Evidence-Gated LLM Priors for Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization

Bayesian optimization (BO) has become the standard tool for sample-efficient optimization and owes its efficiency to uncertainty-aware search driven by generic statistical priors. Richer domain priors can improve BO in principle, but encoding them through tailored kernels or problem structure is difficult and rarely done in practice. LLMs can help sidestep this difficulty by making informal priors from natural language, code, and documentation directly available to the optimizer. However, existing LLM-based BO methods either insert the LLM into a fixed role (surrogate, acquisition proxy, or configuration interface) or hand it broad control, sacrificing the systematic exploration that makes BO reliable. We introduce agentic Bayesian optimization: a paradigm in which an LLM agent is the central decision maker in the BO loop while a Bayesian backend provides the uncertainty-aware optimization substrate. The agent configures the problem, queries the backend, selects and commits evaluations, and can revise the optimization strategy during the run by tightening bounds, switching acquisition functions, proposing targeted evaluations, or even reframing the problem following new instructions or observed evidence. We instantiate this idea in Sara, a surrogate-augmented autoresearch agent, and lenz, a modular BoTorch-based backend that the agent can inspect and modify through a structured interface. Across synthetic and real-world benchmarks, Sara preserves the reliability of state-of-the-art BO without prior knowledge, outperforms LLM-based baselines, and uses natural-language priors to improve beyond standard BO. We further demonstrate the practical value of agentic BO in dynamic settings, where Sara reconfigures the full optimization problem on the fly as requirements change, a capability not previously available in standard BO.

The high cost and data scarcity in scientific exploration have motivated the use of large language models (LLMs) as knowledge-driven components in Bayesian optimization (BO). However, existing approaches typically embed LLMs directly into the sampling or surrogate modeling pipeline, without fully leveraging their significantly lower evaluation cost compared to real-world experiments. To address this limitation, we propose LLM-Accelerated Bayesian Optimization (LABO), a framework that combines LLM predictions with experimental observations within a single BO loop. LABO employs a gating criterion to dynamically balance the reliance on LLM predictions versus actual experiments. By leveraging inexpensive LLM evaluations to broadly explore the search space and reserving costly real experiments only for regions with high uncertainty, LABO achieves more sample-efficient optimization. We provide a theoretical analysis with a cumulative regret bound that formalizes this efficiency gain. Empirical results across diverse scientific tasks demonstrate that LABO consistently outperforms existing methods under identical experimental budgets. Our results suggest that LABO offers a practical and theoretically grounded approach for integrating LLMs into scientific discovery workflows.

Large language models are increasingly used as surrogate models for low-data optimization, but their optimizer-facing prediction and its uncertainty remain poorly understood. We study the surrogate belief elicited from an LLM under sparse observations, showing that it depends strongly on prompt text and query protocol. We introduce an uncertainty-alignment criterion that measures whether model uncertainty tracks residual ambiguity among sample-consistent functions. Across controlled inference tasks and Bayesian optimization studies, we find that structural prompts act as effective priors, POINTWISE and JOINT querying induce different beliefs, and sequential evidence leads to non-monotonic, order-sensitive confidence updates. These effects change downstream acquisition decisions and regret, showing that elicitation protocol is part of the LLM surrogate specification, not a formatting detail.