Overview

Air quality prediction estimates how pollutant concentrations such as PM2.5, PM10, ozone, and nitrogen dioxide vary across places and over time, helping inform public health alerts and exposure assessment. Methods range from statistical time-series models and recurrent networks to transformers, state-space models, and graph neural networks that combine station histories with weather, wind, terrain, satellite imagery, and land-use data. Physics-informed models represent processes such as pollutant transport and chemical change, while multimodal fusion, transfer learning, and lightweight edge models address sparse monitoring and deployment constraints. A central challenge is reliable performance beyond familiar regions and conditions: missing observations, geographic shifts, extreme events, and uncertain forecasts can undermine models that score well on conventional benchmarks, and predictive accuracy alone does not guarantee physically meaningful results.

Latest papers

CardsList

43 papers5 papers in the last four weeks, up 67% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Nowcasting aerosol particle size distributions from PM2.5 with physics-regularized flow matching

    Oct 24, 2026Zhi-Song Liu, Jenni Köykkä, Wenqing Peng +3Physics-Informed Generative ModelingAir Quality Prediction

  2. Global probabilistic forecasting of air pollution

    Oct 19, 2026Ammar Kheder, Michael Boy, Zhi-song LiuAir Quality PredictionProbabilistic Forecasting

  3. AirMPA: A Meteorology-to-Pollution Adapter for Global Air Quality Forecasting

    Oct 19, 2026Yiheng Wang, Kai Zheng, Yuetan Lin +5Air Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  4. AeroChem: Closed-loop Physics-Informed State Space Modeling for Long-term Chemically-Reactive Air Quality Forecasting--Extended Version

    Oct 12, 2026Kien Le Trung, Tung Kieu, Dinh Duc Nha Nguyen +3Air Quality PredictionLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

  5. Low-Cost Sensor Calibration for Indoor Air Quality Monitoring: A Dataset, Evaluation Scenarios, and a Lightweight Model

    Oct 8, 2026Jinyong Yun, Seokho Ahn, Hyungjin Kim +2Air Quality Prediction

  6. High-resolution Nitrogen Dioxide Maps Reveal Exposure Limit Breaches across Europe

    Sep 21, 2026Linus Scheibenreif, Konrad SchindlerAir Quality Prediction

  7. Image-Derived PM10 Estimation in Cattle Feedlot Using Machine Learning: Addressing Concentration Ranges Beyond Existing Digital Imaging Methods

    Sep 17, 2026Sirapoom Peanusaha, Greg B. Ferguson, K. Jack Bush +2Air Quality Prediction

  8. Predicting Spatiotemporal Mobile Sensing-Based PM2.5 Concentrations Using Low-Rank Adapted Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network

    Sep 4, 2026Om Chiddarwar, Priyanka Mandal, Praveen Kumar Chandaliya +1Graph Attention NetworksAir Quality Prediction

  9. Leveraging Remote Traffic Data for Local Air Pollutant Estimation: A Scenario-Based Machine Learning Study Across London Monitoring Sites

    Aug 21, 2026Valeria Legaria-Santiago, Amadeo Arguelles, Magdalena Saldana-Perez +2Air Quality Prediction

  10. Enhanced Artificial Neural Networks Using QHAdamW in Air Quality Forecasting

    Aug 20, 2026Mary Joy Daniel VinasAir Quality PredictionNeural Network Optimization

  11. Shift Aware Transfer Learning with Adaptive Dual-Encoder Fusion for PM Forecasting in Data-Limited Environments

    Aug 14, 2026Shahab Band, Hamed MohammadiAir Quality PredictionCross-Domain Transfer Learning

  12. Meteorology-driven Causal Nowcasting of Fugitive Landfill Emissions from Measured Coupling Timescales

    Aug 14, 2026Timothy C. Pearce, David J. T. Smith, Alec Dobney +1Causal DiscoveryAir Quality Prediction

