness of neural prognostic models.
Remaining Useful Life Estimation for Turbofan Engines: A Comparative Study of Classical, CNN, and LSTM Approaches
Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation is a critical component of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), enabling proactive maintenance scheduling and reducing unplanned failures in industrial equipment. This paper presents a comparative study of machine learning approaches for RUL estimation on the NASA C-MAPSS turbofan engine dataset: classical baselines (Ridge Regression, Polynomial Ridge, and XGBoost), a 1D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. All models are evaluated on the FD001 and FD003 subsets under an identical preprocessing pipeline to ensure a fair comparison. Among raw-sequence models, the LSTM achieves RMSE of 14.93 and 14.20 on FD001 and FD003 respectively, outperforming the deep LSTM reported by Zheng et al.~\cite{paper} (RMSE 16.14 and 16.18) despite using a simpler single-layer architecture. The 1D CNN achieves RMSE of 16.97 on FD001 and 15.68 on FD003, demonstrating competitive performance on FD003 while producing more conservative RUL predictions on FD001. Ridge Regression is evaluated on raw and engineered features, while other classical models use only engineered inputs. XGBoost achieves an RMSE of 13.36 on FD003, highlighting the competitiveness of nonlinear modeling.
A Deep Learning Model for Battery State Prediction towards Intelligent Energy Management
Accurate forecasting of battery health indicators, including remaining capacity and lifetime, is of paramount importance for ensuring the reliability, safety, and operational efficiency of applications such as electric vehicles and large scale energy storage infrastructures. The result of the forecasting can be adopted to build an advanced monitoring mechanism for continuous checking batteries' health status to assist in the efficient real-time management of numerous applications. This research investigates the development and implementation of a Deep Learning (DL) model for the prediction of the future state and performance of industrial electrochemical energy storage systems. To address this challenge, we propose a dedicated computational framework that integrates advanced neural network architectures with large-scale training datasets, enabling precise modeling of batteries degradation dynamics and operational trends. The proposed approach provides a decision support mechanism for the optimal management of batteries facilitating both predictive maintenance and the efficient allocation of energy resources. Our findings highlight the potential of DL-based predictive modeling to significantly contribute to the advancement of sustainable and intelligent energy management systems.
Heterogeneity-Aware Personalized Federated Learning for Industrial Predictive Analytics
Federated prognostics enable clients (e.g., companies, factories, and production lines) to collaboratively develop a failure time prediction model while keeping each client's data local and confidential. However, traditional federated models often assume homogeneity in the degradation processes across clients, an assumption that may not hold in many industrial settings. To overcome this, this paper proposes a personalized federated prognostic model designed to accommodate clients with heterogeneous degradation processes, allowing them to build tailored prognostic models. The prognostic model iteratively facilitates the underlying pairwise collaborations between clients with similar degradation patterns, which enhances the performance of personalized federated learning. To estimate parameters jointly using decentralized datasets, we develop a federated parameter estimation algorithm based on proximal gradient descent. The proposed approach addresses the limitations of existing federated prognostic models by simultaneously achieving model personalization, preserving data privacy, and providing comprehensive failure time distributions. The superiority of the proposed model is validated through extensive simulation studies and a case study using the turbofan engine degradation dataset from the NASA repository.
Continuous ageing trajectory representations for knee-aware lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries across heterogeneous dataset
Accurate assessment of lithium-ion battery ageing is challenged by cell-to-cell variability, heterogeneous cycling protocols, and limited transferability of data-driven models across datasets. In particular, robust identification of degradation transitions, such as the knee point, and reliable early-life prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) remain open problems. This study proposes a unified framework for battery ageing analysis based on continuous representations of voltage-capacity and capacity-cycle trajectories learned from heterogeneous public datasets (NASA, CALCE, ISU-ILCC). The continuous formulation enables consistent extraction of degradation descriptors, including curvature, plateau length and knee-related metrics, while reducing sensitivity to dataset-specific discretisation. Across more than 250 cells, statistically significant correlations between knee onset and end-of-life (Pearson 0.75-0.84) are observed. Additional early-life analysis confirms that knee-related features retain predictive value when estimated from partial trajectories. Early-life models provide increasingly stable RUL predictions as the number of observed cycles increases, with meaningful predictive performance emerging within the first 5-20 cycles and remain robust under cross-dataset domain shift. The framework integrates continuous modelling, feature extraction and uncertainty-aware prediction, providing an interpretable and dataset-consistent approach demonstrating robustness across heterogeneous dataset types. Compared with conventional discrete or feature-based methods, the proposed representation reduces sensitivity to sampling resolution and improves cross-dataset consistency. The study is limited to laboratory-scale datasets and capacity-based end-of-life definitions.