Traffic microsimulators rely on hand-crafted behavior models that reproduce aggregate flow but miss the heterogeneous interactions between vehicles at signalized intersections. Learned trajectory predictors capture richer interactions but are short-horizon and tend to be unstable when run in closed loop. We present Enactor, an actor-centric generative model for closed-loop intersection microsimulation. The model focuses on vehicles; pedestrians are included as context that can influence vehicle decisions but not predicted. Dynamic actors and lane polylines are encoded in polar coordinates referenced to the intersection center. A transformer with separate spatial and temporal attention blocks predicts a distribution over each actor's next-step motion (s, α). Training uses a closed-loop curriculum so the model is exposed to its own predictions. We evaluate Enactor in two regimes. In a 4000-second simulation-in-the-loop test at two intersection geometries, Enactor controls every dynamic vehicle against a continuously refreshing actor set rather than the fixed cohort that learned trajectory predictors are usually evaluated against. It recovers the SUMO data generator's speed and travel-time distributions with KL divergence over an order of magnitude lower than a recent transformer baseline on travel time, and substantially lower on speed (roughly 5× lower at Site 1), and reduces red-light violations relative to the same baseline by more than an order of magnitude. An ablation isolates the leader rear-bumper feature as the change with the largest effect on intersection-aware safety metrics. We also evaluate on real-world field data and apply the same architecture to naturalistic vehicle trajectories from a fish-eye camera at a signalized intersection and evaluate it on multi-horizon predictive tasks. Enactor outperforms a constant-velocity baseline at every horizon evaluated.
Traffic microsimulation combined with surrogate safety measures has increasingly been used as a proactive alternative to historical crash data for predicting crash frequency for current or planned road infrastructure designs. However, existing microsimulation-based safety studies have adopted simplified rule-based behaviour models, which reproduce traffic flow reasonably well but often fail to generate realistic conflict dynamics, limiting crash prediction accuracy. Recent advances in machine learning (ML)-based behaviour models offer a promising opportunity to potentially improve microsimulation realism and crash frequency predictions by learning human driving behaviour directly from large-scale trajectory datasets. To investigate this possibility, traffic microsimulation was conducted for five real-world signalised intersections in Leeds, UK, using both a standard rule-based model and a state-of-the-art ML model. Simulated vehicle trajectories were analysed using a two-dimensional Time-to-Collision metric to identify simulated conflicts, which were then modelled using Extreme Value Theory to predict crash frequency. Results show that conflicts from the ML model yielded crash predictions in line with the real-world crash data, whereas the rule-based model did not permit meaningful predictions, presumably due to a lack of model calibration to the specific simulated intersections. Directly using ML-generated simulated crashes to predict real-world crash frequency also yielded poor results, suggesting that while current ML models can realistically reproduce conflicts, they are not yet able to generate realistic crashes. Overall, the findings demonstrate that ML-based behaviour models are promising for improving crash prediction from simulated conflicts, without a need for location-specific model calibration, and suggest clear future directions for ML-based traffic microsimulation.
A local-to-global context mismatch arises when autoregressive traffic simulators trained on ego-centric driving logs are deployed in globally observable closed-loop environments. In such logs, the ego vehicle has rich local observations, while surrounding agents are only partially observed due to perception limits and occlusions. As a result, simulators may learn incomplete context--action mappings that remain hidden in log-based training but emerge during closed-loop rollouts, leading to unrealistic behaviors such as abnormal stops, unsafe interactions, and rule violations. We propose CRAFT, a Contextual pReference Alignment Framework for Traffic Simulation, to mitigate this mismatch via self-supervised failure discovery and preference-guided test-time alignment. CRAFT treats the base simulator as a globally observable sandbox, generating diverse what-if rollouts from logged initial states to expose context-induced failures. These failures are grounded with human-aligned driving priors and converted into preference supervision for training a Contextual Preference Evaluator (CPE). At inference time, CPE acts as a plug-in alignment module that scores candidate actions under complete scene context and reweights autoregressive decoding toward globally coherent behaviors. CRAFT mitigates this local-to-global contextual bias, reducing collisions by 31.2% and traffic violations by 33.2% without retraining the base simulator.
Closed-loop traffic simulation requires agents that are both scalable and behaviorally realistic. Recent self-play reinforcement learning approaches demonstrate strong scalability, but their equilibrium strategies fail to capture the socially aware behaviors of real human drivers. We propose a hierarchical architecture that goes beyond self-play by combining high-level multi-agent interaction reasoning with low-level continuous trajectory realization. Specifically, a Stackelberg-style Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) module generates interaction-aware intention commands. These commands condition a low-level continuous motion module, translating the strategic intent into physically consistent, scene-responsive control sequences. To mitigate distribution shift in closed-loop deployment, we introduce a hybrid co-training scheme combining MARL with auxiliary recovery supervision. Experiments on a SUMO-based urban network demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves superior control smoothness and safety compared to self-play and passive imitation baselines, while maintaining competitive traffic efficiency.