cs.DCMay 15, 2026

ADAPT: A Self-Calibrating Proactive Autoscaler for Container Orchestration

Authors: Himanshu Singh Baghel

Organizations: Department of Computer Engineering [J.C. Bose University of Science and Technology] Faridabad, India

Abstract

Proactive autoscaling for containerized workloads depends on knowing the provisioning delay, i.e., the time between a scaling decision and the moment new capacity is ready to serve traffic. In practice, this cold-start duration can vary substantially across environments and even across consecutive scale-out events. We present ADAPT (Adaptive Duration Approximation for Predictive Timing), an online EWMA estimator that tracks coldstart duration at runtime. ADAPT feeds a dynamic planning horizon, FH-OPT, into a Model Predictive Controller (MPC) that optimizes replica counts over a rolling window. Together, these components form a closed-loop proactive autoscaling design that adapts its lookahead based on measured provisioning delay. Evaluated across three policies (MPC+LSTM, MPC+Prophet, HPA) and six workload archetypes with five random seeds, MPC+LSTM achieves below 5% SLA violation on all workloads, compared with 7-19% for reactive HPA and up to 28.7% for MPC+Prophet on bimodal traffic.

Explore similar work

Mar 21, 2026cs.DC

Learning to Remember: Attentive Reinforcement Learning for Edge Serverless Autoscaling

In edge computing, the stochastic and bursty nature of serverless workloads challenges autonomous resource orchestration. Traditional reactive controllers, such as the Kubernetes Horizontal Pod Autoscaler (HPA), suffer from reaction latency, leading to Service Level Objective (SLO) violations during traffic spikes and resource flapping during ramp-downs. While Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) offers a pathway toward proactive management, standard agents suffer from \textit{temporal blindness}, an inability to exploit the recent temporal context in non-Markovian edge environments. To bridge this gap, we propose a stability-aware autoscaling framework unifying short-horizon temporal context and control via an Attention-Enhanced Double-Stacked LSTM architecture integrated within a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent. Unlike shallow recurrent models, our approach employs a learned attention mechanism that weights recent historical states non-uniformly, suppressing high-frequency jitter while preserving the trend that precedes demand shifts. We validate the framework on two independent Kubernetes clusters using real-world Azure Functions traces. Against the single-layer LSTM ablation and the static HPA baseline, our approach reduces P90 latency by \approx67%, and holds average latency within the 50ms hard SLO for 98.8% of the run against 49.6% and 43.5% respectively. Against Kubernetes Event-Driven Autoscaling (KEDA), it matches latency performance at 75% fewer replica-steps and 59% less churn, with P90 hard-SLO violation bursts of at most 5 consecutive intervals against up to 24 for KEDA. These results indicate that mitigating temporal blindness through deep attentive memory improves the reliability and stability of Kubernetes autoscaling under bursty edge workloads.
Faraz Shaikh, Gianluca Reali, Mauro Femminella
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Adapt Only When It Pays: Budgeted Decision-Loss Priority for Delayed Online Time-Series Adaptation

Online time-series forecasters receive labels only after horizon-dependent delays, while every adaptation step spends limited compute. We study when an online learner should update, not how to adapt at every opportunity, and introduce ADOWIP: a residual-adapter framework with sealed delay queues, exact budget accounting, and auditable update telemetry. Its main scheduler is an observed decision-loss priority gate that updates only after feedback is revealed, when downstream loss, optionally penalized by prediction MSE, exceeds a calibrated empirical quantile and budget remains. We prove hard-budget feasibility, projected-OGD regret for a convex linear accepted-update subproblem, and stability plus conditional finite-sample gate-selection statements. On public ETT capacity-planning tasks, a frozen calibration/evaluation split selects a gate that lowers held-out decision loss against always, fixed-period, and drift-triggered exact-update baselines under matched compute. Secondary threshold/load-index ETT suites are mixed: 33 of 41 selected contrasts clear the stricter cross-artifact Holm family, and the 8 nonpassing rows are explicitly excluded from primary claims. The same protocol improves an external UCI Bike capacity proxy with 20/0 held-out wins, and a fixed gate passes three full-year Capital Bikeshare station-rebalancing contrasts. Probe-based and finance experiments remain negative, delimiting the current scope of decision-prioritized adaptation.
Xibai Wang
May 24, 2026cs.AI

ProActor: Timing-Aware Reinforcement Learning for Proactive Task Scheduling Agents

Proactive task-oriented agents must autonomously anticipate user needs, identify actionable opportunities, and trigger software actions at appropriate moments - fundamentally shifting from reactive systems that await explicit instructions. However, existing approaches lack generalizable end-to-end solutions for measuring and optimizing such anticipatory behaviors. This paper introduces ProActor, a unified framework for conversational task scheduling that integrates: (1) a domain-agnostic automated annotation methodology that enables scalable proactiveness reinforcement learning (RL) by generating full opportunity time windows instead of rigid point labels, (2) systematic proactiveness metrics capturing both timing quality and reference action alignment, and (3) RL optimization using GRPO with various reward designs. Our insight is that RULER-based rewards with proactiveness rubrics are crucial for improving timing quality, and that proactiveness optimization enabled by stage-aware composite rewards is key to balancing timing quality and reference action alignment. Timing-aware RL requires extensive exploration, demanding efficient infrastructure. We develop ART-F, an adaptive framework combining request-adaptive inference clusters with DDP-based training on single-node multi-GPU systems, enabling LoRA training of 4-bit Qwen2.5-14B-ProActor-Q4 with 4-8x speedups. Experiments on two newly auto-annotated datasets demonstrate significant improvements in proactive timing while maintaining action consistency comparable to state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines. Ablations validate the effectiveness of distinct composite reward variations.
Lei Ding, Bin He, Chenguang Wang +1