Vehicle-State-Aware Confidence Estimation for Direct Wind Sensing on a Multirotor

Small multirotor aircraft are increasingly tasked with operations in the atmospheric boundary layer, where turbulent winds comparable to the vehicle's airspeed degrade trajectory tracking and can defeat conventional feedback control. This work illustrates a two-stage learning pipeline that first estimates the local wind from onboard kinematics and dynamics and then exploits that estimate inside a reinforcement learning (RL) flight controller. The wind estimator, an attention-augmented gated recurrent network trained on thousands of simulated flights through von Karman turbulence with power-law shear and veer, recovers the horizontal wind vector with a per-flight root-mean-square error of 0.40 m/s and a direction error of 3.2 degrees on unseen wind regimes, an accuracy near the floor imposed by unresolved turbulence, and generalizes to vertical ascent profiles with a skill score of 0.861 over a constant-wind reference. A proximal policy optimization controller receiving the frozen estimator's output reduces horizontal trajectory tracking error by 48% relative to a wind-blind proportional-derivative baseline across mean winds of 4 m/s to 12 m/s, winning on 100% of evaluation episodes. A three-way ablation decomposes this improvement into a kinematic component, available without wind information, and a wind-perception component; the perception share rises with wind speed, from small in light winds toward roughly half the total benefit in strong winds, consistent with the quadratic scaling of aerodynamic drag. The controller degrades gracefully on out-of-distribution winds of 13 m/s to 15 m/s, where the baseline fails catastrophically.

To enable autonomous wind estimation for energy-efficient flight in small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), this study proposes a method that estimates flight states and wind using only the low-cost essential onboard sensors required for autonomous flight, without relying on additional wind measurement devices. The core of the method includes an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) integrated with the aerodynamic model and an Adaptive Moving Average Estimation (AMAE) technique, which improves the accuracy and smoothness of the wind estimation. Simulation results show that the approach efficiently estimates both steady and time-varying 3D wind vectors without requiring flow angle measurements. The impact of aerodynamic model accuracy on wind estimation errors is also analyzed to assess practical applicability. Flight tests validate the effectiveness of the method and its feasibility for real-time onboard computation. Additionally, uncertainties and error sources encountered during testing are systematically examined, providing a foundation for further refinement.

Agile multi-UAV flight requires accurate and low-latency onboard estimation of the kinematic states of neighboring UAVs for collision avoidance, motion coordination, etc. Most vision-based approaches rely on position-only measurements, inferring velocity and acceleration indirectly from displacement. We show that this introduces a fixed structural delay in the estimation of higher-order states, which limits the achievable agility. To address this, we propose to integrate tilt measurements, provided by a state-of-the-art visual detector, which inform about the thrust direction of co-planar multirotor UAVs. We benchmark four position-only and five pose-aware estimators, including a novel formulation of a linear thrust-constraining Kalman filter, on two real-world and one high-fidelity photorealistic simulated dataset over different levels of agility (3-21 m/s^2). In our setup, pose-aware estimation consistently reduces the average velocity and acceleration estimation errors by 40% and 57% across the three datasets with the proposed KF formulation outperforming the other estimators. Position-only filters exhibit a constant ~300 ms delay in acceleration step response independent of agility, whereas the tilt-constrained estimators operate near the physical response limit given by the camera frame-rate by observing the change in thrust direction before the displacement accumulates. In a closed-loop leader-follower simulated experiment with NMPC control, position-only estimation of the leader's state fails to facilitate stable hovering of the follower, while the proposed estimator enables tracking of lateral maneuvers exceeding 2g of acceleration.