  13. Air Quality Station Simulation via LSTM and Attention-Based Modelling

    Aug 12, 2026Alexander Kostadinov, Petar O. Hristov, Dessislava Petrova-AntonovaMultivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Imputation

  14. AirFlow: Context Preserving and Multi-Rate State Modeling for Air Quality Forecasting

    Aug 10, 2026Fan Yang, Nan Chen, Yijie Dong +2Multivariate Time Series ForecastingAir Quality Prediction

  15. Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry

    Jul 22, 2026Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm +1Air Quality PredictionMechanistic Interpretability

  16. Interpretable Machine Learning for Air Pollution and Respiratory Health Prediction: A Socioeconomic Subgroup Analysis

    Jul 19, 2026Maede Azani Hassan Abadi, Shouyi WangInterpretable MLAir Quality Prediction

  17. Evaluating the Generalizability of Foundation Models for Extreme Environmental Events: Case Study of California Wildfire PM2.5

    Jul 8, 2026Yongcan Huang, Li Jiang, Ze Yu LiuWildfire ForecastingOOD Generalization

  18. Air Quality Downscaling with Station-Guided Pseudo-Supervision

    Jul 6, 2026Guorun Wang, Simone Foti, Andreas D. Demou +5Remote Sensing Image Super-ResolutionAir Quality Prediction

  19. Auto-Configured Explainable Graph Neural Networks for Multi-Site Pollution Prediction

    Jun 23, 2026Abdelkader Dairi, Fouzi Harrou, Ying SunGraph Structure LearningAir Quality Prediction

  20. MVG-KAN: Multi-View Geo-Wind Guided KAN for PM2.5_{2.5} Forecasting

    Jun 23, 2026Cheng Huang, Muyao Guan, Jairus Yougui Railey +6Multivariate Time Series ForecastingAir Quality Prediction

  21. OmniPMNet: Bridging discrete and gridded PM10 forecasts via omni-query neural processes

    Jun 12, 2026Shuangshuang He, Shuo WangAir Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  22. M2^2FedAQI: Multimodal Federated Learning for Air Quality Prediction on Heterogeneous Edge Devices

    May 10, 2026Manjil Nepal, Kimsie Phan, Tamoghna Ojha +2Multimodal Federated LearningAir Quality Prediction

  23. AirQualityBench: A Realistic Evaluation Benchmark for Global Air Quality Forecasting

    May 7, 2026Xing Xu, Xu Wang, Yudong Zhang +3Benchmark DesignTime Series Forecasting

  24. GraphSVR: A Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression Framework for Robust Spatiotemporal Air Pollution Forecasting

    May 5, 2026Nourin Jahan, Muhammed Navas T, Tanujit Chakraborty +1Air Quality PredictionSupport Vector Machines

  25. Collocation-based Robust Physics Informed Neural Networks for time-dependent simulations of pollution propagation under thermal inversion conditions on Spitsbergen

    Apr 24, 2026Leszek Siwik, Maciej Sikora, Natalia Leszczyńska +7Neural PDE SolversAir Quality Prediction

  26. Ground-Level Near Real-Time Modeling for PM2.5 Pollution Prediction

    Apr 21, 2026Zachary R. Fox, Janet O. Agbaje, Dakotah Maguire +6Air Quality PredictionSpatiotemporal Forecasting

  27. TinyNina: A Resource-Efficient Edge-AI Framework for Sustainable Air Quality Monitoring via Intra-Image Satellite Super-Resolution

    Apr 6, 2026Prasanjit Dey, Zachary Yahn, Bianca Schoen-Phelan +1Autoregressive Image Super-ResolutionAir Quality Prediction

  28. Conformal PM2.5 Mapping Under Spatial Covariate Shift: Satellite-Reanalysis Fusion for Africa's Green Industrial Transition

    Apr 5, 2026Yaw Osei Adjei, Davis Opoku, Ephraim Abotsi +4Air Quality PredictionCovariate Shift