Can Synthetic UAV Benchmarks Be Trusted? Real-Synthetic Validation for UAV Model Selection

Remote pose estimation of noncooperative Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) from imagery is critical, as they cannot be influenced or instrumented in advance. Deep-learning-based approaches offer a promising solution; however, their development is constrained by the cost and difficulty of acquiring large-scale real-world datasets with accurate pose labels. Synthetic imagery provides an alternative, but models trained on synthetic data must overcome the synthetic-to-real domain gap to generalize to real-world imagery. This work investigates the inherent synthetic-to-real generalization capability of a Vision Transformer (ViT)-based model for monocular UAV pose estimation. The proposed approach employs a self-supervised DINOv2 backbone and is trained exclusively on labeled synthetic imagery while being evaluated on labeled real-world imagery. Pose ambiguity-aware strategies are incorporated during training and inference to address ambiguities arising from the projection of a three-dimensional target onto a two-dimensional image plane and from target symmetries. An $α$-$β$ filter is further integrated during inference to improve pose estimations. To assess the model under operational requirements, it is evaluated in terms of Mean Angular Error (MAE) and inference time, both before and after filtering, using a real-world dataset containing 77,077 labeled UAV images. Before filtering, the model achieves an MAE of $19.18^{\circ}$ and an inference time of $13.25$ ms, whereas after filtering, these values are $8.74^{\circ}$ and $13.42$ ms, respectively.

Reliable drone detection under real-world deployment conditions requires training data that spans the full operational design domain, including adverse weather and seasonal appearance variation. However, acquiring and annotating such data at scale remains highly resource-intensive, as adverse-weather conditions are inherently difficult to control, reproduce, and sample systematically. Existing datasets therefore typically provide only limited coverage of such conditions. Conversely, synthetic data offers a scalable alternative: environmental variation becomes controllable, while modern game-engine-based pipelines provide realistic rendering and automatic annotations. Leveraging this potential, we introduce SynDroneVision-Weather (SDV-W), an systematic extension of SynDroneVision (SDV) targeting adverse-weather and seasonal domain shifts in urban drone detection. SDV-W comprises 55,187 annotated high-resolution images from three urban environments, rendered across three seasonal configurations and diverse weather conditions, including rain, snow, and fog at multiple severity levels. By preserving SDV's scene and trajectory configuration, SDV-W enables matched clean-adverse comparisons and quantification of condition-specific detector degradation. Across representative YOLO models and real-world datasets, we show that SDV-W improves detector reliability under adverse appearance shifts, reduces missed detections and false alarms, and is most effective as a complement to general-purpose synthetic drone-detection data. SDV-W will be publicly released upon paper acceptance.

Synthetic images are increasingly used to augment scarce real data for object detection. However, not all synthetic sets help equally, and the only way to know a set's value is to train a detector on it, which is slow and demands dense annotation. We ask whether a training-free metric can instead rank candidate synthetic training sets by their downstream utility. Existing image-set metrics such as FID, KID, and MMD compare two feature distributions with a single global statistic, which we show is mis-specified for detection-data selection in two ways: it is blind to per-image composition (object count, box scale, class mix), and even at fixed composition its global averaging washes out the appearance differences that separate high-mAP pools from low-mAP ones. We propose Conditional-Composition Domain Match (CCDM), which converts any feature-space distance into a composition-stratified comparison, matching candidate and target within metadata-defined strata without training a detector. On COCO and VisDrone-DET, the best CCDM variant ranks 19 candidate training sets in strong agreement with YOLOv8 mAP (Spearman \r{ho} = 0.97 and 0.96), outperforming FID, KID, and MMD. Furthermore, CCDM holds when reference metadata comes from detector pseudo-labels rather than ground-truth boxes.