Odyssey: A Closed-Loop Benchmark for Long-Horizon Real-World Driving with Explicit Navigation Routes

Open-loop evaluation offers fast, reproducible assessment of autonomous driving planners, but its ability to predict real closed-loop driving performance remains questionable. Prior work has shown that traditional open-loop metrics such as Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE) exhibit no reliable correlation with closed-loop Driving Score. In this paper, we ask whether the more recent, safety-aware open-loop metrics introduced by NAVSIM~v2 can bridge this gap. By systematically cross-referencing published results from 15 state-of-the-art methods across NAVSIM (open-loop) and Bench2Drive (closed-loop), we compile a paired dataset of open-loop sub-metrics and closed-loop performance, yielding 8 methods with complete paired data. Our analysis reveals three key findings: (1) the aggregate NAVSIM PDM Score shows a strong positive but non-monotonic correlation with Bench2Drive Driving Score, with clear ranking inversions; (2) among individual NAVSIM sub-metrics, Ego Progress (EP) is the strongest single predictor of closed-loop success, substantially exceeding the safety-critical collision metric NC; (3) the safety-progress trade-off manifests differently in open-loop and closed-loop: methods that maximize safety at the expense of progress rank highly in NAVSIM but underperform in closed-loop due to timeout and slow-driving penalties. We further demonstrate that a much simpler 3-metric formula matches the predictive power of the full 5-metric PDMS at the same Spearman $ρ{=}0.90$ on our paired sample of $n{=}8$ methods, suggesting that within current state-of-the-art methods -- where TTC and Comfort approach saturation -- these two sub-metrics add little marginal information for closed-loop ranking. Additionally, we identify the snowball effect -- where small open-loop deviations compound into closed-loop failures -- as a candidate mechanism for the residual gap.

End-to-end (E2E) driving policies have advanced rapidly on open-loop (OL) benchmarks, yet OL evaluation cannot reveal whether a policy can withstand compounding errors, recover from failures, or interact safely with surrounding actors. We introduce NavSafe-$\infty$, a photorealistic closed-loop (CL) benchmark comprising 280 scenarios spanning 28 event types, each with success and failure criteria defined within a structured traffic-safety taxonomy, yielding category-level capability scores for Traffic Crashes, Vulnerable Road User Crashes, Traffic Violations, and Traffic Incidents. After evaluating 20 E2E policies, we find that OL gains do not reliably transfer to CL safety. Analysis of two common remedies reveals that (1) passive demonstration perturbation helps mainly when CL rollouts stay near their perturbed training states, and (2) OL reinforcement-learning fine-tuning exhibits reward hacking by trading safety margin for ego progress, which CL feedback amplifies into compounding safety-critical errors. Together, these results demonstrate the blind spot of OL benchmarks indicating CL safety success. The benchmark and an extensible toolbox for customizable event curation and policy diagnosis will be open-sourced to facilitate future research.

End-to-end autonomous driving has witnessed rapid progress, yet existing benchmarks are increasingly saturated, with state-of-the-art models achieving near-perfect scores on widely used open-loop and closed-loop benchmarks. This saturation does not mean that the problem has been solved; instead, it reveals that current benchmarks remain limited in scenario diversity, object variety, and the breadth of driving capabilities they evaluate. In particular, they lack sufficient long-tail scenarios involving rare but safety-critical objects and fail to assess advanced decision-making such as legal compliance, ethical reasoning, and emergency response. To address these gaps, we propose HiDrive, a new closed-loop benchmark for end-to-end autonomous driving that emphasizes long-tail scenarios and a richer evaluation of driving capabilities. HiDrive introduces a diverse set of rare objects and uncommon traffic situations, and expands evaluation from basic driving skills to more advanced capabilities, including rule compliance, moral reasoning, and context-dependent emergency maneuvers. Correspondingly, we extend previous collision-avoidance-centered metrics into a comprehensive evaluation system that encompasses collision and braking, traffic-rule compliance, and moral-reasoning indicators. Built on a more advanced physics engine, HiDrive provides physically realistic lighting and high-fidelity visual rendering, offering a more challenging and realistic testbed for assessing whether autonomous driving systems can handle the complexity of real-world deployment. The HiDrive software, source code, digital assets, and documentation are available at https://github.com/VDIGPKU/HiDrive.