Fault Diagnosis for Underwater Vehicles using Moving Horizon Estimation and Gaussian Processes

Accurate and adaptive dynamic models are critical for underwater vehicle-manipulator systems where hydrodynamic effects induce time-varying parameters. This paper introduces a novel uncertainty-aware adaptive dynamics model framework that remains linear in lumped vehicle and manipulator parameters, and embeds convex physical consistency constraints during online estimation. Moving horizon estimation is used to stack horizon regressors, enforce realizable inertia, damping, friction, and hydrostatics, and quantify uncertainty from parameter evolution. Experiments on a BlueROV2 Heavy with a 4-DOF manipulator demonstrate rapid convergence and calibrated predictions. Manipulator fits achieve R2 = 0.88 to 0.98 with slopes near unity, while vehicle surge, heave, and roll are reproduced with good fidelity under stronger coupling and noise. Median solver time is approximately 0.023 s per update, confirming online feasibility. A comparison against a fixed parameter model shows consistent reductions in MAE and RMSE across degrees of freedom. Results indicate physically plausible parameters and confidence intervals with near 100% coverage, enabling reliable feedforward control and simulation in underwater environments.

Reliable marine-engine fault diagnosis in maritime IoT is challenged by distributed data ownership, heterogeneous fault distributions, and continuously changing operating conditions. This paper proposes SeaCausal-FL, a federated fuzzy causal learning framework that combines a shared temporal diagnostic path with mechanism-conditioned causal reasoning. An interval type-2 fuzzy layer represents uncertain and overlapping operating mechanisms, while each mechanism is associated with a physics-constrained structural causal model. Before aggregation, locally learned mechanisms are aligned using operating context, causal structure, and conditional intervention-response signatures. Model parameters are then aggregated according to sample, class, mechanism, and mechanism-class evidence instead of client sample size alone. The learned structural equations further support interval counterfactual reasoning through abduction, action, and prediction. Experiments on a marine-engine fault dataset and a real-data-calibrated semi-synthetic causal benchmark show that SeaCausal-FL achieves an average F1 score of 87.07% across four client partitions, with AUROC and AUPRC of 98.98% and 94.81%, respectively. It also maintains strong performance under unseen loads and fault-type omission during training. On the causal benchmark, SeaCausal-FL reaches an Edge-F1 of approximately 0.58 and an Edge-AUPRC of 0.68, reduces coefficient RMSE to about 0.14, and provides favorable counterfactual estimation and intervention decisions.

Unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) operate persistently in communication-constrained environments, thus requiring high-level autonomous fault-tolerant control under faulty operating conditions. Existing approaches rely heavily on predefined hard-coded rules and struggle to achieve effective fault-tolerant control against unforeseen faults. Although large language models (LLMs) possess powerful cognitive and reasoning capabilities, their inherent hallucinations remain a major obstacle to their application in UUV control systems. This paper proposes an intelligent control method based on the LASSA (LLM-based Agent with Solver, Sensor and Actuator) architecture. Within this architecture, an LLM identifies unknown faults and accomplishes task replanning via autonomous reasoning without hard-coded rules; the intelligent agent undertakes perception, scheduling and decision evaluation; the solver verifies physical boundary feasibility constraints prior to command transmission to the actuators. This architecture suppresses physically infeasible LLM hallucinations and ensures interpretable, verifiable decision-making. Moreover, it enables fast-slow dual closed-loop collaborative control, where the slow loop undertakes high-level dynamic decision-making and the fast loop guarantees high-frequency real-time control, simultaneously balancing decision intelligence and control timeliness. Lake experiments under normal and lower-rudder-fault conditions show that the framework detects trajectory tracking abnormalities, replans the route by adjusting the turning radius from 4m to 12m and reducing speed from 2kn to 1kn, passes all three solver constraints on the first invocation, and guides the UUV to complete the full mission; under normal conditions no false fault alarms are raised throughout the run.