Model Predictive Supervisory Control for Hierarchical and Distributed UAS Traffic Management

Many aerial tasks involving quadrotors demand both instant reactivity and long-horizon planning for obstacle avoidance, energy efficiency, or trajectory tracking. High-fidelity models enable accurate control but are too slow for long horizons. Low-fidelity planners scale but cannot directly control the system, necessitating cascaded architectures. Prevailing hierarchical approaches plan with a simplified model and use a high-fidelity controller for tracking, yet this decomposition is inherently suboptimal. The controller is limited by the coarse plan, and conventional MPC alternatives shorten the horizon to stay real-time feasible. We present UNIQUE, an MPC architecture that replaces this hierarchical stacking with temporal cascading. The planning problem is formulated as the second-tail horizon of a single multi-phase MPC, rather than being solved separately. We align costs across horizons, derive feasibility constraints for the point-mass planning model, and introduce transition constraints that convert high-fidelity states into meaningful low-fidelity states. Parallel point-mass and mixed-integer solvers address nonconvexities while incorporating progressive 3D obstacle smoothing over the planning horizon. In simulations and real flights, under equal computational budgets, UNIQUE improves closed-loop tracking by up to 75% compared with standard MPC and hierarchical baselines. Ablations and Pareto analyses confirm performance gains across variations in horizon, constraint approximations, and smoothing schedules.

Autonomous drone swarms in space-constrained environments such as warehouses, inspection corridors, and urban delivery routes must share limited airspace safely at high vehicle density. Existing approaches rely on fixed safety zones sized for worst-case velocity, which wastes airspace in congested scenarios. We replace the fixed radius with an adaptive, speed-dependent safety sphere whose size scales with braking distance: tight at low speeds, expanded at high speeds. We develop both a centralized model predictive control (MPC) formulation and a distributed MPC (DMPC) in which each drone optimizes locally from detected neighbors, accommodating mixed fleets with non-cooperative agents. We prove feasibility up to the geometric packing limit evaluated at the minimum radius, establish Lyapunov stability under sufficient conditions on the adaptation parameter, drone density, and prediction horizon, and extend these guarantees to the distributed setting via a contraction condition that preserves the centralized stability margins. We further derive modified sphere-packing capacity bounds and a throughput-optimal crossing speed for narrow passages. Simulations confirm that the adaptive framework remains feasible where fixed-radius methods fail: it roughly doubles the admissible drone count, reduces traversal time through constrained passages by about 25 percent, and enables passage through openings impassable to static safety zones. The centralized variant realizes a larger fraction of the theoretical capacity, while the distributed variant offers a more realistic deployment model for mixed-fleet operations under the same safety guarantees.

Agent-based model predictive control (AMPC) has recently been proposed as a distributed scheme that collaborates with all agents to achieve optimal holistic performance. However, its optimality highly depends on the prediction accuracy that requires all agents or their contributions to be known, which is too idealistic for actual implementation. This research proposes a novel practical hybrid control scheme - learning agent-based MPC (LAMPC), combining the model-based AMPC approach and data-based learning methods to improve the holistic vehicle performance for multi-agent systems. The Gaussian process regression (GPR) enhanced by an online data management strategy serves as the learning core to predict unknown contributions. A novel multi-step prediction mechanism leverages the GPR learning potential along the horizon. The predicted mean, representing the learned unknown contributions, completes the system model in the MPC for more accurate control. Meanwhile, a stochastic framework is formulated to guarantee control safety and feasibility using soft chance constraints based on the prediction variance. Both simulations and experiments show that, with the learning capability, LAMPC outperforms the traditional AMPC. LAMPC can achieve higher tracking performance in well-learned scenarios and always guarantee constraint satisfaction even in less-learned scenarios. Moreover, the proposed hybrid control scheme is efficient for real-time implementation and is flexible to any control agent topology.